Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Something to consider moving forward. Not quite sure how I'm going to change things but I probably will to an extent. The lower the goal odds at ht the longer they take to come in further it would seem. Just missed the first since I've been doing it this way where the goal came post 65mins.
Odds of 6.4 at hT will probably be closer to 3.2 after 60-65 mins.
Odds of 3.45 didn't even get to 2.26 by the 67th/68th minute. -
Short priced lay away (if score 0-2):
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Goal selection (H2 specifically):
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We made it!!! The weekend is upon us and finally there will be some trades:
Have already split out the good ELO leagues (Won't Stay Down) from the 'Can't Get Back Up' ones.
The good ones.
The sus ones.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Going to hope for an opportunity to put this one in Uruguay into Action in a bit:
Need 0-0/0-1/1-1@HT to enter. Also decent enough odds and attacking threat/good enough inplay stats. Once I have this I will lay the next under to hopefully match around 65-70 mins.
1-0 and a red card so that ones out.
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If Arad go 0-2 down it's a lay on the away:
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Going to hope for an opportunity to put this one in Uruguay into Action in a bit:
Need 0-0/0-1/1-1@HT to enter. Also decent enough odds and attacking threat/good enough inplay stats. Once I have this I will lay the next under to hopefully match around 65-70 mins.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
ELO's from largely untested countries on Thursday (one in Ecuador and one in Kazak):
Glad I didn't jump in. Ecuador would have been a loss last night. Either a small traded loss or an outright loss but a loss just the same. Time to see if the Kazaks have what it takes.
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ELO's from largely untested countries on Thursday (one in Ecuador and one in Kazak):
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If the home team goes behindd 0-2 I will lay away:
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Potential H2 goals if the moon is in Jupiter:
I keep talking about how awful Russia is, prob wouldn't do that one. Also Morocco. Doubt I'd bothere there either. EDIT: Morocco cancelled anyway.
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Absolutely zero, nada, zilch today.
Tomorrow:
And from the stable of it may do ok but then again I have nothing to back that up:
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Also, on my Titanic filter is this:
Lay away if 0-2 up.
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2nd half goal picks. For detils of how I play them, when I play them or even if I play them scroll up.
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ELO's for Tuesday:
Won't Stay Down (leagues I'm happy with)
Can't Get Up (leagues I no longer trust)
Prob won't qualify anyway but if it does I'm staying away. Knock yourself out if you want to have a go haha!
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@richard-latimer I could watch Mbappe play football everyday and not get bored my lord what a player
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@ryan-carruthers said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer I've always thought France was low scoring, seems to be a really defensive league - I have zero stats to back that up just exp!
I think it used to be but maybe PSG and those running to catch up have changed that culture a little.
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@Richard-Latimer excellent analysis and update and validates what you’ve been doing.
Shows us what analysis we need to do at times if having doubts
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@richard-latimer I've always thought France was low scoring, seems to be a really defensive league - I have zero stats to back that up just exp!
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@finn-kristensen said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
No time like the present and I've had another look at some of the bigger leagues we'll be welcoming back soon.
Netherlands is good
Spain is good
Italy is decent enough
France is a bit MEH.....but not as many selections and as bigger league I would persevere there. It's really only one surprise result that's made it look worse than it is.The average number of goals per match in France is pretty low, If I recall correctly- that may have something to do with it? Maybe they are just better at shutting down matches when ahead?
Could be. It's one to watch for sure but like I said, it's a big league so for now it stays. Also, in recent years I've noticed a lot of goals and some pretty low over odds in France so maybe the balance is redressing there. You have teams like PSG and to an extent Lyon, Monace, Marseille all pretty free scoring.