Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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This for tomorrow:
Lay Bilbao
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS Currently 5.9 as well. I never lay until 5 mins before minimum unless it's an overnighter.
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS If you follow what I do you'll know I lay up to 11.00
It may be high odds but the likelihood of a loss is very small.
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@Richard-Latimer, the lay is 6.8..... very high?
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0-2 in Atalanta
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This for tomorrow:
Lay Mallorca
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Straight back on it:
Lay Roma
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Numpty alert. Hungary was ruled out temporarily a while ago so if I had done it that would have been a mistake.
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Norway Elteserien has finished on 0.14pts from 10 selections. Not sure I'll bother with this league in 2025. Another example of summer leagues being disappointing.
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Tiny loss. 3/4
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Sucker punched in Norway. Guess Molde didn't want the conference league
Leaving Hungary now
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Time to get back on track.
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Assuming the first 3 come in I reckon I'll do Ujpest as well. It really doesn't look to be one the Ferencvaros would be taking for granted given they are 2nd in the table with a couple games in hand.
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Reason to be optimistic tomorrow:
All other than Hungary have good data and all have been good thus far. Hungary is the only one where this appears to be the first selection.
With that in mind probably do the 4 tomorrow.
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Of course the German game won today didn't it haha!
Regardless, need to see a lot more before I consider it again for reals.
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Looks like a barren Saturday:
As much as German Bundesliga is still technically a qualifier results have been too poor for me to consider it here.
Serbian game looks to have prohibitive odds. If that's the way it stays then I can count this as a small losing month but at least I got a load back last week.
December needs to be better....much much better!
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@Richard-Latimer Thanks for the reply Richard
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@nick I know I can't avoid variance but clearly the aim is to minimise it.
If no logical reason within the parameters can be found to exclude a game or set of games then they must stand.
If the parameters are in the negative or the league is in the negative then this is something to exclude whether temporarily or eventually permanently.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Richard-Latimer I think that the international break has seem to have a real effect on results especially after this last one. I dont know if you have any results from previous ones over the past couple of years.
No break now until March so hopefully that will help things to settle down for the next few months.
Many unusual results this weekend, definite a time to reflect take a deep breath and go again.How do you look at monitoring variance with this? You seemed to have bucked the trend this weekend winning when many others have been losing.
