Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Under 1.5 (German game must be max 6.6 lay price 5 mins before kick off as per oddsportal).

EDIT: Max 6.8....last time I looked it was just about a qualifier.

2/2

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Home lay if the price climbs past 1.9

1-3 so a win. I laid @ 2.06 having just missed kick off.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5 (German game must be max 6.6 lay price 5 mins before kick off as per oddsportal).

EDIT: Max 6.8....last time I looked it was just about a qualifier.

[Richard Latimer]

Home lay if the price climbs past 1.9

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin average odds around 5.3 I think. S/r should be hovering around 91% over the year.

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer those are some thin odds on the over 1.5, wishing you good luck with it.

[Richard Latimer]

And the over 1.5...

Despite it not exactly taking off into orbit this one is kind of doing exactly what it should, just a bit slower than one hoped.

Start with a loss.
8 winning trades to counter the loss and more.
Then another loss.
Another 8 winning trades would be superb please (7 after today)

I should also add that I only had 6 winning trades as one of the missed was in German Bundesliga before I tweaked that. The other was Guimareas.

There was one more in India but need more data there.

[Richard Latimer]

A very poor start to the home lays. Here's hoping for immediate improvement:

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing even potentially until Fri morning now.

[Richard Latimer]

Disappointing day and yet still, the bank being split into 2 pots makes it way less so.

Newcastle went over 1.5 easily.

And the Costa Rican game minimised the damage on home lays.

Full update to follow.

[Richard Latimer]

Just watched highlights. Oh my days. That goalkeeper for Al Ain....

[Richard Latimer]

Well the run in the UAE had to end at some point. But why did it have to end at odds of 8.8???

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin Only leagues I don't track are when liquidity and volume become too low. Then I'll wipe them from sheet and delete from filter like I did with Wales last night despite the wins.

Exception to that was Estonia where I got in a tiz and deleted from home lays sheet and filter after a very poor loss

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer do you still track them once removed or is that untracked?

[Richard Latimer]

Chance to go again on Germany so soon in the over 1.5 but odds look a little high considering I'm only going up to 6.8 there now:

[Richard Latimer]

Home lays:

[Richard Latimer]

Now I'm actively trading the over 1.5 it will be time to start weeding out leagues I can't actually use in practice I guess.

[Richard Latimer]

I don't regret my decision on Germany. It's just sods law.

Win or lose, I don't like the liquidity and volume in Wales so after tonight I'll be removing this league. Doesn't make up for what looks to be a costly mistake though.

Now looking like nothing to regret tonight. Wales is still gone though. Not a league I can upscale in the slightest.

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

On my radar this morning is Perth lay. It's in the probably going to be wear I consider an official selection after the game although certainly an outlier.

Perth win stats are awful.

With the overs starting well if slowly and there being 2 banks I feel now is the time for a few risks on the home lays.

Laying Perth. Starts soon.

So that ended in my favour. 1-2.

On this basis I have to go with another home lay for this evening. Wales is currently just in the red but with only one loss from 4 trades. It is however a qualifier and everything points to the home team failing to win.

Laying Barry.

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

On my radar this morning is Perth lay. It's in the probably going to be wear I consider an official selection after the game although certainly an outlier.

Perth win stats are awful.

With the overs starting well if slowly and there being 2 banks I feel now is the time for a few risks on the home lays.

Laying Perth. Starts soon.

So that ended in my favour. 1-2.