Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@lee-woodman said in 01/08/22 Starting Bank £413.72 - Current Bank as of end Aug 22 = £481.58 - August profit = £68.41:
If you have found something that is hitting 98+% then it really must be down to back-fitting. I’ve been guilty in the past of using my data to do the same and it just doesn’t stack up going forward, as you’ve found out often. What if it drops off to 94% for 100 trades - will it then be tinkered again? And also of your system is hitting 90+% and still struggling badly then I think that risk/reward ratio would be a major red flag!
It's a statistical anomaly for sure bit I've only looked at what's logical. I don't expect it to continue like that.
Plus I'm still tracking everything that's been struggling.
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If you have found something that is hitting 98+% then it really must be down to back-fitting. I’ve been guilty in the past of using my data to do the same and it just doesn’t stack up going forward, as you’ve found out often. What if it drops off to 94% for 100 trades - will it then be tinkered again? And also of your system is hitting 90+% and still struggling badly then I think that risk/reward ratio would be a major red flag!
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@john-folan said in 01/08/22 Starting Bank £413.72 - Current Bank as of end Aug 22 = £481.58 - August profit = £68.41:
@richard-latimer it was there. I took it. I’m not proud
I think if you saw something that took your 91-92% system that was currently struggling badly.....to a 98% system with almost the exact same profit and less games you'd probably do the same as me
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@richard-latimer it was there. I took it. I’m not proud
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@john-folan said in 01/08/22 Starting Bank £413.72 - Current Bank as of end Aug 22 = £481.58 - August profit = £68.41:
Haha nope......reject that. Makes no sense to keep throwing money at something when you notice a major potential flaw!
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Full update:
All went very badly wrong after the last but with the exciting revelation of my latest findings detailed on the football thread I expect normal service to resume sooner rather than later.
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Lay Under 1.5:
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Lay Under 1.5:
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Lay Under 1.5:
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Good old Bolivia didn't let me down so minimised the damage done by Aldershot firing blanks!
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This post is deleted!
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Lay Under 1.5 Wilstermann
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Lay Under 1.5 Nacional Potosi
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I forgot to post Aldershot. Probably just as well......
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@richard-latimer said in 01/08/22 Starting Bank £413.72 - Current Bank as of end Aug 22 = £481.58 - August profit = £68.41:
Lay Under 1.5:
1-2
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Lay Under 1.5:
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2/4 for big loss which takes most of yesterday's profit.
Had a look at the games as I do after a loss and as I'm now tracking every single detail I believe relevant I can't see a single thing I should have done differently today.
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Maybe I got lucky yesterday. Crap today! Need a win in Norway just to break even on the weekend now!
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Now on tomorrow and 4 more trades:
Lay under 1.5 on all....