Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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I'm revising this thread for my new over 1.5 filter. Don't want to be trying to shoehorn every single game into a potential trade but by the same token I clearly needed to loosen things up a bit as otherwise nothing will qualify at the moment.
Thanks to @Alan-Steward for giving me the idea. I drip pretty much continuously from the moment I get in until around 5-10 mins before:
First drip 1/4pt - No earlier than 15 mins and no lower than 1.4
Minimum 1 sot, 1 hit woodwork, 3 shots off, 3 corners, 2 shots off/2 cornersSecond drip 1/4pt + 60% higher odds (1.4 means next drip is 1.64)
Third drip 1/4pt + 45% higher odds (last drip being 1.64 means this one is 1.93)
Fourth drip 1/4pt + 30% higher odds (last drip being 1.93 means this one is 2.2)
Fifth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.2 means this one is 2.44)
Sixth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.44 means this one is 2.72)
Seventh drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.72 means this one is 3.05)
Eighth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 3.05 means this one is 3.45)
If no goal by 70th minute I'll red out so getting up to an 8th drip is highly unlikely but I've kept it there just in case.
By continuing to drip so frequently through the 2nd half for every the potential gain should just keep going up to a point. Liability stays well within control and barring an uncontrollable betfair suspension I should be able to pull a good chunk back on 70 mins if the worst happens and it remains goalless.
So in short, in the above example it's:
Entry point 15 mins 1.4
1.64
1.93
2.2
2.44
2.72
3.05
3.45Goal at any point before 70, cash
No goal by 70, red -
Small green would have been made slightly larger if I'd managed to get on LTD before Torquay went 2-1 ahead in the 2H. For that they deserved to lose and lose they did haha!
Tomorrow could be busy...hope for a good start in the morning in Korea:
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Nothing qualified yesterday and some posted were for today.
Here's an updated list:
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Doing things a bit differently today and from now on with the red selections:
If FH ends 1 goal advantage to either team I will only LTD should the losing team find an equaliser.
If FH ends in any draw which sees dog ultimately take the lead (under 70 minutes gone) from an odds on fave of 1.95 or less (ave found on oddsportal) I will lay the dog.For scenario 1 I will cash out on 75 minutes or with 2 goal cushion provided odds on fave of 1.95 or less takes the lead. Otherwise it will be an immediate cash out.
For scenario 2 I will cash out on 75 minutes or once fave takes the lead whichever come first.If still red in either scenario after 75 minutes it will be a case of waiting for the goal to come or losing trade. No redding out.
I have detailed all this in my sheet.
Rules for everything else can be found in there too under rules tab.
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Doing things a bit differently today and from now on with the red selections:
If FH ends 1 goal advantage to either team I will only LTD should the losing team find an equaliser.
If FH ends in any draw which sees dog ultimately take the lead (under 70 minutes gone) from an odds on fave of 1.95 or less (ave found on oddsportal) I will lay the dog.For scenario 1 I will cash out on 75 minutes or with 2 goal cushion provided odds on fave of 1.95 or less takes the lead. Otherwise it will be an immediate cash out.
For scenario 2 I will cash out on 75 minutes or once fave takes the lead whichever come first.If still red in either scenario after 75 minutes it will be a case of waiting for the goal to come or losing trade. No redding out.
I have detailed all this in my sheet.
Rules for everything else can be found in there too under rules tab.
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Colour coded for ease of access (and aavoiding stupid mistakes)
Red - LTD @ HT
Amber - Lay winning team (bold = lay home)
Green - Back home if 0-0 @ HT -
Loads of potentials
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A few early potentials for LTD @ HT as not sure I'll remember to post these in the morning. Still working on the rest of the card.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Todays games again posted on football theread.
For tomorrow:
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Todays games again posted on football theread.
For tomorrow:
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Todays games again posted on football theread.
For tomorrow:
Not going to get on many but putting them out there just in case I catch a couple.
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Todays games again posted on football theread.
For tomorrow:
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Didn't post up in here yesterday but all on football thread.
For today
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
The beginning of the end of this period of nothingness. Thank the lord Jebus!
These are potential LTD selections by the way.
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The beginning of the end of this period of nothingness. Thank the lord Jebus!
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Really racking up those days without loss! Nothing for Thursday.
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@martin-futter said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer don't worry the international break is nearly over
Thank god!
The Singapore game is actually Tuesday although it's not inplay surprise surprise so that's another day of nothing. Another day without loss haha!
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@richard-latimer don't worry the international break is nearly over