Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

This is just for context before I start posting the away lays. Since 11 Feb I made 16 trades and thus far have managed to avoid a single loss. The original £1,800 I put to this (took the money from home lay bank, which was down to about £1950, less £150 and I have built it above £2k again.

Reason for the £150 was when I initially split the points in to 2k each I was down to around £3850 so I've just levelled it out. Starting a little smaller didn't seem such a bad thing.

[Richard Latimer]

Managed to end Feb very slightly in profit despite travails where certains patterns were noticed, internal tweaks became unavoidable and the system becomes even closer to being complete for me:

[Richard Latimer]

2 Lay Under 1.5:

Max price NET 7.0
Max price GER 8.4

[Richard Latimer]

Over the weekend I'm going to start posting away lays too. I've been tentatively doing these since 11 Nov and it's been an excellent start. Now I'm going public they'll nosedive

EDIT

Just noticed my typo. Data for away lays goes back as far as unders lays (last April). Been tentatively trading them since 11 Feb not Nov.

[Richard Latimer]

Keep on forgetting to post my overs in here due to this competition. Anyone following what I'm doing should make sure they look in there too!

[Richard Latimer]

If the price comes down a few more ticks lay under 1.5 on this:

Max lay price 7.4

[Richard Latimer]

Latest result in Saudi I had posted on the competition thread but wasn't actually going to lay for real.

What changed my mind was a) Saudi League is coming up frequently suggesting there's going to be many selections and b) the number of high profile players in the league now.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

Min price 3.15
Max price 7.4

[Richard Latimer]

Almost back in profit. The leagues I'm not quite there with did well too so bodes well for the future.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

All likely to qualify. SWI closest to the edge as Max 6.6 and currently 6.2/6.4.

[Richard Latimer]

I wasn't going to do this one today but based on the fact I have another in the same league tomorrow and the only reason for no selections yet is it was excluded from my filter for some reason. I am:

Lay Under 1.5 Max price 7.4 though so may not qualify anyway.

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

For tomorrow - Lay Under 1.5:

Min 3.15 - Max 11.00

2-2. Heading in the right direction again.

[Richard Latimer]

For tomorrow - Lay Under 1.5:

Min 3.15 - Max 11.00

[Richard Latimer]

As promised. Highlights the difficult nature of this month so far but with a weekend and a Fri to go profit can still be made.

[Richard Latimer]

I had a go at simplifying my home lay system today and while it is possible with the same sort of league exclusion, the home lay thing I'm working on now has I believe the potential to be better.

I'm obviously not getting rid of the data. It's valuable. A whole years worth shows it works. I am however about to stop collecting more data for now as, with the other 4 in my planned portfolio, it's just too much work.

I'll keep the filter, I'll archive the data and if anyone wants it give me a shout.

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Under 1.5 Randers

1-2, stopped the rot

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5 Randers

[Richard Latimer]

Rubbish weekend. I'll update and post tomorrow.

[Richard Latimer]

Can't make up yesterdays today as only 3 but need a strong showing. Lay Under 1.5:

Min 3.15
SWI max 6.6
TUR max 11.00
ITA max 7.4

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer bit of a shitshow today. 70% on 10 selections.

5 games 0-0 @ HT

2 FT 0-0's which is worst in data since I started looking last April.

All losers had high XG.