Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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I've just realised that with the new competition going on I keep forgetting to post my under 1.5 lays in here.
Missed the loser in Ostrava and the winner in India today. It's all documented in the other thread.
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Lay Under 1.5
GER max 6.8
CRO & SPA max 7.4
SLO & AUS Bundesliga max 11.0 (never going to be anywhere close though).Min 3.15
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@Paul-Kelly-0 thanks mate but I'm working on something simpler anyway.
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@Richard-Latimer Yeah it makes perfect sense about the number of points scored. I hope that strat turns around for you. I've followed with interest and you've put a fair old effort into it.
Doh! I knew it was lay the under too!!
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@Paul-Kelly-0 Yeah but no home team can have scored more points than the away. Well it's laying the under.
I've only been tracking it 2 months less than the home lays and have more selections already.
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@Richard-Latimer I see. The two first main criteria are home teams averaging 1.9 points or less and away teams averaging 1.5 points or more. Thanks for taking the time to explain. Good luck with the new under 1.5 goal strategy.
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@Paul-Kelly-0 I've not actually prepared the sheet properly yet. Lausanne Ouchy wouldn't qualify anyway as they were in different leagues last season.
The 1.5 (it's actually 1.4) refers to home points scored, The -0.4 (0.5) is a ratio from top allowed which is 1.9 points. 2.1 is away points scored. 0.6 is the ratio from 2.1 to minimum allowed of 1.5 away points. 3.5 is combined number of points. -0.7 is how much greater the points differential is in favour of the away side.
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@Richard-Latimer Thanks Richard. I had seen that tab you mention which provides a list of things to exclude and I think I understand that sheet. I'm trying to understand some things on the ADOLOFFS spreadsheet. After the Home and Away columns there is a series of numbers. I understand that 20 is Overall Matches Played and 10 is H2H matches played but for example today's selection Lausanne Ouchy after H2H matches column the spreadsheet shows 1.5, -0.4, 2.1, 0.6, 3.5, -0.7 etc etc. These must be the criteria that selected Lausanne Ouchy but I can't figure out what those criteria are. Sorry if I've missed something really obvious but I'm interested in what raw data you use to get your initial selection before you apply the rules that exclude some matches.
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@Paul-Kelly-0 there's a tab just next v to the system itself which says (A) Rules.
Just be careful. I'm not confident right now.
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@Richard-Latimer Yes the home lays. Sorry, I should have specified.
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@Paul-Kelly-0 said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer I recall that you have 15 or 16 criteria that you use to select teams for this strategy and then you have a series of rules that must be met before you select a team. Also I recall you have removed certain underperforming leagues (and Arsenal!). I've been looking through your trading bible but I can't see the 15 or 16 criteria. When you have a chance could you point me in the direction of where I could find those criteria please. Thank you.
The home lays?
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@Richard-Latimer I recall that you have 15 or 16 criteria that you use to select teams for this strategy and then you have a series of rules that must be met before you select a team. Also I recall you have removed certain underperforming leagues (and Arsenal!). I've been looking through your trading bible but I can't see the 15 or 16 criteria. When you have a chance could you point me in the direction of where I could find those criteria please. Thank you.
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I'm taking a breather on the home lays. Next most ready is my away lay but I'm not jumping in immediately. For tomorrow at least it's just the unders lays.
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Lay Under 1.5:
NET max 7.0
GER max 6.8
A-league max 6.6Remainder max 7.4
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5:
Max 6.6 for Swiss game.
That was quick. 2/2.
Post all updates later.
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Still going to take the Romania game then have a think.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
2 home lays for tomorrow:
Jesus H!!
I'm really not happy with these at the moment. With everything else I'm developing and the initial success of my overs it might be time to sit back and watch these for a bit.
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Lay Under 1.5:
Max 6.6 for Swiss game.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
2 home lays for tomorrow:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0
