Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Hi RIchard. New to the thread. Is this where you will be posting your daily lists now?
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Finally, home teams coming back from the dead (0-2 down):
Getting a bit boring as nothing ever seems to qualify anymore but until I have something better it's a nicely performing filter when things do actually qualify and it's also incredibly low risk.
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H2 goals (only when there hasn't been any H2 goals already) from 60-75 mins in (a bit vague but it all depends on what gets matched. When these qualify I'll take the HT odds, halve them for first half of stake and then take a literal half of the odds (6.0 will become 3.0 for example) and lay that price for 2nd half of stake.
Also, if anyone is avoiding China on account of them being played at Neutral venues this no longer seems applicable for some reason. The last load I have looked at/traded have all been held at the correct venue.
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Milestone today as stake for 1pt goes from £1.99 to £2.02. As I'm using a ratchet these stakes won't go down unless my bank falls from it's current level of £108.63 to £70.61.
For anything with odds over 3.5 and no higher than 7.4 I will be staking £1.21. If I go higher than this but no higher than 11.0 (highly unlikely) I will be staking 90p.
This is how I manage to take higher odds and still keep within where I want to be in terms of not overstaking.
ELO's:
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Not updating now although I have updated my sheet. Going to bed in a minute but it was a good day made better by Flamengo.
Thu ELO's:
Thu Late Goals:
Odds have got to be right, score has got to be 0-0/1-1/0-1 at HT and needs to be some attacking threat on the pitch or signs of attacking intent on inplay stats/sofascore graph.
Titanic - Home teams coming back from 0-2 down:
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Titanic:
Home teams coming back from 0-2.
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Late goal potentials:
I've checked to make sure each team has played enough games this time.
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Nothing from today other than the things I'm working on in the background. Tomorrows ELO selections for laying winning weaker team:
No data on SA yet so may take a very persuasive argument to get me involved there for the time being.
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Titanic:
If Sochi go 0-2 down I will lay Kazan.
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No potential 2nd half goals today
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Todays ELO:
Mexico already happened and as everyone, including me, was tucked up in bed by then I saw no need to post it before bed. It's just there for completeness even though it was on the sheet before kickoff so if anybody had gone looking they would have fouund it.
I didn't used to track these games I couldn't get on but since I created a new sheet tracking new info I wanted to get them all down whether I was on them or not.
It also ties in with wanting to be able to come away if I'm green enough. Say I'm done for the day but still collect the data.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Late goals
Totally missed the fact that not enough games had been played for the first 2. Only 12 when I want much closer to 20.
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Coming back from the dead (home only)
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Late goals
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
ELO lays
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Potential late goals:
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Small red, moving on:
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Love the Titanic filter but really, nothing is getting through at the moment. Last qualifier I did was Atalanta back at the beginning of the month. There was Juarez in Mehico which lost the other night but it like 3in the am and even I wasn't up. Would have been very low odds regardless as with all these.
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Late goal potentials:
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Opening this back up:
Saturday ELO's
Seems strange to think that Croatian leagues only just finished and now here they are again, ripe for the picking.
