Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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I'm trying to go back over all my lost trades since a couple months back to see which is the most prevalent scoreline.
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
@richard-latimer Do you think this is due to end of season syndrome in winter leagues with Summer Leagues only ust starting?
Not really. It's only one scoreline. Last seasons data is so much better as well.
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@richard-latimer Do you think this is due to end of season syndrome in winter leagues with Summer Leagues only ust starting?
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I'm considering pausing all the 2-0 scorelines for now as they've been such a killer in a couple of otherwise good leagues recently. I've pulled them out for future but then it's not helping the here and the now. It's really the only score I have HUGE reservations on currently but it's dragged this month down massively!
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FHG is already something I'm tracking on my other data but the selections seem limited as generally needs to be a strong home fave. Plenty of the games I'm looking at are 0-0 by HT like Western Utd this morning. I don't mind higher liabilities as I would want a very high strike rate. Odds are already less than the SHG.
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Hi RIchard just having a quick look at your 1.5 data you have been testing. Very impressive early start mate.
I just have an idea that i myself found useful with my over 1.5 filters.
To go in at KO is a fairly high liability for over 1.5 so i was wondering if you would like to collect data on these for a FHG.if you find a good strike rate for these games have a FHG it could be something for you to look at. To start with just record which games have a FHG.
I personally found my own over 1.5 selections had a high number of games missing out with an early goal ( i did enter at 1.51 odds) and so i use the same selections but for laying the draw in the half time market where my ROI per match is a lot higher per match.
Just a thought mate and you never know but is something i noticed from tracking my results.
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I now have the time I need for trading and also a little something to make me happy as things have been re-ignited on a slower basis. Best of both worlds for now:
Without further ado:
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I am working on an over 1.5 in the background that combines H2H and current ave goals. Very good first day. Want to get a good 3 months data and a few hundred selections before I get carried away.
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Bank Holiday Monday:
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Just posting before bed:
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@dan-mackinnon that made me laugh hshsh
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@james-rome said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
@richard-latimer when one door closes another open i know hearing stuff like donest help but it is true
That or you’ve got a dodgy carpenter
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@richard-latimer when one door closes another open i know hearing stuff like donest help but it is true
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End of winter leagues and start of summer leagues causing nightmares for a few of us
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@richard-latimer Every Cloud mate...
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And just like that I have more time for my trading:loudly_crying_face: :face_with_tears_of_joy:
So fed up of dating!!!
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
@richard-latimer why not follow Keith’s lay u1.5 as set and forget which he posts in the football thread
That's something I may well do. I just hate relying on anyone but myself now haha!
For the time being it's back to what I know works even if I'm still having to fine tune it too much. If I can mainly fit it in around what I'm doing presently and will have to think about something else in time.
While I've been busy losing a little money on laying under 1.5 the last couple of days a feew of my others came in. Resigned to this being first losing month since Sept, just have to get on and turn it around which I will do.
Sat:
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@richard-latimer why not follow Keith’s lay u1.5 as set and forget which he posts in the football thread
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
For tomorrow:
Lay Under 1.5
I'm looking at a big league like Serie A and I thought I had it figured out but I can't get it to do what I want. If one of the big leagues is a no go I'm not sure I'm where I want to be on the over 1.5. I think I need to go back to what has succeeded previously and find a way to fit it in without burning my personal life down.
I won't have any sort of a personal life if I don't sort this out so it's chicken and egg stuff!!
I will keep an eye on the set and forget thread but for now I don't have the luxury of set and forget.
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For tomorrow:
Lay Under 1.5