Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

At the beginning I was only tracking draws from early Nov. For the remainder of that year, including all leagues I had 78% from 60th and 74% from 67th.

Purely for January, using the exact same criteria it's 50% from 60th and 46% from 67th haha!

That's 0-0's by the way.

[Richard Latimer]

At the beginning I was only tracking draws from early Nov. For the remainder of that year, including all leagues I had 78% from 60th and 74% from 67th.

Purely for January, using the exact same criteria it's 50% from 60th and 46% from 67th haha!

[Martin Walker]

My strike rate is 75% and my 0-0s are 70% so theyre dragging me down a bit

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer I didn't mention the nil nils in my post but they've also been crap for me. Sure that will change...

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

My one FHG papertrade for the day is in. A good start haha!

And as per my post this morning it wouldn't qualify for SHG play unless further goals scored prior to 60th minute.

[Richard Latimer]

My one FHG papertrade for the day is in. A good start haha!

[Richard Latimer]

After reading the discussion on Dari's thread I feel somewhat more confident this will all come good in the end and that what I have is a very decent platform from which to keep going. 0-0's have been incredibly poor at present but I'll keep tracking everything. There are leagues where certain things are working and certain things aren't.

All I can do is keep following the data wherever it leads me as long as it is logical to do so.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Not feeling the love in Eredivisie right now for tight games at 1/0/0-0. Sparta with an unexpected blank!

Gremio had loads of goals but they all came just that little bit too early or that little bit too late.

For Fri:

There are more on my list but I'm getting this one out there early. Looking for results to start levelling out at some point. Expect a FHG or 2nd FHG if the early one is missed.

0-0 @ HT will require at least one early goal before I deem it a trade. Other scorelines so far ok....

The red is there to signify in this case that Bengal have moved up a league, hence Goa (Odisha) more likely to score. Or at least think they can and leave the back door open. I really don't care which it is.

Small change to what I said above, without an early goal in 2nd half I wouldn't touch this. Ave home goals are high and to the point where I have been seeing a drop off for ages. Goals breed goals but where there are no goals and the level of expectation for goals goes through the roof, there are often no goals period haha!

There will be 4 or 5 goals after 60mins now of course haha!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Not feeling the love in Eredivisie right now for tight games at 1/0/0-0. Sparta with an unexpected blank!

Gremio had loads of goals but they all came just that little bit too early or that little bit too late.

For Fri:

There are more on my list but I'm getting this one out there early. Looking for results to start levelling out at some point. Expect a FHG or 2nd FHG if the early one is missed.

0-0 @ HT will require at least one early goal before I deem it a trade. Other scorelines so far ok....

The red is there to signify in this case that Bengal have moved up a league, hence Goa (Odisha) more likely to score. Or at least think they can and leave the back door open. I really don't care which it is.

[Richard Latimer]

Not feeling the love in Eredivisie right now for tight games at 1/0/0-0. Sparta with an unexpected blank!

Gremio had loads of goals but they all came just that little bit too early or that little bit too late.

For Fri:

There are more on my list but I'm getting this one out there early. Looking for results to start levelling out at some point. Expect a FHG or 2nd FHG if the early one is missed.

0-0 @ HT will require at least one early goal before I deem it a trade. Other scorelines so far ok....

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Only 2 games today and papertrading only 2nd halfs in each.

Grrr.....every day a pretend red.

[Richard Latimer]

Only 2 games today and papertrading only 2nd halfs in each.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

First 2 games would have been a right pigs ear. Goalless in both and the equivalent of 3 losing trades. This is why I'm papertrading.

Thankfully the rest went to plan. 2 FHG in Belgium followed by a 67th minute goal to level up in Everton. Nothing else qualified. India looks a tricky league and CZE maybe not so good for FHG.

[Richard Latimer]

First 2 games would have been a right pigs ear. Goalless in both and the equivalent of 3 losing trades. This is why I'm papertrading.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Getting these early ones out there:

Full list:

[Richard Latimer]

Getting these early ones out there:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Here's my papertrading plan for today:

FHG+ implies if I miss an early goal there's a good chance of another.

LCS70/75 implies if I miss the first or 2nd goal there may still be a chance to get in 70/75. If only one early goal goes in then it needs to put the favourite in a position of losing by one or drawing.

Although virtually no data to back it up it's looking like if 3 early goals go in then chance of a late goal is still high. Maybe an entry point of 80 mins in this case. Will need to see how it plays out as I keep tracking daily.

1-0 is not a HT scoreline which has worked out in Eredivisie so far as the it reaches 67th minute with no further goals.

And so, a quick glance back:

AUE failed to get a FHG although data is starting to point to 0.7 being not a good enough FH home average....at least when the team isn't a much stronger favourite than around evens. They did get a late goal after falling behind early which continues to prove that goals breed more goals.

Eupen were 0-2 down @ HT, this along with 0-1 in Belgium seem to be like Kryptonite. I should have detailed it here but that was a no trade already put in place.

Exeter went behind early but there was no 2nd goal FH so that's a loser.

Barrow postponed.

PSV won late against Emmen so that's a green trade.

Rapid postponed.

Dusselfdorf a BIG FAT FAILURE!!

Cliftonville goals came at the wrong time. No trade.

Raith, despite seeing red scored late. It's difficult to rule out reds at present when out of more than 20 or so there's only been one loss. Time will tell.

Raith came up from league one so regardless they don't qualify and had I made that trade I would be annoyed at myself.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Here's my papertrading plan for today:

FHG+ implies if I miss an early goal there's a good chance of another.

LCS70/75 implies if I miss the first or 2nd goal there may still be a chance to get in 70/75. If only one early goal goes in then it needs to put the favourite in a position of losing by one or drawing.

Although virtually no data to back it up it's looking like if 3 early goals go in then chance of a late goal is still high. Maybe an entry point of 80 mins in this case. Will need to see how it plays out as I keep tracking daily.

1-0 is not a HT scoreline which has worked out in Eredivisie so far as the it reaches 67th minute with no further goals.

And so, a quick glance back:

AUE failed to get a FHG although data is starting to point to 0.7 being not a good enough FH home average....at least when the team isn't a much stronger favourite than around evens. They did get a late goal after falling behind early which continues to prove that goals breed more goals.

Eupen were 0-2 down @ HT, this along with 0-1 in Belgium seem to be like Kryptonite. I should have detailed it here but that was a no trade already put in place.

Exeter went behind early but there was no 2nd goal FH so that's a loser.

Barrow postponed.

PSV won late against Emmen so that's a green trade.

Rapid postponed.

Dusselfdorf a BIG FAT FAILURE!!

Cliftonville goals came at the wrong time. No trade.

Raith, despite seeing red scored late. It's difficult to rule out reds at present when out of more than 20 or so there's only been one loss. Time will tell.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Here's my papertrading plan for today:

FHG+ implies if I miss an early goal there's a good chance of another.

LCS70/75 implies if I miss the first or 2nd goal there may still be a chance to get in 70/75. If only one early goal goes in then it needs to put the favourite in a position of losing by one or drawing.

Although virtually no data to back it up it's looking like if 3 early goals go in then chance of a late goal is still high. Maybe an entry point of 80 mins in this case. Will need to see how it plays out as I keep tracking daily.

1-0 is not a HT scoreline which has worked out in Eredivisie so far as the it reaches 67th minute with no further goals.

[Richard Latimer]

Here's my papertrading plan for today:

FHG+ implies if I miss an early goal there's a good chance of another.

LCS70/75 implies if I miss the first or 2nd goal there may still be a chance to get in 70/75. If only one early goal goes in then it needs to put the favourite in a position of losing by one or drawing.

Although virtually no data to back it up it's looking like if 3 early goals go in then chance of a late goal is still high. Maybe an entry point of 80 mins in this case. Will need to see how it plays out as I keep tracking daily.