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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.6k Posts 81 Posters 437.0k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #281

    Lay Under 1.5:

    9f52c419-1076-4912-a60a-78e95082cd98-image.png

    All likely to qualify. SWI closest to the edge as Max 6.6 and currently 6.2/6.4.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #282

    I wasn't going to do this one today but based on the fact I have another in the same league tomorrow and the only reason for no selections yet is it was excluded from my filter for some reason. I am:

    c492d32d-9972-4748-831a-1be79468f119-image.png

    Lay Under 1.5 Max price 7.4 though so may not qualify anyway.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #283

    @Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

    For tomorrow - Lay Under 1.5:

    72957ea6-df51-4785-bf16-cf9a768e264b-image.png

    Min 3.15 - Max 11.00

    2-2. Heading in the right direction again.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #284

    For tomorrow - Lay Under 1.5:

    72957ea6-df51-4785-bf16-cf9a768e264b-image.png

    Min 3.15 - Max 11.00

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #285

    933ad2f6-1641-42be-9c50-77a394743864-image.png

    As promised. Highlights the difficult nature of this month so far but with a weekend and a Fri to go profit can still be made.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #286

    I had a go at simplifying my home lay system today and while it is possible with the same sort of league exclusion, the home lay thing I'm working on now has I believe the potential to be better.

    I'm obviously not getting rid of the data. It's valuable. A whole years worth shows it works. I am however about to stop collecting more data for now as, with the other 4 in my planned portfolio, it's just too much work.

    I'll keep the filter, I'll archive the data and if anyone wants it give me a shout.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #287

    @Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

    Lay Under 1.5 Randers

    1-2, stopped the rot

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #288

    Lay Under 1.5 Randers

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #289

    Rubbish weekend. I'll update and post tomorrow.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #290

    Can't make up yesterdays today as only 3 but need a strong showing. Lay Under 1.5:

    e0eec908-75be-43bb-8f05-c74310ec4cd3-image.png

    Min 3.15
    SWI max 6.6
    TUR max 11.00
    ITA max 7.4

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #291

    @Richard-Latimer bit of a shitshow today. 70% on 10 selections.

    5 games 0-0 @ HT

    2 FT 0-0's which is worst in data since I started looking last April.

    All losers had high XG.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #292

    Busy weekend:

    5e32a38b-1717-4781-b3d9-31660c904850-image.png

    Lay Under 1.5 if:

    Min price 3.15

    Max
    NET Eerste 7.0
    AUS A-league 6.6
    GER (Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg) 7.4
    ENG 11.00
    NET Eredivisie (PSV vs Utrecht) 11.00
    AUS Bundesliga 11.00
    SWI 6.6
    GER (Leverkusen vs Bayern) 8.4
    NET Eredivisie (NAC vs Feyenoord) 7.4
    HUN 7.4
    BEL 11.00
    FRA 7.4

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #293

    0d964a9b-0aff-4bd8-86ba-ec7587662f65-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #294

    I've just realised that with the new competition going on I keep forgetting to post my under 1.5 lays in here.

    Missed the loser in Ostrava and the winner in India today. It's all documented in the other thread.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #295

    10901a75-b683-49ff-b80e-2447fd1ff38f-image.png

    Lay Under 1.5

    GER max 6.8
    CRO & SPA max 7.4
    SLO & AUS Bundesliga max 11.0 (never going to be anywhere close though).

    Min 3.15

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Paul Kelly 0 on last edited by
    #296

    @Paul-Kelly-0 thanks mate but I'm working on something simpler anyway.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • P Offline
    P Offline
    Paul Kelly 0
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #297

    @Richard-Latimer Yeah it makes perfect sense about the number of points scored. I hope that strat turns around for you. I've followed with interest and you've put a fair old effort into it.

    Doh! I knew it was lay the under too!!

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Paul Kelly 0 on last edited by
    #298

    @Paul-Kelly-0 Yeah but no home team can have scored more points than the away. Well it's laying the under.

    I've only been tracking it 2 months less than the home lays and have more selections already.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    P 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • P Offline
    P Offline
    Paul Kelly 0
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #299

    @Richard-Latimer I see. The two first main criteria are home teams averaging 1.9 points or less and away teams averaging 1.5 points or more. Thanks for taking the time to explain. Good luck with the new under 1.5 goal strategy.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Paul Kelly 0 on last edited by
    #300

    @Paul-Kelly-0 I've not actually prepared the sheet properly yet. Lausanne Ouchy wouldn't qualify anyway as they were in different leagues last season.

    The 1.5 (it's actually 1.4) refers to home points scored, The -0.4 (0.5) is a ratio from top allowed which is 1.9 points. 2.1 is away points scored. 0.6 is the ratio from 2.1 to minimum allowed of 1.5 away points. 3.5 is combined number of points. -0.7 is how much greater the points differential is in favour of the away side.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    P 1 Reply Last reply
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