Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@ryan-carruthers said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer ooooo rather you than me! That is always a stressful job that, you moving far from the old place?

Nah. Same town. About a mile down the road. Just needed a third bedroom.

Ryan

@richard-latimer ooooo rather you than me! That is always a stressful job that, you moving far from the old place?

Richard Latimer

@ryan-carruthers said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

hate internationals! What are we to do?!

I'm moving house so to be fair I have quite a lot to do haha!

Ryan

hate internationals! What are we to do?!

Richard Latimer

Nothing for tomorrow

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

In the meantime it seems there is one selection tomorrow in Romania 2 which I almost missed as team name has changed. In stats filters it is still coming up as Juventus Bucuresti when in fact they are now going by ASC Daco-Goretica or some such.

Sweet

Richard Latimer

In the meantime it seems there is one selection tomorrow in Romania 2 which I almost missed as team name has changed. In stats filters it is still coming up as Juventus Bucuresti when in fact they are now going by ASC Daco-Goretica or some such.

Richard Latimer

Moving into a new build on Friday where there's no phone line and no confirmation of how soon it's going to be connected. Going to need as much help as possible on this if anyone wants to offer their services?

@Adam-Williams can you please add my scores early doors filter to member filters?

Richard Latimer

Only a couple tomorrow but neither falling within filtered limits. Singapore may well get there but I'm starting to play this more cautiously for now. Only one loss but until yield hits 3.5% I'm staying out.

Richard Latimer

In case anyone wondered there was nothing for today on the filtered side which is good as it gave me a chance to do some work on it.

More big changes but these aren't knee jerk reactions. More along the lines of filters I've been looking at from day one to potentially improve things. I just didn't want to pull the trigger too early.

S/r and yield for anything bang on 80% over 1.5 had continued to go up and down and was no more than 77% s/r and 1% in the black after around 40 selections. Today I deleted them.
When criteria's 5,6,7&8 totalled to anything between 300-304 the results were pretty toilet on the whole. These have been removed so starting point is now 305 combined.

Not only has it made a difference to overall yield and profit but it has also made quite a difference on some of the leagues.

There are leagues which were bad and that point has been hammered home further.

There are leagues which were hovering and have now made the transition to full on crap!

There are leagues which appeared to have made a good start only to stumble of recent which have had that fast start taken away so they are all the way in the red.

There are leagues which were in the red but not massively which have been ever so slightly rejuvenated.

An then there are the leagues which looked good before and despite losing a few a winners or a couple of losers still look great!

Some leagues with only 1 or 2 selections anyway have been removed from the picture entirely for now.

Anything above 3.5% yield is listed in filtered and anything under that is for now only in the main sheet. These amendments have seen s/r shoot up to over 90% and yield to just under 15%. I'm not crazy enough to believe it will stay there but it does appear as though I have made the right call in the interim at least.

Richard Latimer

@ryan-carruthers said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer I love the MLS so glad its back on, interesting that some of the leagues where you expect these to fly have been nosediving.

In terms of leagues where there have been 10+ selections based on highest yield now then Costa Rica is currently running away with it. After that it's the SPL and Fin Veikkausliiga.

Ryan

@richard-latimer I love the MLS so glad its back on, interesting that some of the leagues where you expect these to fly have been nosediving.

Richard Latimer

Sheet updated. Got some overnighters in the states. MLS is back up over 4% yield so for now it's in.

Richard Latimer

@ryan-carruthers said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer long day then!

Long and crappy day haha!!

Where to start.

Paraguay continuing to nosedive
Accidentally placed bet on Eng League 2 when that had been excluded
Norway now only just above break even
Brazil Serie A now in deficit and excluded.

I'll get there but it'll take the poor days and more of the same to find the final filters.

Ryan

@richard-latimer long day then!

Richard Latimer

All updated for tomorrow. Filtered and unfiltered. Busy day starts 00:50 in Paraguay.

Richard Latimer

After all that the only qualifier today was in Croatia and it won. Not strictly in profit until today but also only one loss and I'm not ruling out those just yet.

Richard Latimer

Made the single biggest change in months while still keeping things as per on a tracking basis. While I didn't want everything to be about yield it's kind of hard to escape on some leagues now.

Ecuador still in profit but yield for that league now down at just a little over 1%. Risk/reward ratio is it worth it. At those figures absolutely not.

With that in mind I've now streamlined the filtered sheet to include only those leagues at least 3% yield or above. Should one league take a massive upturn it will be easy to add them back in as I'll keep recording all data on the main sheet.

It only makes a difference of around 20pts to exclude ALL losing leagues and those with positive yet extremely poor yield......but crucially s/r goes from 84% to 87%.

Richard Latimer

Ecuador now just about in profit again after last nights failure. A good start for Panama although I fell asleep before placing bet while looking at how liquidity would develop.

Richard Latimer

2 games overnight but nothing in the day. Interestingly enough one is in Panama, a league I have no data on as yet and one in which most games are either not on betfair or don't go inplay.