Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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One over for today coming up in Paraguay. Deportivo Santani in 10 minutes.
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I've just added another 4 criteria (average goals scored/conceded) for the overs. Done them all for equal to/greater than 0 so it picks everything up. Just interested to see average goals going forward.
Can't do anything about the 400+ selections I already have and unlike previous I'm not about to bin everything in a fit of rage and start again haha!!
Quick observation is that should everything pretty much go 1+ goals average scored/conceded by each team this system will be pretty much the same as @Matt-Adams over 1.5 system he put out on the facebook group months ago.
Only difference being I've done 80% on prev overs data where as he had 85% from what I gather.
Also, as seems to be becoming more and more important as time goes on......I'm looking at individual leagues.
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Another good day for the unders trial
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Should have said a fair few leagues let me down.
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I should have said a sweep for the filtered leagues. Bundesliga 2 once again screwed the pooch and has a similar loss rate to the Championship as of now. As much as a fair leagues let me down this weekend these 2 really are the pits and should be avoided at all costs for now!!
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Today a sweep and a much needed one at that!
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Following on from yesterday I have added Swiss Super League and Hungary OTP Bank Liga to potential unders as they are both now in the red as far as overs concerned.
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Unfiltered leagues beginning to drop off a cliff....Surprised at Switzerland. Started really strongly but had 3 crap results on the bounce!
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And then Switzerland again and then Mexico.
I think yesterday showed there's still a fair way to go until this is the finished product!
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Burned in Hungary today. 2 unexpected losses dragging a profitable league into the red.
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Been wanting to do this for a while but finally created a filtered leagues chart. Not excluding any in red and only those in the black/green as think that could be short sighted at present. However, so far, removed English Championship, 2. Bundesliga and UAE.
System is doing ok even with these but still makes for a lot healthier reading.
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Think I accidentally deleted my rules page for the overs so have created that sheet again.
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Decided to do away with the 9 matches played unless 100% overs leading up to it. I already did this with 7 & 8 to a positive effect and while I only have the 1 result on 9 it was a stinker and there is a potential for a few more.
I said a while back that I would exclude small numbers where the outcome was initially troubling And I did that. New rule added.
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With recent prices in the Netherlands 2nd league I'm not sure how I ever got 14 selections above 1.2!
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We are officially in no go area for English Championship and German Bundesliga 2 now. Also UAE although that's hardly ever an issue anyway on Betfair. Russia 1 & Eng 2 are also still on the caution list.
Morocco and Thailand 1 a piece both losers.
Turkey Super Lig, German Bundesliga & English National need caution also.
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Sheet updated but a little too tired and tipsy (i'll fall asleep) to pick the bones out of it. Got a Venezuelan game about to start. Stats look good but this is the first game in that league so caution required.
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Can't sift through it all now but that was a tough day. Thailand or only 9 games total in early season and less than 100% over 1.5?
Bundesliga 2 showing once more that goals don't come easily there.
Denmark 1st Division with a first loss.
Austria Erste also with first loss and a 0-0 to boot.
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So a few things have changed with today. Denmark Superliga definitely edging towards being one of the better performers. After a start of win follows win follows win Swiss Super League has now suffered 2 unexpected losses on the bounce and hovers barely above break even.
Swiss Challenge league continues to perform well.
Sheet already updated with overs for tomorrow:
In the afternoon there's Thailand still in the early stages but 9 games down for this one. It's 89% overs already but I'm not decided totally. I have been saying for matches of 7 or 8 then 100% is needed. Of course this is the first of 9 so a decision has to be made. H2H mostly favours goals but a couple of recent(ish) unders are of concern.
Then it's Braila in Romania. Maybe I'll look at what the action seems like as H2H not really favourable and Romania has been up and down in liga II.
After that leagues are mainly ones in profit but then Braunschweig in Bundesliga 2 is another one I may leave.
As usual on Friday a billion overs in Dutch 2nd league beckon but odds probably mostly crazy low!
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Small loss again and 2nd successive loss from Swiss top tier.
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In fact as quickly as I've decided that I've decided I'm being too hasty haha!
