Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).

There's no question this makes money but it's not quite as easy as I let myself believe this morning. Because it only hits at 35% you have to be a lot less aggressive in staking as longeest expected losing streak is 16 from 1000 games and goes up steadily.

What that means is I can't just flip the results on their head and take loss as profit because I would have to stake altogether differently.

It may still hit 20-30pts but it's a lot less than the lay under 1.5 is showing.

Still, when this is finalised I do think I may look into whether I can build a lay over 3.5 system.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Just got to take the choke out and it'll be purring again in no time haha!

Lay under 1.5:

2-1 Win

Richard Latimer

Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).

Richard Latimer

Looking at all the selections from my data that haven't made the cut and then whittling down a bit more I may have a lay over 1.5 system as well. Around 80pts from 150 selections.

Richard Latimer

Just got to take the choke out and it'll be purring again in no time haha!

Lay under 1.5:

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Richard Latimer

Yesterday went 1/2, another loss but still showing the smallest profit for July.

Everything could still change in the next few days. Nothing today though.

Richard Latimer

My Austin Allegro is sputtering back to life.....or at least trying

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@richard-latimer Welcome to my world without the runaway train

Richard Latimer

July started off like a runaway train. All of a sudden it's become a conked out Austin Alegro :man_facepalming_light_skin_tone:

Richard Latimer

Yesterday was a meh.....day which really compounded the misery of the last couple of weeks. Still just under 7% up for July. A week to go.

Once more......all the data for H2H etc double checked. All within at least a small cushion of positive results either side. Lay under 1.5:

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Oh yeah, yesterday was 6/8 for a loss of just over 2pts

Richard Latimer

Stupido. 1/2 on the last 2 so a poor day.

Richard Latimer

Wow.....did not expect that from the Icelandic game!

So........from being 10% up to pushing to get that closer to 20%-25% again.....if both the last 2 lose I'm at 0%!!!

If they both win......I have a small green for the day. What a rollercoaster!

Richard Latimer

Gone over and over them. I would advise anyone else to do the same. Can't depict just how many mistakes I've made and how much money could have been saved in the past. They all appear to be 100% qualifiers based on current data and decisions. Not only that, I've checked each of the lowest parameters and there are enough selections below it for these to be considered within the sweet spot.

Lay under 1.5:

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