Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Positive results continued into the night with these. I'll have to incorporate them on to the sheet so people can see what I'm seeing if it continues.
16 winners, 8 losses.
Only 2 of the losers have come in around evens, the rest have been lower, way lower and even lower still.Was a 17th which also won but from what I could see there was little liquidity in Panama.
Biggest problem I can see at the moment is how to reduce such a mammoth list of qualifying selections. These don't even rely on current season data as all I want to do is exploit the reason odds are so short rather than for a teams winning trend to continue.
Excuse typos haha
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Positive results continued into the night with these. I'll have to incorporate them on to the sheet so people can see what I'm seeing if it continues.
16 winners, 8, 8 losses.
Only 2 of the losers have come in around evens, the rest have been lower, way lower and even lower still.Was a 17th which also won but from what I could see there was little liquidity in Panama.
Biggest problem I can see at the moment is how to reduce such a mammoth list of qualifying selections. These don't even rely on current season data as all I want to did is exploit the reason odds are so short rather than for a a teams winning trend to continue.
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@simon Ahaha it did start out like a joke didn't it? I was thinking that when I typed it out
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@ryan-carruthers said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@simon I’ll get these - how many corners does it take to lead to a goal?
Can't remember the exact but I know it averages 1 in 10 games.
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@ryan-carruthers sounds like the start of a joke! I can’t remeber exactly......but lots haha!
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@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Plenty going on tomorrow but only 4 fall under the filtered tab. I'm looking at the whole football is just a crapshoot thing in particular at those with the strongest stats of clean sheets and 2 goals + scored.
Staggering on the small amount so far that have not only failed to win but lost at very short odds.
Not sure I phrased that right. Small amount of data has so far produced many winning lays for what look like sure things based on clean sheets and 2+ goals scored.
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Plenty going on tomorrow but only 4 fall under the filtered tab. I'm looking at the whole football is just a crapshoot thing in particular at those with the strongest stats of clean sheets and 2 goals + scored.
Staggering on the small amount so far that have not only failed to win but lost at very short odds.
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@simon I’ll get these - how many corners does it take to lead to a goal?
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@richard-latimer read it recently too, a good read. Makes you think just how much chance/luck is involved, especially when evenly matched teams play each other.
Love the numbers behind how many corners actually lead to goals too, total myth buster!
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Just purchased Soccernomics now which looks similar. Love all these books that look at the numbers behind things that happen though.
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On a side note has anyone ever read 'The Numbers Game'? Just finished it. Quite enlightening. Even with all the stats and marginal gains there is still a huge element of chance to every game. Regardless of odds too.
And a team performing amazingly well will almost always regress to the mean at some point while a team doing the opposite do the same in the other direction.
When a manager is fired and they appear to bounce back for a little bit the results for teams doing similar who don't fire the manager immediately tend to bounce back in the same fashion.
Not conceding is more valuable to a win than scoring one. Only scoring 2 gives the same high percentage chance of winning as keeping a clean sheet.
It's given me a few things to look at in terms of sides.
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Just the one in Brazil Serie B tomorrow. No dice there. League too inconsistent.
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@ryan-carruthers said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer BOOOOO!!
Crap for footie today isnt it!
Seems like haha
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@richard-latimer BOOOOO!!
Crap for footie today isnt it!
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Nothing for Thursday
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Well shanghai got matched for 15 quid so if you're betting small maybe that's a winner. Young Lions traded a small amount at 1.2 pre kick-off so left to go inplay. That's another winner.
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@ryan-carruthers said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer Not at all, you can handle it
Not sure any of them going to be matched at this rate.
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@richard-latimer Not at all, you can handle it
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@ryan-carruthers said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer excited!!
That's a lot of pressure haha
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@richard-latimer excited!!