Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Was in a bit of a rush having been undecided until very late......so didn't post in here. Only main football thread.

1/1

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Starting Again 01/08/22 - Current Bank £413.72 (time to stop dicking around and bounce this thing!):

Lay under 1.5:

Updated Stakes:

Just checked. 1-2

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

Updated Stakes:

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

New stakes:

[Richard Latimer]

So today finally saw the lucky escape I had in ditching those less than 3+ average goals as a 30pt profit over 2 months which had been steadily eroding the last few weeks was finally wiped out.

It was around 30pts from 60 trades and it's now -3 from 90 trades.

Shows the common sense in not basing any decisions over one good month!

The 3+ continue to go from strength to strength. Less is more and from just over 120 trades is 92pts profit. This from 17 April as well so we've already had the back end of the winter leagues and almost a full program of summer leagues.

Currently 95% with ave lay odds of 5.65.

I'll keep tracking 2.95 for now and the idea will always be from now on.....can I open it out a little bit without destroying the core!!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Starting Again 01/08/22 - Current Bank £413.72 (time to stop dicking around and bounce this thing!):

Lay under 1.5:

New stakes today:

2/2 again with a late goal in Finland

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

New stakes today:

[Richard Latimer]

@dan-mackinnon said in Starting Again 01/08/22 - Current Bank £413.72 (time to stop dicking around and bounce this thing!):

@richard-latimer plus it’s the big opener tomorrow that everyone wants to see! Clash of the titans. Big 6-pointer in the title race already. I am of course talking about…

The Marouane Chamakh derby! :blue_circle:

Decent game!

[Richard Latimer]

Long long way to go but it's strange the initial indication when looking for games to go under 3.5 is similar to the way I find overs games to go.

The less goals scored by both teams doesn't necessarily mean it will continue. More that a return to the mean is coming!

[Dan MacKinnon]

@richard-latimer plus it’s the big opener tomorrow that everyone wants to see! Clash of the titans. Big 6-pointer in the title race already. I am of course talking about…

The Marouane Chamakh derby! :blue_circle:

[Richard Latimer]

2/2 today, bank now £421.07, nothing for tomorrow but the winter leagues are getting there slowly.....or at least some of them!

[Richard Latimer]

Stakes for tomorrow:

[Richard Latimer]

For tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing today either. My fresh August start is having to wait a bit to get going/begin!

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing for tomorrow as it goes

[Richard Latimer]

Just realised I'd put £800.....this is a combined bank for me and the person I'm trading for. Mine was £400 this morning and a little bit higher today! £413.17.

Think I'll start my challenge again from tomorrow. New month, fresh start and absolutely no time for dicking around anymore!!

If anyone sees me dicking around please shout STOP DICKING AROUND FFS!!!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Fresh start. I've taken my bank back up to £800 with a £65.00 deposit and despite not having lost 35% I've reset stakes:

I may restart the challenge as well as it's getting a bit messy. I'd begun to give it all back anyway so it's no biggie! Lay under 1.5:

3/3 and a quick look at my extended list would have had another shitty day. Talk about engineering some bumps out of a flat road ffs!!!

[Richard Latimer]

Stopped the rot and off to bed in a minute.

Having realised the folly of trying to get more out of the over 1.5 system I currently have it's time to see if I can make something from the under 3.5 market.

I won't be going live on it until I have plenty of data and there isn't even the slightest tweaking of data needed on the over 1.5 but no harm in tracking starting immediately.