Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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All league appear to have their ideal pricepoint. Certainly for the stats I am using at any rate.
I actually feel far more comfortable when I've found that pricepoint than when they all seem to be doing ok. Only takes one night to find a couple on the bounce.
Argentina I had that price point but a quick delve showed that actually anything under 4.0 had lost prior to yesterday. And so the trend continued.
Then it was Ulsan's turn. Bad enough as almost invariably any lay I put on overnight suffers a price reduction in just 5-6 hours or less. It is hard to get value. At any rate Ulsan lost 1-2 at odds that should have been attainable @5.3 and low and behold. Yes, this is the highest qualifying price I've seen since tracking began in that league.
The K League appears to operate better at lower odds.
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After another pisspoor start on the overs in April I've just about made it back in to profit. Let's see what today brings:
The away lays on the other hand took a massive hit yesterday so while both are technically in profit for April that profit is down substantially there.
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Lay Away:
ITA 4.7+
COS 5+
COL 5.1+
MEX 5+Nothing under 2.62 and nothing over 11.0
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Lay Under 1.5:
GER 7.2-8.4
SPA 7.2-11.0
ENG 4.4-11.0
FRA 5.8-7.4
BRA 3.65 Max
MEX 7.2-11.0
USA 5.5-11.0Nothing under 3.15 and nothing over 11.0
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Lay Away:
ARG must be 3.5 or more
Remainder 2.62+ -
Lay Under 1.5:
Need 3.15-11.0 price other than NET which is 5.1-6.0.
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One over in the Saudi league this evening posted in the competition thread. Ended 2-0.
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Away Lays:
None of these likely based on current odds. All need to come out to around 5's to lay
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Lay Under 1.5:
For ECU I'm looking for a min price of 3.85 and for MEX it's min 4.0
This isn't just a lay price exactly either. It's more of a look at the market and garner what's potentially achievable price depending on liquidity etc...
Mexico will be difficult as it's a 4am kickoff. Just need to do my best with prices on that one. -
Unders Lays:
Lay Aways:
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Sweep across all 5 selections today
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Lay Away:
Bit concerned about Netanya as to this point all Israeli selections have had higher odds. May do the same as last night and still use mid range stake.
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Lay Under 1.5:
Min price 3.8
Max price on Maccabi Tel Aviv 7.4 -
And 8/9 on the away lays. (should have been 7/8)
Overall a good weekend.
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Went 6/7 on the overs:
Given my good luck on the South Korean game and slight nervousness at the low odds in Peru I decided to to go with only the mid range stake.
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Posting a mid weekend update on the away lays. I got very lucky in that Gangwon didn't lose to Gwangju despite the price falling below my threshold. The problem with early morning games. I can't be up that early and be up that late for the overnighters in Mexico.
Eventually they will need to be automated. I also got lucky in Croatia where I momentarily forgot my minimum odds in Croatia and ended up laying Istra @ 2.64. They promptyl went 0-2 down so I decided to chalk it up as a loss and another learning curve. Then they got one back immediately. I was still loathe to take over 50% loss on smallish odds so left it. they levelled it up and at that point I could have traded out for a small loss. Not believing there would be another goal before ht I left it to see if a) they got another or b) the price went back to 2.64. B happened just before HT so I got out as if nothing had happened.
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Away Lays:
CRO 3.1+
ITA 4.7+
MEX 5+
COS 5+
SWI 4.3+Nothing below 2.62, nothing above 11.0
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I've posted my overs in the competition thread. No time to duplicate this weekend.
I won't be doing the amber highlighted trade for real though.
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Here's the full list of away lays:
Odds on Herediano will rule that one out.
San Carlos will happen as long as 5.0+ to lay -
Running a bit late but lay Caen - France Ligue 2
