Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
-
No work today while I await the results of a Covid test for my son from yesterday. Can see this becoming the new norm now.
Plenty of ELO's today although some have been ruled out immediately as it's the first day of the season. Others are are split into the good list and the watch/track list.
Good ones first:
For tracking only:
The second list is way longer and before my new found discipline I would have careered into all these but. Ukraine has been no more than a 50/50 proposition so far (close to Russia, maybe this is why haha!), Azerbaijan I either have no data on or removed previously (either way I'll track now), Malta I definitely removed (now tracking), Armenia I can't recall but there is no data, Kazak 1 small loss and nothing else, Hungary 1 larger loss and nothing else.
Belgium is well documented. I continue to track but it has been awful for well over a year.
Finally, Ireland not looking great so continue to monitor.
-
My spreadsheet is updated again as always with everything on there including the overnighters. Monitoring Indy Eleven for a H2 goal but it' 1-0 at the moment and that HT scoreline would rule it out for me.
Other than that there's Beijing which is both a home ELO fave and potential H2 goal depending on odds. I'll look to post up properly Thu afternoon when I'm back from work.
-
@daniel-cooper said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
How have the ELO's been last few days?
Yeah not bad. Trouble is Libertad was the day of the ratings going down so I only got the fixture when it was too late and Monterrey was overnight so I was in bed. Aside from that it's pretty much break even. The month hasn't got going yet but I'm only just over a pt down.
-
How have the ELO's been last few days?
-
Green day today from 2 trades. Sept has gone loss, win, loss, win, loss, win........and so on and so forth.
Essentially I'm under 1 and a half points red still so this is easily made up. Maybe tomorrow can be the first consecutive day of profit in this not very exciting month thus far.
-
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Both Kawasaki and Tokyo obliging with an equaliser so a much better morning. Now going for a H2 goal in Huachipato Chile.
Laid under 1.5 @ 3.05 & 2.56.
Goals came way too quickly in that one but at least they came at all.
-
Both Kawasaki and Tokyo obliging with an equaliser so a much better morning. Now going for a H2 goal in Huachipato Chile.
Laid under 1.5 @ 3.05 & 2.56.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Haven't posted yet but all my stuff is on sheet as normal. Don't have time to post this morning my either.
A few things in good leagues though.
Nice to see the ELO's kept performing overnight. Shame I had to go to bed haha!
-
H2 goal potential:
Also one in Bahrain but I have no data there yet so will paper trade that one if it qualifies.
-
Will need to get my head on straight and concentrate when football proiper start again in a few days. Until then we're still dealing with the dregs.
1 ELO lay in Qatar for tomorrow. Another in Bahrain but that's on my list of stuff to watch and do nothing presently:
-
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Over & Out (H2 goals):
Currently 0-0 in Columbus Crew with just over 20mins gone.
Typical. Goal way too early in Columbus but Seattle would have been a nice winner.
Missed a goal in quatar but it's more positive data. The Israeli game stayed 0-2 after HT but this isn't a score I envisage being a good earner and it was a paper trade.
The lay winning team thing similar to ELO that I am working on in the background is looking good and spotting lots of patterns for things to be tweaked. Almost 100 selections now and I'll share what I'm working on as soon as I reach that point.
-
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Over & Out (H2 goals):
Currently 0-0 in Columbus Crew with just over 20mins gone.
Typical. Goal way too early in Columbus but Seattle would have been a nice winner.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Over & Out (H2 goals):
Currently 0-0 in Columbus Crew with just over 20mins gone.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Only qualifier was Ulsan in the end for Sunday but it duly delivered.
For Monday:
Currently 1-1 in Uruguay.
-
Full list now:
ELO's
H2 Goals
Titanic (home come backs from 0-2 down)
-
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Going through Sunday and before I post there's a game on at the moment where I expect a h2 goal. Laying under 2.5 @ 3.55. As ever it's a variable stake so reduced because I'm over 3.5.
Actually scratch that, I'm getting confused haha!
-
Going through Sunday and before I post there's a game on at the moment where I expect a h2 goal. Laying under 2.5 @ 3.55. As ever it's a variable stake so reduced because I'm over 3.5.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Ratings back and I see we missed a very good ELO tonight in Paraguay. Good to note that it was in another lay strategy I'm trying to refine using stats alone.
-
Very up and down start to Sept so far.
Frustration in Finland (for the time on my shitcanned list for ELO's), elation in Brazil (H2 goal at good odds), then frustration in Brazil (Gremio dominating whole game and somehow managing too go 2 down - luckily getting one back immediately after the re-lay to minimise losses), elation in China with a good comeback and then a little more frustration trying to trade without stats on what looked a good comeback opportunity.
In spite of this I'm still only around 1.5pts down and the month can now begin proper with the stats back.
-
Made the right call for Ireland to be on s**t canned list for time being. Would have had a semi costly loss in Drogheda as they lost to a single goal in the 60th.
