Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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What a mental game in Spain. A bugger ending up on the wrong side for sure but 0-2 down, then they get a red, then they score 2 quick goals to level things up......Then they take the lead fairly late in the game and I'm thinking it should be game over.
Then they concede quickly.
Then right at the death when odds for a draw have fallen through the floor they go and concede again to lose 3-4.
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For the 2nd successive day a crap start. Hoping to make it up again - loads more to come.
Last loser was another early season game in Japan but looking through the first 3 matches that came up with 100% wins in first 3 home games came in so still 3 wins to 1 loss there.
Most annoying bugbear is due to it starting at 6:00 am I had to put in a price before bed and I'm not sure it was the optimum.
Nevermind!
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Now 114 recorded selections where home team winning at HT and only 1 of those ended up losing.
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Sheet updated and next game about to start.
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After a large setback this morning the ship righted itself and but for a couple of bumps it was smooth sailing all the way.
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Lays updated for tomorrow. Loads on again!
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When I say 6 games in I mean 3 for home team and 3 for away
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In this latest endeavour I've been all about removing the matches that come up infrequently the minute I get a sniff I could be best served doing so.
I know small samples can mean very little but when I think early season form it's quite obvious it doesn't truly settle down for a while.
I started looking at all matches 6 games in indiscriminately until It became obvious that if the home team wasn't winning the majority of games early on it was a little bit russian roulette.
After last night I'm thinking that bar could be raised and. It doesn't lose many games but the games it does lose have been inconsistent.
It's a bitch that you learn these things through losing and so the real bank looks way worse than the system bank but I guess it can't be helped. Right now I'm kind of breaking even while the chart continues to creep up in the right direction.
So new rule to add which I've already added to sheet:
When either team has played less than 5 matches the home team must have won at least 80% of first few games.
As for AZ today well.........just can't legislate for that. 0-3 down @ HT to a team without a win away all season haha!!
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Was all going ok until Jong AZ had a first half to forget.
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Time to forget yesterday but also learn from it.
Sheet updated for today. I'm unsure on Dundalk due to odds and possibly even removing early season games (less than 10 combined matches) where home team has less than 100% win rate.
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Crap!! It was always going to be an 'interesting' day and 1 very late goal just about did it!
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Next game in Columbia starts under 15 mins
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Overnight games went to plan. Nothing until later tonight now. All on sheet.
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It's all about South America in the next 24hrs and specifically Columbia. Keeping fingers crossed it doesn't unravel here haha!
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@simon said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer thanks Richard! Also noticed typo in my original post saying “our work” rather than “your work”! I obviously have contributed zero to this haha!!
haha, you've contributed just by commenting!
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Looking like a good end to the day. Next lay in Columbia starts midnight. Lay Junior.
Updating the rest.
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@richard-latimer thanks Richard! Also noticed typo in my original post saying “our work” rather than “your work”! I obviously have contributed zero to this haha!!
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@simon said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer Hi Richard, New to the forum and just taking a look at our work in this thread. Where you say x% max liability given the odds range, is this the percentage of your bank?
Yes Simon, exactly
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@richard-latimer Hi Richard, New to the forum and just taking a look at our work in this thread. Where you say x% max liability given the odds range, is this the percentage of your bank?
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Columbia game currently losing but short enough odds. All other lays for tomorrow updated.
