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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.6k Posts 81 Posters 436.8k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #3981

    We made it!!! The weekend is upon us and finally there will be some trades:

    Have already split out the good ELO leagues (Won't Stay Down) from the 'Can't Get Back Up' ones.

    0_1598645775769_cdc4ded1-8b11-4535-a633-083a56bcdc41-image.png

    The good ones.

    0_1598645810155_cd97439b-2d27-4054-8b61-1f00c02c670d-image.png

    The sus ones.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3982

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Going to hope for an opportunity to put this one in Uruguay into Action in a bit:

    0_1598565997073_f6b5c1ab-2a29-42be-9503-d8af2aa594e3-image.png

    Need 0-0/0-1/1-1@HT to enter. Also decent enough odds and attacking threat/good enough inplay stats. Once I have this I will lay the next under to hopefully match around 65-70 mins.

    1-0 and a red card so that ones out.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3983

    If Arad go 0-2 down it's a lay on the away:

    0_1598566170063_545adf7a-a07d-49ba-9c0f-2c9801f90373-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3984

    Going to hope for an opportunity to put this one in Uruguay into Action in a bit:

    0_1598565997073_f6b5c1ab-2a29-42be-9503-d8af2aa594e3-image.png

    Need 0-0/0-1/1-1@HT to enter. Also decent enough odds and attacking threat/good enough inplay stats. Once I have this I will lay the next under to hopefully match around 65-70 mins.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3985

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    ELO's from largely untested countries on Thursday (one in Ecuador and one in Kazak):

    0_1598483861071_07ff4f22-43de-4e7d-a4c5-1d6797e6ea7d-image.png

    Glad I didn't jump in. Ecuador would have been a loss last night. Either a small traded loss or an outright loss but a loss just the same. Time to see if the Kazaks have what it takes.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3986

    ELO's from largely untested countries on Thursday (one in Ecuador and one in Kazak):

    0_1598483861071_07ff4f22-43de-4e7d-a4c5-1d6797e6ea7d-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3987

    If the home team goes behindd 0-2 I will lay away:

    0_1598404110195_a0ae563b-6baa-4703-9abc-8f68354c0012-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #3988

    Potential H2 goals if the moon is in Jupiter:

    0_1598392689149_6a1a78e6-290f-4d00-89a0-9f0160a915c8-image.png

    I keep talking about how awful Russia is, prob wouldn't do that one. Also Morocco. Doubt I'd bothere there either. EDIT: Morocco cancelled anyway.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3989

    Absolutely zero, nada, zilch today.

    Tomorrow:

    0_1598392176421_ac38a425-f3b0-467e-9b01-0e36f3cf54b6-image.png

    And from the stable of it may do ok but then again I have nothing to back that up:

    0_1598392237749_f334404f-4f07-44f4-b4a1-5951d8675b6b-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3990

    Also, on my Titanic filter is this:

    0_1598342826680_a1308b66-313c-4bbe-8da9-c0e30fe06b3d-image.png

    Lay away if 0-2 up.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3991

    0_1598342741798_7a9443fe-c898-4b89-8592-77f851b4949a-image.png

    2nd half goal picks. For detils of how I play them, when I play them or even if I play them scroll up.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3992

    ELO's for Tuesday:

    Won't Stay Down (leagues I'm happy with)
    0_1598304589446_31e8d936-8ad7-42f6-8a22-c36aa9778dfc-image.png

    Can't Get Up (leagues I no longer trust)
    0_1598304673517_99ffe65a-14a3-45d1-a0c8-755b12001261-image.png

    Prob won't qualify anyway but if it does I'm staying away. Knock yourself out if you want to have a go haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3993

    @richard-latimer I could watch Mbappe play football everyday and not get bored my lord what a player

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #3994

    @ryan-carruthers said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    @richard-latimer I've always thought France was low scoring, seems to be a really defensive league - I have zero stats to back that up just exp!

    I think it used to be but maybe PSG and those running to catch up have changed that culture a little.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #3995

    @Richard-Latimer excellent analysis and update and validates what you’ve been doing.

    Shows us what analysis we need to do at times if having doubts

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3996

    @richard-latimer I've always thought France was low scoring, seems to be a really defensive league - I have zero stats to back that up just exp!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #3997

    @finn-kristensen said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    No time like the present and I've had another look at some of the bigger leagues we'll be welcoming back soon.

    Netherlands is good
    Spain is good
    Italy is decent enough
    France is a bit MEH.....but not as many selections and as bigger league I would persevere there. It's really only one surprise result that's made it look worse than it is.

    The average number of goals per match in France is pretty low, If I recall correctly- that may have something to do with it? Maybe they are just better at shutting down matches when ahead?

    Could be. It's one to watch for sure but like I said, it's a big league so for now it stays. Also, in recent years I've noticed a lot of goals and some pretty low over odds in France so maybe the balance is redressing there. You have teams like PSG and to an extent Lyon, Monace, Marseille all pretty free scoring.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3998

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    No time like the present and I've had another look at some of the bigger leagues we'll be welcoming back soon.

    Netherlands is good
    Spain is good
    Italy is decent enough
    France is a bit MEH.....but not as many selections and as bigger league I would persevere there. It's really only one surprise result that's made it look worse than it is.

    The average number of goals per match in France is pretty low, If I recall correctly- that may have something to do with it? Maybe they are just better at shutting down matches when ahead?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3999

    No time like the present and I've had another look at some of the bigger leagues we'll be welcoming back soon.

    Netherlands is good
    Spain is good
    Italy is decent enough
    France is a bit MEH.....but not as many selections and a s bigger league I would persevere there. It's really only one surprise result that's made it look worse than it is.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Finn KristensenF RyanR 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4000

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Bit stupid I know but when I get something in to my head I'm like a bullldozer and I delete delete delete.

    Think from now on I will collect these excluded leagues on a separate sheet and update p/l there as well. Will be interesting to see what happens.

    That's the best approach, I think. 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
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