Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

Serbia is kind of on the edge of will it or won't it be profitable. Odds on Novi Pazar mean it's highly unlikely to qualify anyway. The second Serbian game is almost at evens meaning it's more likely to lose anyway.

I will be leaving Serbia alone and concentrating on the other 3.

Richard Latimer

Just as soon as Bundesliga opens up for selection it's gone.

Irritating but a few mistakes are all part of the journey.

Richard Latimer

Way out of my odds range but you still don't really expect them to lose Heerenveen beat PSV

Richard Latimer

Well that backfired.....doh!

Richard Latimer

Richard Latimer

Back in the summer I noticed something quite quickly and did something about it. Low low odds in Sweden, Finland and Norway all lost in quick succession. They were ruled out immediately and from then those leagues prospered (adding these low odds back to Eliteserien only makes things worse for that league in case anyone wondered) for the most part.

Up until Germany Bundesliga I hadn't really noticed this happening with other leagues to such a degree. Higher odds knocking it out of the park consistently. Lower odds all getting hammered. And I've checked. Can't see any other poorly performing leagues this could apply to right now either.

Knocking away all odds below 2.46 improves things hugely. It doesn't help Nov so I'm not just trying to make every month a winner. Just follow striking patterns I can see and not remove the biggest leagues in entirety without due cause.

Anyway, all this is to say.....Bundesliga is back on the table but only for odds 2.46+

I have added the rule to my spreadsheet.

Richard Latimer

First is the standard price. Best kind of price.

Second is a low odds lay.

Third is unlikely to be anything as currently home price is sky high.

Richard Latimer

Nothing Friday

Richard Latimer

it's not been an especially bad start to Dec as is. Low odds have both lost and Norway finished the season by going into the red and making them an exclusion for 2025. Other that things have been decent....just slow.

Richard Latimer

Well. I. Never.

2-0, red home, 3-0

11 mins to go

Ends 3-3 with a disallowed away goal to boot.

Love this league!

Richard Latimer

Well I suppose it's long overdue in this league but not a great a start to Dec!

Richard Latimer

Another in my favourite league tomorrow:

Richard Latimer

In the end yesterday saw only one trade I was happy with that fit the price credentials. At least it won but that was a break even weekend to go along with the £150 loss on the first week.

Nothing now until at least Wed on this.

My Over 1.5 continues to prosper and I have to take the plunge there in Jan.

Richard Latimer

Odds on the Turkish game too high anyway by the looks of it. Certainly on the threshold and not a win I'm going to record. Record the losses on the threshold, delete the wins. Can only improve with the actual trade at that point.

Richard Latimer

So Switzerland and Germany justified my lack of faith. Galatasaray would have been an easy enough win after the initial stress of a red card.

All building reliable data though.

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Richard Latimer

As much as it's going to leave very slim pickings and I'm going to leave Sivasspor as well. Galatasaray have won last 10 games away but it's only the 3rd selection including raw data (2nd in refined) that has hit those heights. It's VERY unusual and what goes up must come down. Hopefully it wins but I need more data.

Richard Latimer

Almost certainly staying away from Switzerland and German Bundesliga at this present time.

I'm getting to the point where the overs system I've been working on for some time is beginning to supercede this one. That's not to say I'll be stopping this but I do plan on putting another little bank into action come January.

As I've said before I firmly believe security is in diversifying.

Richard Latimer

Richard Latimer

Aberystwyth cancelled. Odds on Waalwijk almost certainly too big.

So 3/4.

But because it's variable staking that's around £70 loss today.

Need some of the lower odds to start winning again.