Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Couldn't resist!
Essentially it's what I've been doing over on the facebook page so if you've been following you'll know the deal by now.
There's official and monitored and the whole damn thing is fluid right now although I'm getting closer to what I feel will be the final product.
In any case it's all detailed on the attached sheet:
Will update for tomorrow asap
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I do hate Scotland. Scottish Prem is already excluded. Scottish Championship about to join it for now. Scottish League One too possibly.
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Busy day....
These are my away lays with caveats as always:
Yellow alerts to leagues without much data but not in the negative. Min odds for any away team will be 2.7 so right away the Bradford lay looks unlikely. Max price as always will be 11.0.
My plan is to be stricter with under lays as that system is going very well and not so very far away from what I'll consider as completion with the odd tweak on odds for different leagues. I'm noticing this is beneficial with a few.
So for this one there will likely be ups and downs while things settle as I'm trading any that qualify.
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Time to do it all again!
Lay Under 1.5:
SLOV, SPA, ITA Min Price 3.15 - Max Price 7.4
NET Min Price 3.15 - Max Price 7.0
SWI Min Price 3.15 - Max Price 6.6
Juarez v Pachuca (MEX) Min 4.0 - Max Price 7.4
CZE, BEL Min Price 3.15 - Max Price 11.00
GER Min Price 3.15 - Max Price 8.4
Club America v Toluca (MEX) Min Price 4.0 - Max Price 11.00
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This is just for context before I start posting the away lays. Since 11 Feb I made 16 trades and thus far have managed to avoid a single loss. The original £1,800 I put to this (took the money from home lay bank, which was down to about £1950, less £150 and I have built it above £2k again.
Reason for the £150 was when I initially split the points in to 2k each I was down to around £3850 so I've just levelled it out. Starting a little smaller didn't seem such a bad thing.
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Managed to end Feb very slightly in profit despite travails where certains patterns were noticed, internal tweaks became unavoidable and the system becomes even closer to being complete for me:
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2 Lay Under 1.5:
Max price NET 7.0
Max price GER 8.4 -
Over the weekend I'm going to start posting away lays too. I've been tentatively doing these since 11 Nov and it's been an excellent start. Now I'm going public they'll nosedive
EDIT
Just noticed my typo. Data for away lays goes back as far as unders lays (last April). Been tentatively trading them since 11 Feb not Nov.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Keep on forgetting to post my overs in here due to this competition. Anyone following what I'm doing should make sure they look in there too!
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If the price comes down a few more ticks lay under 1.5 on this:
Max lay price 7.4
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Latest result in Saudi I had posted on the competition thread but wasn't actually going to lay for real.
What changed my mind was a) Saudi League is coming up frequently suggesting there's going to be many selections and b) the number of high profile players in the league now.
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Lay Under 1.5:
Min price 3.15
Max price 7.4 -
Almost back in profit. The leagues I'm not quite there with did well too so bodes well for the future.
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Lay Under 1.5:
All likely to qualify. SWI closest to the edge as Max 6.6 and currently 6.2/6.4.
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I wasn't going to do this one today but based on the fact I have another in the same league tomorrow and the only reason for no selections yet is it was excluded from my filter for some reason. I am:
Lay Under 1.5 Max price 7.4 though so may not qualify anyway.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
For tomorrow - Lay Under 1.5:
Min 3.15 - Max 11.00
2-2. Heading in the right direction again.
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For tomorrow - Lay Under 1.5:
Min 3.15 - Max 11.00
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As promised. Highlights the difficult nature of this month so far but with a weekend and a Fri to go profit can still be made.
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I had a go at simplifying my home lay system today and while it is possible with the same sort of league exclusion, the home lay thing I'm working on now has I believe the potential to be better.
I'm obviously not getting rid of the data. It's valuable. A whole years worth shows it works. I am however about to stop collecting more data for now as, with the other 4 in my planned portfolio, it's just too much work.
I'll keep the filter, I'll archive the data and if anyone wants it give me a shout.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5 Randers
1-2, stopped the rot
1/5307