Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Martin

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

i have massive concerns over this now seeing as pretty much all leagues with most selections are coming/have come unstuck hugelyof recent.

While I don't want to throw away over a years work I don't really want to keep flogging a dead horse long after it collapsed and rigor mortis has set in.

@Ryan-Carruthers, @Martin-Futter, @Everyone

Any ideas, suggestions? May be worth seeing if I could use data for something else.

Has anything changed since August that may explain it? Seemed to be a great trading curve before that!

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@richard-latimer Has the previous profit been wiped out or are you just having some shorter term losses?

It may be very difficult to get value out of a set and forget in such a low odds market which requires a very large SR. Maybe you need an angle to trade instead...an 'edge'. Whats the SR of FH goals, of SH goals, what times are the goals scored? Maybe its better to get in on 20-25 minutes at higher odds. Obviously number of selections is lower but price is higher so maybe its a better balance. For example my FHG filter looks much more profitable getting in at 5' and again at 20-25' rather than KO as the odds have settled - sometimes its the slightest difference can alter things. And my SH filter has a decent SR but its better for me to wait until 60' to get a better risk/reward ratio.

Richard Latimer

i have massive concerns over this now seeing as pretty much all leagues with most selections are coming/have come unstuck hugelyof recent.

While I don't want to throw away over a years work I don't really want to keep flogging a dead horse long after it collapsed and rigor mortis has set in.

@Ryan-Carruthers, @Martin-Futter, @Everyone

Any ideas, suggestions? May be worth seeing if I could use data for something else.

Richard Latimer

Just finished going through Fridays. 2 more 0-0's in supposedly high scoring leagues. Swiss Challenge is the next to fall out of favour. Crazy but right now this looks doomed all of a sudden!

Richard Latimer

More overs added for tomorrow but weekend results need to be updated still. Will do this midweek when fixtures slow down.

Richard Latimer

Damn it. Don't seem to have copied all the necessary data from csv file for the overs so while I can get it this is now a 100% manual job looking at soccerway. It's not something I can do now that's for sure.

I've update sheet for tomorrow. Only issue may be whether a game went inplay as I can't check right now. Still, results are results and data is data so it's not the end of the world.

Richard Latimer

Once again I've updated selections for Fri but not sorted filtered out yet. Rules are all there if anyone wants to throw the dice but not me right now.

Richard Latimer

Completely updated until end of March. A few more leagues removed. March not a loser but in stark contrast to last year.

I'll update all of Aprils results/selections now.

Richard Latimer

Been super slack at updating filtered last few days. In the main because it's all been going so so badly after more than a years positive results but also because I've been putting time into something else I'lll share on here in due course hopefully.

I also had a discrepancyon total number of games listed betweeen main sheet, league tally and country stats. Because this is all done manually it's very easy to miss a game off one of the sheets despite intending to double check every day. When this happens it's a question of going through leagues in turn and counting exact number of selections on all sheets to seee where the discrepancy lies.

Found the 2 today relatively easy in the end which is just as well because only alternative is to throw league data away as things stand.

Richard Latimer

Nothing to say really. Still in the doldrums with this one.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Simply stunning. This is unravelling faster than Mourinhos managerial career at the moment!

Bit dramatic perhaps. Filtered didn't do so bad apart from Swiss Challenge falling further once more after that amazing start. Issue lies more in other leagues which were looking good for filtered next month showing once more why they are not currently.

Swiss Super the prime example!

Richard Latimer

Simply stunning. This is unravelling faster than Mourinhos managerial career at the moment!

Richard Latimer

Sheet updated although not sorted filtered yet. Can easily look for these by following country stats if anyone wants to.

Richard Latimer

And when taking those games out of the equation and a load under 1.2 todays potentials went down to zero.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

After not much of anything there's quite a lot of potential tomorrow. All updated but just for data collection at present.

In the middle of updating and Netherlands Eerste just bought the farm, screwed the pooch! Gone from being one of the best leagues to in profit but under 5% yield and now.........into the red for -4.59.

Richard Latimer

After not much of anything there's quite a lot of potential tomorrow. All updated but just for data collection at present.

Richard Latimer

@gary-brown said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer
hI Richard I am new to the site so I was wondering if you could explain to me how your system works.

I have seen your daily filter but not sure what or how to place the trades and which ones I should go for to try out.

Hi Gary, right now it doesn't. Going through a real poor patch so much that I've stopped actually placing the bets. They are standard over 1.5 goals bets. All the rules and usually all the selection both unfiltered and filtered are detailed on the spreadsheet. Unfiltered are purely a reference point. Filtered up until recently had been doing realy well.

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@richard-latimer
hI Richard I am new to the site so I was wondering if you could explain to me how your system works.

I have seen your daily filter but not sure what or how to place the trades and which ones I should go for to try out.

Richard Latimer

Providing the German Regionalliga North went inplay today then it looks like 2 winners on the filtered.

Richard Latimer

I've not updated this very well recently due to only collecting data again right now. According to the rules I go by when not actually placing the bet Institute never made the cut on odds so therefore it's not a 1-0 loss. Whether or no it traded over 1.2 pre kick-off or not I couldn't say so the data may be compromised.