Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

I won't shy away from the bad days anymore like I used to. This was a hit but I'll bounce back. Estonia left far behind in the distance the useless mofo's!!

Richard Latimer

3-2 but damage done in the fh.

Estonia was already just about in the negative. Now it's firmly in the red.

Richard Latimer

I think it's important to try and always be positive. This result in Estonia is enough for me to say no more.

Good to do that perhaps before the big money comes in.

Richard Latimer

Sorry again. Have a feeling things about to pick up though......fingers firmly crossed.

Richard Latimer

Dropped a bollock on the thread tonight. Forgot to post lay on Mjondalen which finished 1-1.

It's on my records so you'll have to just trust.

Going back to posting no more than 1 day ahead as it's less confusing than posting them then looking to see if there's been changes.

Richard Latimer

More midweek selections the very next day. Dare I say it but the winter leagues might finally be starting to kick in properly:

Richard Latimer

@Alex-Rendell You're absolutely right in terms of Estonia although top leagues isn't too bad for liquidity.

Richard Latimer

Never done this before but I think it's important to see nonetheless. The graph below is raw data with no exclusions from my filter at all other than home must not have better points tally than away:

There is a general upwards trajectory still. This is also including all leagues without exception.

Clearly quite a bit of variance and my tweaks to the filter do improve upon the initial. It's just good to see that even in it's most basic form this is still a winning system over 500+ bets.

Alex Rendell

@Richard-Latimer surely if you're taking a long-term view, you shouldn't even be trading the second tier in these kind of countries? I mean, the top tier in Estonia barely has enough volume (or "liquidity") to make it viable in terms of scaling up to bigger stakes.

Richard Latimer

Midweek selections. Not used to these. Estonia pops up immediately after the Esiliiga let me down. On the hole these have been ok so I'll follow normal rules and trade if it applies:

Richard Latimer

Stupid stupid Estonia. Chastening! It's not a knee jerk decision to rule that crappy league out. It was just a stupid one to trade it in the first place.

Stats are wildly swayed to one side, liquidity is crap and I don't trust the league. Still pondering on the Meistriliiga but so far that's been ok.

Richard Latimer

Well after a decent Friday and a disappointing Sunday it took an injury time goal.

Still just about have chance for a winning weekend with one trade Monday.

Richard Latimer

Oh Estonian lower league, why did I let you do this to me???

1 selection from that league all year and it's an absolute car crash.

I so can't wait for Winter Leagues to kick in proper. Still seems like only a few in play for me at present with mostly the dregs of summer.

Richard Latimer

Richard Latimer

Ok the odds have come down to 1.35 to lay and it's not started. Avoiding like the plague!!!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

2/2 last night.

All Czech games postponed because of dangerous weather.

Just Malaysian game left today.

Looks like the odds are going to be too low for this one. Currently 1.83 to lay.

Richard Latimer

2/2 last night.

All Czech games postponed because of dangerous weather.

Just Malaysian game left today.

Richard Latimer

@Peter-Williams all home lays yes

Peter Williams

@Richard-Latimer Is this Lay the home team Richard?

Richard Latimer

This looks to be everything for the weekend.