Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

What I'm finding more and more is the amounts I'm laying are bothering me less and less. I know i'm not going to lose the bank. It's just a question of making the large sums I require.

In addition to this, what I have also found is that keeping the notifications on actually makes me less stressed than that heart in mouth moment checking scores after a game.

I think that when you get the score alert 1 of 3 things happen.

it goes with you and gives you that little bit more more peace. Yes it could turn but for now it's going with you and that's a good start.
it starts badly, but then you know this means nothing just yet. How often will the stronger team equalise. Of course they will. And until the game starts heading to it's conclusion this thought will linger.
it starts horrifically, there's almost certainly no way back and you can resign yourself to the fact this one is a large L in the books.

When I don't know either way I'm probably stressing how they are all losing even though this is highly improbable.

Richard Latimer

Almost forgot. Laying FC Wil in Swiss Challenge League - Starts in 10 mins

Richard Latimer

Richard Latimer

A much happier Saturday and Sunday.

One today which I'll post later.

Richard Latimer

So, shaping up to be a pretty decent weekend. Let's hope Sunday manages to capitalise rather than undo.

Richard Latimer

What a difference the Winter leagues make. 1 loss from 8 selections this weekend.

Richard Latimer

Bosnia can get in the bin too. Almost no volume 5 mins before kickoff

Richard Latimer

It's all kicking off now!

Richard Latimer

A fair amount going on today. Columbus Crew odds likely to be too small.

Richard Latimer

Let's gid rid of El Salvador too. Going to be the same problem re liquidity.

Richard Latimer

@nick Nah, it's a sign haha!

Glad I left it.

nick

@Richard-Latimer Pretty good liquidity at $markets if it doesnt pick up on Betfair

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Couldn't get properly matched on the Panama game before it suspended. No liquidity and no volume.

Calling time on Panama for that reason.

In the end I did get matched as it unsuspended the minute it went in play.

True to my word though I decided Panama just didn't work with the volumes I intended to be trading and given it was only 1 pt profit all summer.

I traded out for zero p/l.

3-1 it ended so Panama now slightly in negative. Easier to send it the way of Estonia.

Richard Latimer

Couldn't get properly matched on the Panama game before it suspended. No liquidity and no volume.

Calling time on Panama for that reason.

Richard Latimer

Also doesn't look like there's a market for the Chinese game in the morning.

Richard Latimer

Thankfully no market for Penybont. Danish womens too high odds. Currently on a very small loss after Emmen failed to get 1 back.

Richard Latimer

Interesting to see how many of these i manage to get as some of the prices are quite high:

Richard Latimer

After the previous day the last thing I needed was another loser but there you go. Stuck the distance and made a small profit again which felt good. Still got 2 weekends of Sept to go:

Side bar - Everyone was so convinced that with Miami putting out a weaker team Atlanta were going to steamroll them. Price dropped from 2.75 and just kept going. Someone smashed 20k down at around 2.10 and went as low as evens for a bit.

But then all of a sudden it stopped.....and it went out a bit. Not much. This is 2nd incidence like this in MLS I've seen of recent.

Everyone is so swayed by a few players they don't look at the chasm between the rest of the squad and their opponent.

a) it pays to wait when placing trade - I would not have been happy at laying 2.5 or something.

b) when the stats say one thing and all the mug punters are thinking another. Go with the stats if the league is trustworthy.

Richard Latimer

@nick I looked at the size of Paide's home stadium this morning. 768 compared to Kalve 5k.

Paide are 4th and Kalev miles behind points wise. Paide have a squad of double the value. How is it possible they are playing to less than 1k every week while the big clubs have 10k on average??!

For this system Estonia is done. I may actually remove that and Lithuania from my filters so I'm not tempted to renege if things pick up in the future.

nick

@Richard-Latimer I placed the tallina bet on Smarkets and they halted the market and the bet was cancelled, so I dont know if there was some dodgy betting patterns going on ETC. so that might be another reas0n to stay away from the estonia market