Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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2 from 2 on the backs with both Palmeiras and Shamrock going in 0-0 @ HT but scoring in the 2nd. If you'd held on to Shamrock too long then a late equalizer would have lost one of the trades.
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Stuff to look at today:
Lay ELO underdog should they score first. Double down if they score the 2nd and assess/green up as appropriate when things start to go the right way.
08/06/2019 11:00 Japan J-league Division 2 Normal Renofa Yamaguchi v Yokohama
08/06/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Brommapojkarna v Mjallby
08/06/2019 17:00 Ireland Division 1 Normal Drogheda v Athlone
08/06/2019 19:30 Ireland Division 1 Normal Longford v Wexford
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Granada CF v Alcorcon
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Dep. La Coruna v Cordoba
08/06/2019 20:00 Brazil Serie C Normal EC Sao Jose v Boa
08/06/2019 20:30 Brazil Serie A Normal Palmeiras v Atletico-PRBack ELO favourite if still 0-0 at HT and odds risen. Assess/green up as appropriate when things start to go as expected.
08/06/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Brommapojkarna v Mjallby
08/06/2019 17:00 Ireland Division 1 Normal Drogheda v Athlone
08/06/2019 19:00 Ireland Premier Division Normal Shamrock Rovers v Derry City
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Dep. La Coruna v Cordoba
08/06/2019 20:00 Brazil Serie C Normal EC Sao Jose v Boa
08/06/2019 20:30 Brazil Serie A Normal Palmeiras v Atletico-PRFull details on sheet.
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I think it's probably easier at this point that I just say when there is something going on. Rigor setting in right now it's so dead on the football front.
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Nothing and nobody. A girl is no one.
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So bored already with this. Nothing for tomorrow.
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Yesterday was rubbish with only 1 qualifier and that going on to lose.
Today only 1 potential for backing if 0-0 @ HT and odds risen. Esperance Tunis.
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Todays Potentials (No LTD until I've found something that works):
On The Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if ELO favourite goes ahead and double down if they go ahead further. Remove liability after goal in your favour and assess after that.
0_1559463829482_93ef79ae-e0f8-462f-af7c-0605b1b4dcc6-image.png 02/06/2019 12:35 China Super League Normal Tianjin Teda v Beijing Guoan 7 1 6 1471 1665 -194 0.641 -1.092 1.286 -0.375 0.266 0.194 2.93 -17 13 33 39 71 4 8 25 19 54 -5 26
02/06/2019 14:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Normal AIK v Hammarby 4 6 -2 1757 1647 110 0.839 0.137 1.024 -0.479 0.36 1.161 2.15 23 45 24 76 48 45 12 5 -7 54 7 37
02/06/2019 16:00 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Normal Slutsk v Brest 14 1 13 1420 1652 -232 0.248 -1.007 1.398 -0.197 0.051 0.391 3.07 -37 8 56 20 73 -20 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 16:30 Finland Veikkausliiga Normal Honka v KPV Kokkola 4 12 -8 1620 1459 161 1.157 -0.395 -0.032 -1.026 0.131 -0.427 2.77 31 47 10 81 46 41 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 22:30 Chile Primera Division Normal U. Catolica v U. Espanola 1 3 -2 1675 1558 117 0.969 -0.296 0.645 -0.743 0.226 0.349 2.81 20 47 13 72 44 16 3 -8 -1 56 18 7
02/06/2019 23:00 Brazil Serie A Normal Atletico-MG v CSA 2 16 -14 1610 1495 115 0.991 -0.524 -0.018 -0.495 0.496 -0.542 2.61 26 50 15 73 45 17 0 0 0 0 0 0Setting The Pace - Back ELO favourite if still 0-0 at HT and odds risen.
0_1559463880330_2c88c607-12fb-4202-9ade-cf27141585ab-image.png 02/06/2019 09:00 South Korea K League 1 Normal Jeonbuk v Sangju Sangmu 1 5 -4 1753 1455 298 1.627 0.093 0.674 -0.454 1.173 0.767 2.71 27 45 11 50 28 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 14:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Normal AIK v Hammarby 4 6 -2 1757 1647 110 0.839 0.137 1.024 -0.479 0.36 1.161 2.15 23 45 24 76 48 45 12 5 -7 54 7 37
02/06/2019 16:30 Finland Veikkausliiga Normal Honka v KPV Kokkola 4 12 -8 1620 1459 161 1.157 -0.395 -0.032 -1.026 0.131 -0.427 2.77 31 47 10 81 46 41 0 0 0 0 0 0No Jeonbuk as red in 1st half
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Todays Potentials (Kashiwa back already in the bag):
On the comeback trail - Lay opposition if they score.
23:00 Atlanta Utd - MLS
Setting The Pace - Back if still 0-0 at HT and odds have risen.
15:00 FK Suduva - Lithuania
17:00 BATE Borisov - Belarus
20:00 Flamengo - Brasil
22:00 Montreal Impact - MLS
23:00 Atlanta UtdLTD HT - LTD @ HT if scores 0-0 or 1-1.
12:35 Shanghai Shenhua v Chongqing Lifan - China
12:35 Guangzhou R&F v Hebei CFFC - China
13:00Energetik - BGU Minsk - Belarus
15:00Grindavik v Vikingur Reykjavik - Iceland
15:00 IFK Goteburg v Orebro - Sweden
15:00 Degerfors v IK Frej - Sweden
17:00 Ostersunds FK v Sundsvall - Sweden
19:00 CA Fenix v Rampla Juniors - UruguayDouble check times as sometimes they are not 100% accurate but this is what I have. These are trades so I will remove all liability as soon as possible. If another goal against on a lay I will double down and cash out if a goal is pulled back regardless of taking small red etc...
With LTD I will more than likely green up immediately unless contest is one sided. With others I will assess but look tom be out no later than 75-80mins on away lay and around 60 mins on home lay. Home backs around 70 minutes.
There is no exit point so if the trade loses it loses.
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Today's all up on spreadsheet. Kashiwa currently 0-0 at ht. That's a back.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Bit of time now so I'll post up todays selections as per spreadsheet:
On the Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if opposition goes ahead at any time. Up to around 86 mins.
14:00 K. Almaty - Kazakhstan
14:00 FC Astana - Kazakhstan
17:00 Zalgiris - Lithuania
20:00 Osasuna - SpainSetting the Pace - Expected to score first so if 0-0 at HT and odds have risen, back to win.
14:00 FC Astana
18:00 Brondby - Denmark
18:45 Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Belarus
19:45 Dundalk - IrelandI will remove all liability as soon as expected goal comes and then assess from there but unless it's a late late late goal I will be out before FT.
Lay Draw HT - Only if 0-0 or 1-1.
23:15 Figueirense - Brasil
Self explanatory. As soon as expected goal comes I will remove all liability and then green up completely unless one side encounter with favourite winning. Regardless I will be out before FT again unless the goal comes late late late into injury time.
There is no exit point in case of no goals or the wrong goals.
2 qualifiers. 1 in Lithuania where Zalgiris went behind before equalizing. Now Figueirense match just finishing with profit for LTD long ago secured after an early 2nd half goal.
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Bit of time now so I'll post up todays selections as per spreadsheet:
On the Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if opposition goes ahead at any time. Up to around 86 mins.
14:00 K. Almaty - Kazakhstan
14:00 FC Astana - Kazakhstan
17:00 Zalgiris - Lithuania
20:00 Osasuna - SpainSetting the Pace - Expected to score first so if 0-0 at HT and odds have risen, back to win.
14:00 FC Astana
18:00 Brondby - Denmark
18:45 Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Belarus
19:45 Dundalk - IrelandI will remove all liability as soon as expected goal comes and then assess from there but unless it's a late late late goal I will be out before FT.
Lay Draw HT - Only if 0-0 or 1-1.
23:15 Figueirense - Brasil
Self explanatory. As soon as expected goal comes I will remove all liability and then green up completely unless one side encounter with favourite winning. Regardless I will be out before FT again unless the goal comes late late late into injury time.
There is no exit point in case of no goals or the wrong goals.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Sheet all updated with tomorrows. If anyone has any questions please ask.
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Didn't post today but as always the selections were up on sheet. Got good green on Club Africain as they went a man up and subsequently 1-0 up. Zamalek took the lead and I removed liability. Unfortunately they conceded less than 10 minutes later and couldn't find a winner so break even there.
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No time ro post selections but it's all on sheet. First game 11.00. South Korea.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Not masses on today.
LTD HT
Karvina vs Jihlava - Czech Rep.
Dalkurd vs OrgrytePrime for a comeback should they concede first
Malmo
Back at HT if still 0-0
Malmo
From now on as soon as a goal goes for providing I can get to a computer or phone I think the first thing I will do is remove all liability. This would be seem to be what all the pros would do. Having a position of green turn red seems more psychologically damaging than a position of green turn to break even.
So I took out liability at 1-1 and then as soon as the 2nd went in cashed out.
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Not masses on today.
LTD HT
Karvina vs Jihlava - Czech Rep.
Dalkurd vs OrgrytePrime for a comeback should they concede first
Malmo
Back at HT if still 0-0
Malmo
From now on as soon as a goal goes for providing I can get to a computer or phone I think the first thing I will do is remove all liability. This would be seem to be what all the pros would do. Having a position of green turn red seems more psychologically damaging than a position of green turn to break even.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Great day other than Skeid. I initiallly got out of Penarol at after they equalised and then conceded just before HT. I then remembered how I'd seen potential results were much better if you rode out a few bumps and went back in around 56-60 mins. A late late equaliser there to make it 2-2 finished the day off nicely:
Aarau - Backed at 0-0, cashed at 1-0
Skeid - LTD, no goal, loss
Osijek - Layed Zapresic at 0-1, cashed at 2-1
Deportivo Laferrere - LTD, cashed at 1-0
Inter - Backed at 0-0, cashed at 1-0 on 70 mins
Hafnarfjordur - Layed Fylkir at 1-0, cashed at HT 1-1
Penarol - Layed Progresso at 0-1, went minor red at HT 1-2, back in around 56-60mins, cashed at 2-2 94th min -
I'm back in the saddle. Sort of.
Sheet updated with potentials. Any questions, please ask.
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Got to take a break tomorrow and potentially Sunday as at a wedding all day. Won't be at my best Sunday either I doubt haha!
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Sheet updated with a few potentials for tomorrow.
Draw lays - Lay if 0-0 or 1-1 @ HT, trade out after a goal
On The Comeback Trail - Lay ELO underdog if they take the lead. Trade out after a goal or leave trade to run until around 75-80 mins. Less so for away favourites as these seem more susceptible. If next goal goes against double down on initial lay. If no further goals or another against suck it up and move on.
Setting The Pace - Back ELO favourite @ HT provided still 0-0 and initial pre kick-off odds have risen. Trade out at 1-0 or leave to run for a bit. Again play it safer with away favourites. If no goals or goal goes against suck it up and move on.
100% on the 4 that qualifiied today
