Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Got my figures a little wrong the other day. Been way more qualifiers than 107:
63 matches where the home team was winning at HT. 23 of those by 2 or more goals. Only one of those turned a winning position into a losing one. 98.41%.
52 matches have gone into the half drawing. From those only 5 have lost. 90.38%.
12 matches have gone in losing. So far 3 of those have gone on to lose the match. Amount already lost would so far make it prohibitive to red out at this point as you would only lose more in the long run from a guaranteed red as opposed to a good chance of turning things round. A losing position at ht would ultimately suggest some sort of long term loss but that loss is probably less from just letting it run.
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Both overs won for a change as well.
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2nd day of laying resulted in another win. Was still 0-0 after 65 minutes so cashed out for just over 25% of full stake. Baby steps.
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Laying worked well today although the idea of taking a profit at half time proved fanciful as after kickoff price on the away team fell for ages. Cashed out a goal up though.
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No good again on the backs and as for the overs.....
I've studied the backing selections alot and from tomorrow I'll be looking at these as lays as well. Homes only as aways have been tending to lose when they don't win rather than just draw.
Selections thus far indicate the following:
45 matches in various states of winning at HT leading to either big green or practically a full win.
50 matches drawing at HT which should result in at least a small green on most occasions.
12 matches losing at HT where 9 came back to grab at least a draw so a bit of a loss there but not as much as if redding out on all 12. -
Overs at an all time low but just poking over the top of the parapet.
Backs still sitting just above 10% yield despite a very poor last few daysAnd......real time......well poor.
Missed Arsenal (remembered seconds before we scored) but saw inplay stats hugely in favour of LASK at HT so topped up there for higher odds. Cashed out the second bet after a goal so that one went well.
Forgot to cashout Inter at HT and then when I remembered the price had drifted so stupidly I left it unmatched at the lower thinking it was only a matter of time. What was only a matter of time was a goal for Crotone.
I need to record these mistakes though as hopefully it will concentrate my mind going forward.
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Fairy heinous day, just trying to update things at the moment.
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Way too many overs today but I'm just trying to track a number of things which will have to be narrowed down. As for backs these are updated and 1 currently inplay 0-0 @ HT.
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Less said about the overs the better on Friday the better.
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No backs at all today. Bunch of overs but nothing until 5.
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At some point I'll get Adam to add my current filters.
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Back on to the subject of current selections OFI were 2-0 at ht and I managed to trade out at 1.01 from 1.36 so almost a complete win.
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Oh right. These aren't from filters then. I couldn't really advise one way or the other. In the time tracking 2nd half goals I've pretty much seen that a goalless half can come from anywhere at any time.
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Just OFI Crete at home tomorrow for the backs. No overs once more.
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@Neil-Mallett By the way which games were you referring to in UK yesterday as 0-0? Only UK game was Coventry which was 2-0 @ HT.
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Wow.......wasn't expecting that from Chelsea. If any had to lose today I'm at least glad it was that one haha!!
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Was so getting ready to come on here bemoaning the away games but for now at least there slightly in the green. Good day so far both here and with 'Transfer Deadline Day'. Transfers are way more fun than watching actual football right now!!
That's like Chinese water torture...
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I'm not sure but 0-0 is an incredibly rare scoreline. Just a bad few days. In fairness looking at the away games they have obviously been few and far between and so far with yesterdays loss it's break even.
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Onwards and upwards. Next game starts in 20 mins. Celaya at home.
Sheet updated.
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Stalemate in Argentina overnight followed by a nice and easy 2-0 cashout in Coventry. Staring down the barrel of a second loss for the day with another 0-0 but up pops a goal with virtually last kick of the game......or does it!!?
Abject misery and another bastard 0-0!!
After what I just sat through on the telly I was having a bad enough night as it was ffs!!!
