Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

I've just been back through all my losers on the refined data and this was the first and only time the away team had been turned over by a home team receiving a red. On top of that you had they were winning when the red happened and conceded 3 minutes later.

Then they dominated proceedings only to fall apart from the 82nd minute.

Israel is now in the red. It may come back but something is telling me I have to be careful there now so excluding until I can be sure this was a one off. Nothing more than an anomaly. A glitch in the matrix.

[Richard Latimer]

Bit of a crap end to the month but still 28% up and just over £1k

[Richard Latimer]

And now it's 4-1 for the 10 men!! (still 3-1 - ruled out)

@Akiva-Anderson you know this league, is that a bit dodge??

I'm not one for too many conspiracy theories but they were all over them at 1-1.

[Richard Latimer]

This game today is stinking a bit. 0-1 up, red card home almost immediately after.....was it just before HT, during HT or start of 2nd half?!

Then an immediate equaliser just after the price hit 70.0

Away dominating with shot after shot but then give away pen and now a 3rd!!

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing for tomorrow

[Richard Latimer]

Just the Beitar Jerusalem game Monday

[Richard Latimer]

So next move is to remove Qatar from these I think.

Firstly, todays didn't qualify for me as although the lay odds were higher than 1.9 the highest traded price was 1.87. I decided to be risk averse. Glad I did.

Now though, I can also look at a number of other things:

1. oddsportal don't give betfair odds on this league. It is unmanaged. Does not help my record keeping where I don't have a live trade.
2. volumes pretty pitiful at times (certainly were today).
3. Raw data for Qatar is -9pts from just 9 selections. Also sub 50% win rate.
4. Refined data only 3 selections and small loss.

All of these reasons lead me to believe there is no drawback and only upside in removing Qatar.

[Richard Latimer]

Was due a poor day

[Richard Latimer]

Sundowns lost in SA 1-0.

Love to see my scrapping of the mini mouse leagues paying off.

[Richard Latimer]

[Richard Latimer]

I'm leaning away heavily from South Africa with the volumes traded and available. 15 mins before kickoff and a total of £23.71 traded on Polokwane. No decent volume until laying at 9.00.

First decent volume on the back is 7.2 Going to remove this league from filters. It's decided.

[Richard Latimer]

So far so good

[Richard Latimer]

Beitar Jerusalem appears to be Monday

[Richard Latimer]

For Sunday. I may or may not take the South African game depending on liquidity/volume etc...

Plus it's a first for that league.

[Richard Latimer]

Here's home lays for tomorrow and Sun morning:

Couple won't happen (odds crazy at present), not sure if the Thai game is even playing.

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing Friday

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing until at least Friday now

[Richard Latimer]

2/2 today:

[Richard Latimer]

Just checking the overs system I'm working on and Rampla won!! That's a good advert for my 11.0 cutoff. Was 12.00 just before kickoff.

[Richard Latimer]

2 for Mon: