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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.7k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3881

    Palmeiras just equalised so that's now just over 3pts for the day and just under 2pts red for Sept.

    It's coming back.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3882

    Cerro Porteno is actually Tuesday. Tomorrows below:

    0_1600038878248_286f4532-60cb-4192-8689-5192c50843e2-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3883

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.

    Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.

    Hope you managed with overnight games. I'll be posting in a bit but Paraguay at 00:30 is one. Cerro Porteno the better team.

    Then again it's not until tomorrow so plenty of time.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3884

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.

    Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.

    Hope you managed with overnight games. I'll be posting in a bit but Paraguay at 00:30 is one. Cerro Porteno the better team.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3885

    I'm pulling Titanic. Not because it doesn't work but because from the 17/06 I have 27 selections. Almost 3 months so under 10 selections a month.

    I'm not pulling up any trees with that.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3886

    Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.

    Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #3887

    @john-folan said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    These are the good ones coming up:

    0_1599954286867_c143d1b5-d2fe-4008-bd57-330a364af263-image.png

    There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
    Can you get your stuff on any earlier? Sometimes miss the overnight games.

    There was nothing qualified last night. Been doing a lot of going back to get further details I hadn't recorded initially for stuff I'm working on so has taken a bit of time.

    I try and get one day finished before I start another but so much overlap right now. They often go on the sheet before I post as well so worth checking there.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3888

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    These are the good ones coming up:

    0_1599954286867_c143d1b5-d2fe-4008-bd57-330a364af263-image.png

    There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
    Can you get your stuff on any earlier? Sometimes miss the overnight games.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3889

    These are the good ones coming up:

    0_1599954286867_c143d1b5-d2fe-4008-bd57-330a364af263-image.png

    There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3890

    Just what I needed today. 3 decent trades and around 2.5pts green. Only around 5pts down for Sept now.

    H2 goals in Wycombe and Rodez. I know these are early season but for goals my strike rate gives me no reason to exclude these at present.

    Also a nice comeback by Ludogorets giving more credence to the bar I've set for minimum number of games to have passed in a season.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #3891

    Titanic:

    Already missed Shimizu but doubt there was much in it for a goal back 10 minutes before time.

    0_1599909499251_ebb6e8ee-098a-49bb-9474-39c0bb3b9e0c-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3892

    H2 goals (potential):

    0_1599909370946_b5f02991-781c-4517-9289-ae3b7ae3b3f7-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3893

    Ok so really not helped myself missing the double bubble this morning and yesterday was pants. Made a small error and had 4 losing trades from my plan. Not to worry. Sept is in deficit by around 7pts but it can and will come back:

    ELO Selections (including missed in Korea):

    0_1599908278626_6299ce12-5ca9-466f-9ef6-4c8d84d3f2fa-image.png

    There are more on the list of dodgy countries/leagues but I won't be touching them. On the sheet if anyone wants to see.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3894

    Although it makes sense on the ELO's I can't quite bring myself to do it yet on the H2 goals as so far I'm at 77% s/r on these early season games and it's not a just a few. Will watch this space for time being.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3895

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Having to have a rethink as my decent gains over the past month are being eaten up. Would be all too easy to slip back into bad ways and go back to square one but I can't let that happen.

    I bow down to those in the know and despite thinking I can play these early season games the results bear out I can't regardless of what league.

    Seem to see a real upturn in results after 7 or 8 games have been played so that's where I'm setting my stall out for now. That's not 7 or 8 home/away games per team but a combined 7 or 8 league games full stop.

    Totally missed Gwangju lay this morning, twice over now. Damn early games on the weekend haha!!

    I think that's the sensible thing to do. Let the form settle a bit before jumping in.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3896

    @richard-latimer Sounds sensible with regards to early season games

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3897

    Having to have a rethink as my decent gains over the past month are being eaten up. Would be all too easy to slip back into bad ways and go back to square one but I can't let that happen.

    I bow down to those in the know and despite thinking I can play these early season games the results bear out I can't regardless of what league.

    Seem to see a real upturn in results after 7 or 8 games have been played so that's where I'm setting my stall out for now. That's not 7 or 8 home/away games per team but a combined 7 or 8 league games full stop.

    Totally missed Gwangju lay this morning, twice over now. Damn early games on the weekend haha!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? Finn KristensenF 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3898

    Finally, the Titanic filter for laying away when 0-2 up:

    0_1599812955942_e42981aa-8539-4f58-968b-f14f1487b69c-image.png

    Very much a non entity most of the time.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3899

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    For H2 goals:

    0_1599812521127_774f835d-82ef-43d9-9a09-dc92fc4a959d-image.png

    Some first day of the season but not ruling these out completely from the H2 goal picks. Will monitor and make decision based on odds, who's playing, inplay stats etc...

    That said, Selangor I'm adding to a list of not so sure's.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3900

    For H2 goals:

    0_1599812521127_774f835d-82ef-43d9-9a09-dc92fc4a959d-image.png

    Some first day of the season but not ruling these out completely from the H2 goal picks. Will monitor and make decision based on odds, who's playing, inplay stats etc...

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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