Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Detailed analysis of what I'm doing today in the football thread.
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Other than 1 ht Ltd which I'm not properly putting out there yet. I will however be laying the draw if tampines are 0-0 or 1-1 at ht.
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Nothing today
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All favoured hom teams today. If they fall behind I'll lay the opp and then if they fall further behind I will potentiall lay again depending on odds.
Also if Shanghai SIPG or Beijing make it to HT at 0-0 with increased odds I will back them.
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Guangzhou Evergrande the only favoured team today. If they fall behind I will lay the opp and if they fall further behind I will lay again. Assess trade when/if home team scores.
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Been through all the comeback selections with a fine toothcombe looking for correlation between prev H2H results and other than Tampine it alll looks fairly ok.
Where the historical data shows no significant bias to the underdog I have left alone as these have all performed well enough.
Where historical data shows a bias to the underdog I have looked to see if this bias is recent and if not then hopefully things should be fine.
Ipswich v Leeds was the only other to make me think but then away games not very frequent anyway and this rule hasn't affected things one way or the other on the aways so for the time being I'm leaving them in. -
All selections on sheet and posted on football thread.
Yesterday was a testing day but came through it with not much deficit at all due to doubling down on the lay and not being afraid to red out.
I got back in the Albirex Niigata match about 5 mins before the end as odds were very low and a 2nd goal for the home side looked likely. It didn't come but I would do again.
In the Maribor game I managed to lay Triglav @ 1.05 when they were 0-2 up and then cashed out around 1.25 when they scored a goal straight back. It stayed 1-2 so taking the smaller loss was definitely the way to go.
Took full profit on Plzen. Tried to cash out a couple of times towards the end but each time I did the market suspended. Then Plzenw ent ahead and I decided to leave it for a bit. Then they scored a 3rd.
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All selections on sheet and posted in football thread
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Posted on football thread.
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Posted in football thread.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Nothing tomorrow from the tiny amount of fixtures. That said I'm working on a HT LTD system/strategy and Hafnarfjordur looks food for that if they can make it to ht 0-0 or 1-1.
The HT LTD came through. So tempted to leave it to run as these have been doing well but I chickened out and cashed not wanting to ruin a good day on the tennis haha!
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Nothing tomorrow from the tiny amount of fixtures. That said I'm working on a HT LTD system/strategy and Hafnarfjordur looks food for that if they can make it to ht 0-0 or 1-1.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
All todays on sheet and also posted in football thread.
Just the one but a winner in Malaysia
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All todays on sheet and also posted in football thread.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Green favours home team, pink the away.
I'll be laying the opposition if they should take the lead and doubling down on that lay if they extend that lead.
As before green favours home, pink away. If they should reach ht at 0-0 and odds risen I will back.
Both strategies will remove liability at the earliest and assess from there but away teams more likely to lose than home.
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If Valur fall behind today I'll be laying the opp. That is it.
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Sheet updated
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Zero time to post. All on the sheet.
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Had no time to post before now but all updated on sheet as normal. Norkoping are 0-0 @ HT so backed @ 1.85. Will look to remove liability asap and assess from there.
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If any of Bangkok, Ilves or Suduva fall behind I will lay the oppp and then lay again if that lead is extended. Remove liability at the earliest and and assess full cashout from there.
If any of the first 3 teams are still 0-0 at HT and odds risen back away team. If any of the bottom 3 are 0-0 with risen odds back home team. Remove liability at the earliest and assess full cashout from there.
