Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

John Folan

@frode-lia said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Probably equalise about the same. Not worth sweating over anyway. I’ve given up worrying on stuff like that. Headspace has sorted a lot of my head fuckery out. Ryan recommended it.

Headspace?

Meditation. Sort of. It will be in whatever App Store is on your phone. Worth a go and I thought it was complete bollocks before I tried it

I had a quick look and thought that was what you meant. OK I'll download and give it a go.

All the sudden a mindfullness group

Honestly it works. Felt miles better since doing it. Even my wife has noticed. I think that’s a good thing

? Offline

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Probably equalise about the same. Not worth sweating over anyway. I’ve given up worrying on stuff like that. Headspace has sorted a lot of my head fuckery out. Ryan recommended it.

Headspace?

Meditation. Sort of. It will be in whatever App Store is on your phone. Worth a go and I thought it was complete bollocks before I tried it

I had a quick look and thought that was what you meant. OK I'll download and give it a go.

All the sudden a mindfullness group

Richard Latimer

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Probably equalise about the same. Not worth sweating over anyway. I’ve given up worrying on stuff like that. Headspace has sorted a lot of my head fuckery out. Ryan recommended it.

Headspace?

Meditation. Sort of. It will be in whatever App Store is on your phone. Worth a go and I thought it was complete bollocks before I tried it

I had a quick look and thought that was what you meant. OK I'll download and give it a go.

Richard Latimer

Other than China which isn't going inplay and Superettan (excluded on crapness) tomorrow looks quiet again with only Paraguay of interest.

John Folan

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Should have said before I delete them

It’s ok I downloaded the sheet yesterday so no dramas.

John Folan

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Probably equalise about the same. Not worth sweating over anyway. I’ve given up worrying on stuff like that. Headspace has sorted a lot of my head fuckery out. Ryan recommended it.

Headspace?

Meditation. Sort of. It will be in whatever App Store is on your phone. Worth a go and I thought it was complete bollocks before I tried it

? Offline

Wow, just had a read through this thread and it’s a lot to take in. Looks like good work guys

Richard Latimer

Should have said before I delete them

Richard Latimer

@John-Folan If you need the last 4 fixtures for any records you are starting let me know before I deleted as they didn't qualify for what I'm doing.

Richard Latimer

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Probably equalise about the same. Not worth sweating over anyway. I’ve given up worrying on stuff like that. Headspace has sorted a lot of my head fuckery out. Ryan recommended it.

Headspace?

John Folan

Probably equalise about the same. Not worth sweating over anyway. I’ve given up worrying on stuff like that. Headspace has sorted a lot of my head fuckery out. Ryan recommended it.

Richard Latimer

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

All four listed on the filtered leagues page had second half goals since the 7th . To quote The Rock. ‘You’re Welcome’

Both U.S. games not on betfair. Odds too low on Singapore and Iceland for over 1.5.

But not for lcs. USL games were easy enough to back overs at the bookies. Bet365 hate me at the moment

Of course not for lcs but including low odds games could go either way. Possibly increase s/r. Possibly increase losses as well as wins. I don't have records for this so could go either way.

John Folan

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

All four listed on the filtered leagues page had second half goals since the 7th . To quote The Rock. ‘You’re Welcome’

Both U.S. games not on betfair. Odds too low on Singapore and Iceland for over 1.5.

But not for lcs. USL games were easy enough to back overs at the bookies. Bet365 hate me at the moment

Richard Latimer

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

All four listed on the filtered leagues page had second half goals since the 7th . To quote The Rock. ‘You’re Welcome’

Bear in mind my records will only include those with starting odds high enough to be included or at least those that traded high enough pre-kick-off.

Richard Latimer

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Might go back through and add in the scores for any game that was over 1.5 at half time. See what the strike rate is once the floodgates have opened. May as well wring it for everything we can get

Should separate it out based on fh scores if you do.

Richard Latimer

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

All four listed on the filtered leagues page had second half goals since the 7th . To quote The Rock. ‘You’re Welcome’

Both U.S. games not on betfair. Odds too low on Singapore and Iceland for over 1.5.

John Folan

Might go back through and add in the scores for any game that was over 1.5 at half time. See what the strike rate is once the floodgates have opened. May as well wring it for everything we can get

John Folan

All four listed on the filtered leagues page had second half goals since the 7th . To quote The Rock. ‘You’re Welcome’
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John Folan

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Ok so using the filtered league results we have a total of 392 games under 1.5 goals. Of those a whopping 332 had a goal second half with an impressive strike rate of 84.7 % giving us a bit more wiggle room on the max price which goes up to 6.0.

The 0-0's were a strike rate of 82.1% and that is 133 with a goal second half from 162 games.

Filtered leagues are a thing. We all know it. I've done work before in laying odds on favourites at football and the same thing happened. Remarkably very similar in the leagues that underperformed with this.

You've got an incredibly similar strike rate to the over 1.5 from kick off. I still think that will be improved as certain leagues in medium deficit now are discarded.

Mad isn’t it? Two good approaches now. Bring forth the money

Richard Latimer

@john-folan said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Ok so using the filtered league results we have a total of 392 games under 1.5 goals. Of those a whopping 332 had a goal second half with an impressive strike rate of 84.7 % giving us a bit more wiggle room on the max price which goes up to 6.0.

The 0-0's were a strike rate of 82.1% and that is 133 with a goal second half from 162 games.

Filtered leagues are a thing. We all know it. I've done work before in laying odds on favourites at football and the same thing happened. Remarkably very similar in the leagues that underperformed with this.

You've got an incredibly similar strike rate to the over 1.5 from kick off. I still think that will be improved as certain leagues in medium deficit now are discarded.