Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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With the last result in Bolivia the unders as they are now performed well enough. Importantly though, even with those selections now removed the actual selections placed for real did slightly better than break even.
A good day overall.
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It was the natural progression of things but I've now created a filtered sheet for unders. Only exclusions so far is Mexico.
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I know there's a few people reading this thread but is anyone making money at all so far?
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Well that worked out and ends the day nicely. I firmly believe I'm making progress although sometimes it's a little like walking in treacle. Overs really starting to thrive now and if I can just get the same from unders consistently I'll be on my way.
Stupidly told the missus I would make 2k by my birthday in July or have to eat my hat. She keeps reminding me at present that it's not far off. Maybe I should go for double or quits haha!!
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So following the above post I've removed any unders totalling more than 150 on criterias 5-8 which was only 2 games. I've also removed anything under above 65 on criteria 5.
The other one I'll keep an eye on for now. Bolivar was looking good until just before HT now I'd say it's highly unlikely to stay under although you never know for sure.
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Another clean sweep on the overs (even inc. unfiltered) but unders as said before needs more work. I've got to find a way to trim the fat as well as making sure those being trimmed away represent a higher risk than the ones I choose to keep.
Thankfully on many losses when you look back at them you can see an unusual statistic which could certainly lend itself to the possibility of a higher scoring game than the others.
Honka yesterday for example had both criteria 5 & 8 at 50 (an unusual statistic which has only been seen 4 times since I changed the data set fairly recently and which has a 50% s/r.
Suwalki today, criterias 5 through 8 total over 150 - Only the 2nd time since 21/05 and these 2 are at 50%.
Nashville criteria 5 (home scored over 65%(67%) and again 4 selections with a 50% s/r.
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New set of fixtures starts at midnight.
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Overs real good again, especially the filtered leagues. Unders not so good. A few profitable leagues turned otherwise while Spain Laliga 2 which was in the doldrums and which I left well alone appears to be breaking even once more if not better. Clearly still work to be done here.
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Unders have struggled so far today
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Sheet updated. Couple of overnighters with one inplay now.
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Also while Malaysia Prem again did the business in the overs I'm going to have to remove this league due to liquidity issues.
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Good day on the unders both in respect of results as well as an amendment to criteria 5 & 6 which I've just made. I've made no secret of wanting to cut selections down but there's no point in doing so for the sake of it.
However criteria 5 & 6 have shown, in limited numbers it must be said, to perform better when under 50%.
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A couple of overs and plenty of unders to get stuck into tomorrow.
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Game in Serie B fell below minimum odds pre-kickoff. Nevermind.
Oddly enough I downloaded tomorrow's early and there were loads more for today. Missed the first, didn't bet on the rest and not recording as they didn't show up the first time.
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It's all go now!!
1 more under for tomorrow in Italy Serie B. Nothing on the overs.
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That's a winner. Nothing until tomorrow now.
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After a day with just one over we move to a day with just one under. Another Peruvian game not going inplay.
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Just the one for me today and that was in Nam. An easy win. On to tomorrow.
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@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@gary-finnigan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@gary-finnigan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Is there any reason the Belarus and Brazil Serie B game don't qualify for the unders?
Only 9 combined games and less than 100% combined under 3.5. When combined 10 games played I reduce this down to 80%.
ah right cheers i didn't realise about the minimum games
I'm applying same rules to unders as I am to the overs so it's minimum 3 games to either team, minimum 7 combined, 100% if under 10 and 80% if 10+
However if you did the Belarus game it's looking pretty good right now haha!
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@gary-finnigan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@gary-finnigan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Is there any reason the Belarus and Brazil Serie B game don't qualify for the unders?
Only 9 combined games and less than 100% combined under 3.5. When combined 10 games played I reduce this down to 80%.
ah right cheers i didn't realise about the minimum games
I'm applying same rules to unders as I am to the overs so it's minimum 3 games to either team, minimum 7 combined, 100% if under 10 and 80% if 10+
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0
