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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.7k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4121

    Friday selections all up in the football thread.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4122

    0_1563957803069_ca3d18a3-6485-4e67-88f3-71ee4aef4963-image.png

    If either of the above are 0-0 or 1-1 @ HT I will LTD with a view to getting out either with 2 goal cushion or no later than 75 mins if only 1 goal. If no goal comes I'll stick it out until a goal does come.

    If score is 0-1 I'll lay half available odds of U1.5 with a view to this matching 62nd-63rd minute.

    For the Bolivian game I may do that regardless as it will be late and allows me to retire to bed haha!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4123

    Not updated this thread in a while but that's because I've been trying to post what I'm doing in the football thread as well so more ppeople see it and then it just became something else to do haha!! In any case everything is detailed within my work sheets.

    Today is just Ulsan Hyundai in terms of the back/lays.

    If they get to HT @ 0-0 and odds better than just before kick off I'll back them and trade out with a 2 goal cushion or if only a 1 goal lead on 80 mins (no later). Whichever happens sooner I will deal accordingly.

    Other than that I will let it run.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4124

    Detailed analysis of what I'm doing today in the football thread.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4125

    Other than 1 ht Ltd which I'm not properly putting out there yet. I will however be laying the draw if tampines are 0-0 or 1-1 at ht.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4126

    Nothing today

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4127

    0_1563348778935_5fc7d6b8-0a92-4d60-a3de-ba24500169b3-image.png

    All favoured hom teams today. If they fall behind I'll lay the opp and then if they fall further behind I will potentiall lay again depending on odds.

    Also if Shanghai SIPG or Beijing make it to HT at 0-0 with increased odds I will back them.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4128

    Guangzhou Evergrande the only favoured team today. If they fall behind I will lay the opp and if they fall further behind I will lay again. Assess trade when/if home team scores.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4129

    Been through all the comeback selections with a fine toothcombe looking for correlation between prev H2H results and other than Tampine it alll looks fairly ok.

    Where the historical data shows no significant bias to the underdog I have left alone as these have all performed well enough.
    Where historical data shows a bias to the underdog I have looked to see if this bias is recent and if not then hopefully things should be fine.
    Ipswich v Leeds was the only other to make me think but then away games not very frequent anyway and this rule hasn't affected things one way or the other on the aways so for the time being I'm leaving them in.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4130

    All selections on sheet and posted on football thread.

    Yesterday was a testing day but came through it with not much deficit at all due to doubling down on the lay and not being afraid to red out.

    I got back in the Albirex Niigata match about 5 mins before the end as odds were very low and a 2nd goal for the home side looked likely. It didn't come but I would do again.

    In the Maribor game I managed to lay Triglav @ 1.05 when they were 0-2 up and then cashed out around 1.25 when they scored a goal straight back. It stayed 1-2 so taking the smaller loss was definitely the way to go.

    Took full profit on Plzen. Tried to cash out a couple of times towards the end but each time I did the market suspended. Then Plzenw ent ahead and I decided to leave it for a bit. Then they scored a 3rd.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4131

    All selections on sheet and posted in football thread

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4132

    Posted on football thread.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4133

    Posted in football thread.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4134

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Nothing tomorrow from the tiny amount of fixtures. That said I'm working on a HT LTD system/strategy and Hafnarfjordur looks food for that if they can make it to ht 0-0 or 1-1.

    The HT LTD came through. So tempted to leave it to run as these have been doing well but I chickened out and cashed not wanting to ruin a good day on the tennis haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4135

    Nothing tomorrow from the tiny amount of fixtures. That said I'm working on a HT LTD system/strategy and Hafnarfjordur looks food for that if they can make it to ht 0-0 or 1-1.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4136

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    All todays on sheet and also posted in football thread.

    Just the one but a winner in Malaysia

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4137

    All todays on sheet and also posted in football thread.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4138

    0_1562312870908_e00b553c-9b2b-406d-a962-ee1c1c014c91-image.png

    Green favours home team, pink the away.

    I'll be laying the opposition if they should take the lead and doubling down on that lay if they extend that lead.

    0_1562312941911_4c3ef43f-eb15-4bc8-b7b8-c0efe632238a-image.png

    As before green favours home, pink away. If they should reach ht at 0-0 and odds risen I will back.

    Both strategies will remove liability at the earliest and assess from there but away teams more likely to lose than home.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4139

    If Valur fall behind today I'll be laying the opp. That is it.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4140

    Sheet updated

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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