Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Nothing Friday again. Really looking forward to splitting the pot between this and my over 1.5 in Jan. Although actually I've got nothing on that for tomorrow either.
While I'm not going to start putting actual money until Jan 1st on those I might post up what would be in the meantime.
I'm also going to start working on a 2nd home lay system getting rid of certain overcomplications. The current one is much less complicated than previous things I've been guily of trying in the past but the others I've been working on since are all far simpler and that's the only way I'm going now.
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And so as Christmas draws nearer I am still no closer to righting the ship. That said. A) Thank god I left Serie A today. B)Serbia is starting to pull in the right direction and I feel a little more confident for the next set of fixtures.
Slavia game did provide me with valuable data even if it was painful at the time. And as the saying goes. We go again.
1/2 today.
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And then I look at the easy win I turned away from in Serbia!
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Fuckity f**k f**k
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Slavia currently making hard work of things though.
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Thought I posted this earlier.
That said, a quick look at Bologna and they've not lost in 10 and this isn't exactly a common occurence for my filter. 3 unrefined up to this point. This is the first in refined data so I may need to be cautious there too.
I'll kick myself way more if the home team wins and I place the trade as opposed to if they don't win and I keep my powder dry.
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Serbia is kind of on the edge of will it or won't it be profitable. Odds on Novi Pazar mean it's highly unlikely to qualify anyway. The second Serbian game is almost at evens meaning it's more likely to lose anyway.
I will be leaving Serbia alone and concentrating on the other 3.
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Just as soon as Bundesliga opens up for selection it's gone.
Irritating but a few mistakes are all part of the journey.
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Way out of my odds range but you still don't really expect them to lose Heerenveen beat PSV
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Well that backfired.....doh!
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Back in the summer I noticed something quite quickly and did something about it. Low low odds in Sweden, Finland and Norway all lost in quick succession. They were ruled out immediately and from then those leagues prospered (adding these low odds back to Eliteserien only makes things worse for that league in case anyone wondered) for the most part.
Up until Germany Bundesliga I hadn't really noticed this happening with other leagues to such a degree. Higher odds knocking it out of the park consistently. Lower odds all getting hammered. And I've checked. Can't see any other poorly performing leagues this could apply to right now either.
Knocking away all odds below 2.46 improves things hugely. It doesn't help Nov so I'm not just trying to make every month a winner. Just follow striking patterns I can see and not remove the biggest leagues in entirety without due cause.
Anyway, all this is to say.....Bundesliga is back on the table but only for odds 2.46+
I have added the rule to my spreadsheet.
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First is the standard price. Best kind of price.
Second is a low odds lay.
Third is unlikely to be anything as currently home price is sky high.
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Nothing Friday
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it's not been an especially bad start to Dec as is. Low odds have both lost and Norway finished the season by going into the red and making them an exclusion for 2025. Other that things have been decent....just slow.
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Well. I. Never.
2-0, red home, 3-0
11 mins to go
Ends 3-3 with a disallowed away goal to boot.
Love this league!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Well I suppose it's long overdue in this league but not a great a start to Dec!
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Another in my favourite league tomorrow:
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In the end yesterday saw only one trade I was happy with that fit the price credentials. At least it won but that was a break even weekend to go along with the £150 loss on the first week.
Nothing now until at least Wed on this.
My Over 1.5 continues to prosper and I have to take the plunge there in Jan.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Odds on the Turkish game too high anyway by the looks of it. Certainly on the threshold and not a win I'm going to record. Record the losses on the threshold, delete the wins. Can only improve with the actual trade at that point.
