Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Wow, watching tonights Paraguay game. Thought I'd seen negative but this takes the cake. Playing it back to the keeper from corner flag ffs!!

Goal, out of nowhere haha!! This game just has to be fixed.....and I don't say that a lot.

Richard Latimer

Wow, watching tonights Paraguay game. Thought I'd seen negative but this takes the cake. Playing it back to the keeper from corner flag ffs!!

Richard Latimer

Malaysia back in black while Superettan just keeps on losing. 4 matches and currently 4 losses.

Richard Latimer

Cuenca under stops the rot but unfortunately that's the only one for today. A mixture of early season, poorly performing leagues and games not going inplay means there's not many overs today either.

Malaysia which had been on the good list until yesterday for the Super League is now ever so slightly in the red. Odds are usually quite low so it takes a while to build the profit there. Todays game no different so may not even get it at 1.2.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Goal in Paraguay already. Under coming up in Ecuador at 2am.

Sheet updated for unders now.

Had to happen in the end. Paraguayan over loses.

Richard Latimer

Goal in Paraguay already. Under coming up in Ecuador at 2am.

Sheet updated for unders now.

Richard Latimer

So far analysis shows no reason to get rid of any playoff games in the unders. Mores the point to keep excluding Mexico and Venezuela haha!

Richard Latimer

Currently going through the analysis of playoff games in the unders but an over coming up in Paraguay shortly so sheet updated for that.

Richard Latimer

Venezuela last night was a bust while the Irish games didn't qualify due to odds or not going inplay. Paraguay keeps on giving.

As for the unders I need to a bit more analysis on playoff games and other than that I think Venezuela could be one to avoid moving forward.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Decided to take the under in Venezuela. Stats look good. Let's see how it goes!

Hmmm.......not a great start

Richard Latimer

Decided to take the under in Venezuela. Stats look good. Let's see how it goes!

Richard Latimer

Sheet updated for tomorrow.

4 overs, 2 of which are in largely untested Ireland Div 1.

1 under overnight in Venezuela which I'll probably leave well enough alone as long as that league isn't in profit.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Regardless of any of that there's 3 more unders going overnight. One is in Peru and right now I'm not sure if this league is in profit or not depending on where I go with certain exclusions.

Sheet updated.

Columbia odds too low but the other 2 won.

Richard Latimer

Regardless of any of that there's 3 more unders going overnight. One is in Peru and right now I'm not sure if this league is in profit or not depending on where I go with certain exclusions.

Sheet updated.

Richard Latimer

Analyse analyse analyse......There's small samples within my larger sample in the unders which I'm not completely happy with it.......I said from the beginning this time that if it smelt a little funny I'd remove it as unwanted outlier. Going back and forth and toying with the idea. Is there meaningful data to be found from small datasets hidden within larger numbers??!!

Richard Latimer

Disappointing again after being goalless at ht.

Richard Latimer

Just the one under tomorrow and it's an overnighter in Peru. Sheet updated.

Richard Latimer

Paraguay continues to be good. 0-2 final scoreline.

Richard Latimer

Starts 00:40 by the way so not much time until kick-off.

Richard Latimer

Correction:

That's the problem looking at both unders and overs. Attributing stats and rules to one and not the other. One game in Paraguay qualifies as an over but I was looking at it as an under.

Sheet updated.