Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Any night owls, these are the games I consider to have a high chance of there being a H2 goal. Odds dependent as always as well as personell if known and inplay stats if necessary.
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Palmeiras just equalised so that's now just over 3pts for the day and just under 2pts red for Sept.
It's coming back.
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Cerro Porteno is actually Tuesday. Tomorrows below:
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.
Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.
Hope you managed with overnight games. I'll be posting in a bit but Paraguay at 00:30 is one. Cerro Porteno the better team.
Then again it's not until tomorrow so plenty of time.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.
Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.
Hope you managed with overnight games. I'll be posting in a bit but Paraguay at 00:30 is one. Cerro Porteno the better team.
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I'm pulling Titanic. Not because it doesn't work but because from the 17/06 I have 27 selections. Almost 3 months so under 10 selections a month.
I'm not pulling up any trees with that.
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Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.
Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.
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@john-folan said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
These are the good ones coming up:
There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
Can you get your stuff on any earlier? Sometimes miss the overnight games.There was nothing qualified last night. Been doing a lot of going back to get further details I hadn't recorded initially for stuff I'm working on so has taken a bit of time.
I try and get one day finished before I start another but so much overlap right now. They often go on the sheet before I post as well so worth checking there.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
These are the good ones coming up:
There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
Can you get your stuff on any earlier? Sometimes miss the overnight games. -
These are the good ones coming up:
There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
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Just what I needed today. 3 decent trades and around 2.5pts green. Only around 5pts down for Sept now.
H2 goals in Wycombe and Rodez. I know these are early season but for goals my strike rate gives me no reason to exclude these at present.
Also a nice comeback by Ludogorets giving more credence to the bar I've set for minimum number of games to have passed in a season.
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Titanic:
Already missed Shimizu but doubt there was much in it for a goal back 10 minutes before time.
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H2 goals (potential):
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Ok so really not helped myself missing the double bubble this morning and yesterday was pants. Made a small error and had 4 losing trades from my plan. Not to worry. Sept is in deficit by around 7pts but it can and will come back:
ELO Selections (including missed in Korea):
There are more on the list of dodgy countries/leagues but I won't be touching them. On the sheet if anyone wants to see.
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Although it makes sense on the ELO's I can't quite bring myself to do it yet on the H2 goals as so far I'm at 77% s/r on these early season games and it's not a just a few. Will watch this space for time being.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Having to have a rethink as my decent gains over the past month are being eaten up. Would be all too easy to slip back into bad ways and go back to square one but I can't let that happen.
I bow down to those in the know and despite thinking I can play these early season games the results bear out I can't regardless of what league.
Seem to see a real upturn in results after 7 or 8 games have been played so that's where I'm setting my stall out for now. That's not 7 or 8 home/away games per team but a combined 7 or 8 league games full stop.
Totally missed Gwangju lay this morning, twice over now. Damn early games on the weekend haha!!
I think that's the sensible thing to do. Let the form settle a bit before jumping in.
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@richard-latimer Sounds sensible with regards to early season games
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Having to have a rethink as my decent gains over the past month are being eaten up. Would be all too easy to slip back into bad ways and go back to square one but I can't let that happen.
I bow down to those in the know and despite thinking I can play these early season games the results bear out I can't regardless of what league.
Seem to see a real upturn in results after 7 or 8 games have been played so that's where I'm setting my stall out for now. That's not 7 or 8 home/away games per team but a combined 7 or 8 league games full stop.
Totally missed Gwangju lay this morning, twice over now. Damn early games on the weekend haha!!
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Finally, the Titanic filter for laying away when 0-2 up:
Very much a non entity most of the time.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
For H2 goals:
Some first day of the season but not ruling these out completely from the H2 goal picks. Will monitor and make decision based on odds, who's playing, inplay stats etc...
That said, Selangor I'm adding to a list of not so sure's.