Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

A few selections for tomorrow:

Lay ELO Dog should the ELO fave fall behind and lay them again if they should increase that lead. Remove liability if the ELO fave equalizes (cash out should they just get one back) and assess from there.

16/06/2019 12:00 Thailand Thai Premier League Normal Bangkok Utd v Ratchaburi 3 9 -6 1733 1566 167 1.121 -0.277 0.68 -0.7 0.421 0.403 2.9 24 41 13 66 41 29 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/06/2019 12:35 China Super League Normal Jiangsu Suning v Beijing Renhe 5 13 -8 1590 1462 128 0.98 -0.474 0.426 -0.934 0.046 -0.048 3.03 46 43 11 78 22 42 26 -22 13 57 17 20
16/06/2019 14:00 Norway Obos-ligaen Normal Ham-Kam v Aalesund 10 1 9 1509 1615 -106 0.519 -0.596 1.072 -0.154 0.365 0.476 2.13 -8 24 37 27 74 33 0 0 0 0 0 0

Back ELO fave if still 0-0 @ HT and odds risen. Remove liability if/when they take the lead and assess from there.

16/06/2019 12:35 China Super League Normal Jiangsu Suning v Beijing Renhe 5 13 -8 1590 1462 128 0.98 -0.474 0.426 -0.934 0.046 -0.048 3.03 46 43 11 78 22 42 26 -22 13 57 17 20
16/06/2019 17:00 Norway Eliteserien Normal Molde v Ranheim 1 9 -8 1712 1507 205 1.798 -0.51 0.478 -0.913 0.885 -0.032 3.46 39 38 6 61 34 51 32 14 1 55 28 -13
16/06/2019 17:00 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Normal Din. Minsk v Energetik-BGU 5 14 -9 1696 1467 229 0.668 -0.155 0.509 -1.352 -0.684 0.354 2.75 32 53 12 38 33 86 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/06/2019 18:45 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Normal Brest v FC Gomel 1 12 -11 1657 1420 237 1.481 -0.207 0.449 -0.813 0.668 0.242 3.28 44 52 7 50 41 67 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/06/2019 19:00 Norway Eliteserien Normal Rosenborg v Valerenga 11 4 7 1709 1559 150 0.749 -0.269 0.761 -0.765 -0.016 0.492 2.53 25 36 19 25 45 48 15 10 5 50 14 2

Just the one qualifier. Removed liability at 1-0 and I cashed at 2-1. They went on to win 4-1. Jiangsu.

Richard Latimer

A few selections for tomorrow:

Lay ELO Dog should the ELO fave fall behind and lay them again if they should increase that lead. Remove liability if the ELO fave equalizes (cash out should they just get one back) and assess from there.

16/06/2019 12:00 Thailand Thai Premier League Normal Bangkok Utd v Ratchaburi 3 9 -6 1733 1566 167 1.121 -0.277 0.68 -0.7 0.421 0.403 2.9 24 41 13 66 41 29 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/06/2019 12:35 China Super League Normal Jiangsu Suning v Beijing Renhe 5 13 -8 1590 1462 128 0.98 -0.474 0.426 -0.934 0.046 -0.048 3.03 46 43 11 78 22 42 26 -22 13 57 17 20
16/06/2019 14:00 Norway Obos-ligaen Normal Ham-Kam v Aalesund 10 1 9 1509 1615 -106 0.519 -0.596 1.072 -0.154 0.365 0.476 2.13 -8 24 37 27 74 33 0 0 0 0 0 0

Back ELO fave if still 0-0 @ HT and odds risen. Remove liability if/when they take the lead and assess from there.

16/06/2019 12:35 China Super League Normal Jiangsu Suning v Beijing Renhe 5 13 -8 1590 1462 128 0.98 -0.474 0.426 -0.934 0.046 -0.048 3.03 46 43 11 78 22 42 26 -22 13 57 17 20
16/06/2019 17:00 Norway Eliteserien Normal Molde v Ranheim 1 9 -8 1712 1507 205 1.798 -0.51 0.478 -0.913 0.885 -0.032 3.46 39 38 6 61 34 51 32 14 1 55 28 -13
16/06/2019 17:00 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Normal Din. Minsk v Energetik-BGU 5 14 -9 1696 1467 229 0.668 -0.155 0.509 -1.352 -0.684 0.354 2.75 32 53 12 38 33 86 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/06/2019 18:45 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Normal Brest v FC Gomel 1 12 -11 1657 1420 237 1.481 -0.207 0.449 -0.813 0.668 0.242 3.28 44 52 7 50 41 67 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/06/2019 19:00 Norway Eliteserien Normal Rosenborg v Valerenga 11 4 7 1709 1559 150 0.749 -0.269 0.761 -0.765 -0.016 0.492 2.53 25 36 19 25 45 48 15 10 5 50 14 2

Richard Latimer

1 win, 1 loss. Small red

Richard Latimer

Only Winner was one I missed due to work commitments. The rest never qualified either going 1-0 up early or going behind early.

For Tomorrow:

Likely to Come Back If They Fall Behind. (Green positive number means ELO fave at home, pink negative means the favourite is away team.)

0_1560555341961_66ccfd51-7a76-4a29-8224-c474ac5ee7eb-image.png

15/06/2019 10:00 Japan J-league Division 2 Normal Omiya Ardija v Gifu 3 22 1525 1283 242 0.921 -0.406 0.229 -1.209 -0.288 -0.177 2.99 35 53 10 68 29 35 0 0 0 0
15/06/2019 14:00 Malaysia Super League Normal Selangor v Kuala Lumpur 5 10 1563 1460 103 0.795 -0.841 0.784 -1.555 -0.76 -0.057 4.12 25 23 7 68 27 33 0 0 0 0
15/06/2019 15:00 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Normal Dnepr Mogilev v Isloch Minsk 12 4 1315 1506 -191 0.13 -1.27 0.356 -0.568 -0.438 -0.914 2.1 -33 25 49 29 70 -26 0 0 0 0
15/06/2019 17:00 Lithuania A Lyga Normal Suduva v FK Panevezys 1 7 1794 1469 325 1.623 0.307 0.617 -0.562 1.061 0.924 2.85 62 64 9 83 18 81 0 0 0 0

Likely To Score First - Back if still 0-0 @ HT and odds risen.

0_1560555484598_72222e68-74b3-4234-849a-85098e8765f7-image.png

15/06/2019 10:00 Japan J-league Division 2 Normal Omiya Ardija v Gifu 3 22 1525 1283 242 0.921 -0.406 0.229 -1.209 -0.288 -0.177 2.99 35 53 10 68 29 35 0 0 0 0 0 0
15/06/2019 14:00 Malaysia Super League Normal Selangor v Kuala Lumpur 5 10 1563 1460 103 0.795 -0.841 0.784 -1.555 -0.76 -0.057 4.12 25 23 7 68 27 33 0 0 0 0 0 0
15/06/2019 15:00 Lithuania A Lyga Normal Stumbras v Palanga 5 8 1529 1394 135 1.037 -0.146 0.442 -1.699 -0.662 0.296 3.56 50 54 5 27 18 55 0 0 0 0 0 0
15/06/2019 17:00 Lithuania A Lyga Normal Suduva v FK Panevezys 1 7 1794 1469 325 1.623 0.307 0.617 -0.562 1.061 0.924 2.85 62 64 9 83 18 81 0 0 0 0 0 0

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

1 for tomorrow. If Haka still 0-0 @ HT and odds risen I'll back them and remove liability if they score first before assessing options.

Didn't qualify.

For the first time in a while there's a few to look out for on Friday:

On the Comeback Trail - If they fall behind lay the opposition and remove liability when the equalizer goes in before assessing position. If they fall further behind and cash out when/if they get one back.

14:00 PKNS - Malaysia
19:45 Cabinteely - Ireland

Setting The Pace - Back if still 0-0 at HT and odds risen. Remove liability when/if they go ahead and assess things from there.

11:00 Kawasaki Frontale - Japan
16:00 Trakai - Lithuania
18:00 Zalgiris - Lithuania

Richard Latimer

1 for tomorrow. If Haka still 0-0 @ HT and odds risen I'll back them and remove liability if they score first before assessing options.

Richard Latimer

For tomorrow @ 12:00

If Buriram should fall behind tomorrow or still 0-0 @ HT I will either lay the opposition or back the home team with the aim of greening up at some point.

Richard Latimer

2 from 2 on the backs with both Palmeiras and Shamrock going in 0-0 @ HT but scoring in the 2nd. If you'd held on to Shamrock too long then a late equalizer would have lost one of the trades.

Richard Latimer

Stuff to look at today:

Lay ELO underdog should they score first. Double down if they score the 2nd and assess/green up as appropriate when things start to go the right way.

0_1559986119058_96c98cb2-694f-47a7-bab2-45eae9a11746-image.png 08/06/2019 11:00 Japan J-league Division 2 Normal Renofa Yamaguchi v Yokohama
08/06/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Brommapojkarna v Mjallby
08/06/2019 17:00 Ireland Division 1 Normal Drogheda v Athlone
08/06/2019 19:30 Ireland Division 1 Normal Longford v Wexford
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Granada CF v Alcorcon
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Dep. La Coruna v Cordoba
08/06/2019 20:00 Brazil Serie C Normal EC Sao Jose v Boa
08/06/2019 20:30 Brazil Serie A Normal Palmeiras v Atletico-PR

Back ELO favourite if still 0-0 at HT and odds risen. Assess/green up as appropriate when things start to go as expected.

0_1559986287808_50e23b32-fc9c-4eac-9d22-17534233afb0-image.png
08/06/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Brommapojkarna v Mjallby
08/06/2019 17:00 Ireland Division 1 Normal Drogheda v Athlone
08/06/2019 19:00 Ireland Premier Division Normal Shamrock Rovers v Derry City
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Dep. La Coruna v Cordoba
08/06/2019 20:00 Brazil Serie C Normal EC Sao Jose v Boa
08/06/2019 20:30 Brazil Serie A Normal Palmeiras v Atletico-PR

Full details on sheet.

Richard Latimer

I think it's probably easier at this point that I just say when there is something going on. Rigor setting in right now it's so dead on the football front.

Richard Latimer

Nothing and nobody. A girl is no one.

Richard Latimer

So bored already with this. Nothing for tomorrow.

Richard Latimer

Yesterday was rubbish with only 1 qualifier and that going on to lose.

Today only 1 potential for backing if 0-0 @ HT and odds risen. Esperance Tunis.

Richard Latimer

Todays Potentials (No LTD until I've found something that works):

On The Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if ELO favourite goes ahead and double down if they go ahead further. Remove liability after goal in your favour and assess after that.

0_1559463829482_93ef79ae-e0f8-462f-af7c-0605b1b4dcc6-image.png 02/06/2019 12:35 China Super League Normal Tianjin Teda v Beijing Guoan 7 1 6 1471 1665 -194 0.641 -1.092 1.286 -0.375 0.266 0.194 2.93 -17 13 33 39 71 4 8 25 19 54 -5 26
02/06/2019 14:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Normal AIK v Hammarby 4 6 -2 1757 1647 110 0.839 0.137 1.024 -0.479 0.36 1.161 2.15 23 45 24 76 48 45 12 5 -7 54 7 37
02/06/2019 16:00 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Normal Slutsk v Brest 14 1 13 1420 1652 -232 0.248 -1.007 1.398 -0.197 0.051 0.391 3.07 -37 8 56 20 73 -20 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 16:30 Finland Veikkausliiga Normal Honka v KPV Kokkola 4 12 -8 1620 1459 161 1.157 -0.395 -0.032 -1.026 0.131 -0.427 2.77 31 47 10 81 46 41 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 22:30 Chile Primera Division Normal U. Catolica v U. Espanola 1 3 -2 1675 1558 117 0.969 -0.296 0.645 -0.743 0.226 0.349 2.81 20 47 13 72 44 16 3 -8 -1 56 18 7
02/06/2019 23:00 Brazil Serie A Normal Atletico-MG v CSA 2 16 -14 1610 1495 115 0.991 -0.524 -0.018 -0.495 0.496 -0.542 2.61 26 50 15 73 45 17 0 0 0 0 0 0

Setting The Pace - Back ELO favourite if still 0-0 at HT and odds risen.

0_1559463880330_2c88c607-12fb-4202-9ade-cf27141585ab-image.png 02/06/2019 09:00 South Korea K League 1 Normal Jeonbuk v Sangju Sangmu 1 5 -4 1753 1455 298 1.627 0.093 0.674 -0.454 1.173 0.767 2.71 27 45 11 50 28 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 14:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Normal AIK v Hammarby 4 6 -2 1757 1647 110 0.839 0.137 1.024 -0.479 0.36 1.161 2.15 23 45 24 76 48 45 12 5 -7 54 7 37
02/06/2019 16:30 Finland Veikkausliiga Normal Honka v KPV Kokkola 4 12 -8 1620 1459 161 1.157 -0.395 -0.032 -1.026 0.131 -0.427 2.77 31 47 10 81 46 41 0 0 0 0 0 0

No Jeonbuk as red in 1st half

Richard Latimer

Todays Potentials (Kashiwa back already in the bag):

On the comeback trail - Lay opposition if they score.

23:00 Atlanta Utd - MLS

Setting The Pace - Back if still 0-0 at HT and odds have risen.

15:00 FK Suduva - Lithuania
17:00 BATE Borisov - Belarus
20:00 Flamengo - Brasil
22:00 Montreal Impact - MLS
23:00 Atlanta Utd

LTD HT - LTD @ HT if scores 0-0 or 1-1.

12:35 Shanghai Shenhua v Chongqing Lifan - China
12:35 Guangzhou R&F v Hebei CFFC - China
13:00Energetik - BGU Minsk - Belarus
15:00Grindavik v Vikingur Reykjavik - Iceland
15:00 IFK Goteburg v Orebro - Sweden
15:00 Degerfors v IK Frej - Sweden
17:00 Ostersunds FK v Sundsvall - Sweden
19:00 CA Fenix v Rampla Juniors - Uruguay

Double check times as sometimes they are not 100% accurate but this is what I have. These are trades so I will remove all liability as soon as possible. If another goal against on a lay I will double down and cash out if a goal is pulled back regardless of taking small red etc...

With LTD I will more than likely green up immediately unless contest is one sided. With others I will assess but look tom be out no later than 75-80mins on away lay and around 60 mins on home lay. Home backs around 70 minutes.

There is no exit point so if the trade loses it loses.

Richard Latimer

Today's all up on spreadsheet. Kashiwa currently 0-0 at ht. That's a back.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Bit of time now so I'll post up todays selections as per spreadsheet:

On the Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if opposition goes ahead at any time. Up to around 86 mins.

14:00 K. Almaty - Kazakhstan
14:00 FC Astana - Kazakhstan
17:00 Zalgiris - Lithuania
20:00 Osasuna - Spain

Setting the Pace - Expected to score first so if 0-0 at HT and odds have risen, back to win.

14:00 FC Astana
18:00 Brondby - Denmark
18:45 Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Belarus
19:45 Dundalk - Ireland

I will remove all liability as soon as expected goal comes and then assess from there but unless it's a late late late goal I will be out before FT.

Lay Draw HT - Only if 0-0 or 1-1.

23:15 Figueirense - Brasil

Self explanatory. As soon as expected goal comes I will remove all liability and then green up completely unless one side encounter with favourite winning. Regardless I will be out before FT again unless the goal comes late late late into injury time.

There is no exit point in case of no goals or the wrong goals.

2 qualifiers. 1 in Lithuania where Zalgiris went behind before equalizing. Now Figueirense match just finishing with profit for LTD long ago secured after an early 2nd half goal.

Richard Latimer

Bit of time now so I'll post up todays selections as per spreadsheet:

On the Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if opposition goes ahead at any time. Up to around 86 mins.

14:00 K. Almaty - Kazakhstan
14:00 FC Astana - Kazakhstan
17:00 Zalgiris - Lithuania
20:00 Osasuna - Spain

Setting the Pace - Expected to score first so if 0-0 at HT and odds have risen, back to win.

14:00 FC Astana
18:00 Brondby - Denmark
18:45 Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Belarus
19:45 Dundalk - Ireland

I will remove all liability as soon as expected goal comes and then assess from there but unless it's a late late late goal I will be out before FT.

Lay Draw HT - Only if 0-0 or 1-1.

23:15 Figueirense - Brasil

Self explanatory. As soon as expected goal comes I will remove all liability and then green up completely unless one side encounter with favourite winning. Regardless I will be out before FT again unless the goal comes late late late into injury time.

There is no exit point in case of no goals or the wrong goals.

Richard Latimer

Sheet all updated with tomorrows. If anyone has any questions please ask.

Richard Latimer

Didn't post today but as always the selections were up on sheet. Got good green on Club Africain as they went a man up and subsequently 1-0 up. Zamalek took the lead and I removed liability. Unfortunately they conceded less than 10 minutes later and couldn't find a winner so break even there.