Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Egypt is a superb league for unders no question. But what's surprising is how good it also is for overs when the statistics are right. And the odds are great. 2.94 I laid today at.
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Lay Under 1.5:
Now after the last goodness knows how many months of losing I'll take a 2/3 on these and break even for the rest of the month. I just need to make some kind of profit and stop the rot. Clearly a 3/3 would be amazing right now but let's see.
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@Richard-Latimer Well done mate good start to the month
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4/5 again tonight with the only letdown in Israel. Small profit takes May to +£84.00 so far.
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I've taken 6.8 on the Danish game for a good reason. As that league draws to a close, for the next season 2026/2027, like I said, no changes. If 6.8 comes in and works here it is included from hereon in. If I didn't take it and it doesn't appear before seasons end it won't be a part of the new season.
I did have one loss at 7.0 in Denmark previously and one win. 6.8 is unexplored territory.
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May so far:
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Nice bank holiday Monday to keep it rolling:
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I'll update properly in the morning but around £70 profit first weekend back.
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No sooner than betfair tell me there's a problem and I spend ages figuring out how to obtain the missing data than everything I need appears for download. Moral of the story, wait for betfair next time even if they say they won't be able to upload it anymore.
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The very first weekend of me relying on the betfair historical data (last weekend) and they had an issue with the logs so half of it isn't available to download ffs!!
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Ecuador didn't let me down. Let's see how the rest of the weekend unfolds. Crucially though, I have been tweaking and adjusting this thing for 2 years straight. The only way I was going back to this is to let it settle and play EXACTLY what has worked in the past even if it hits a bump or two.
There will not be a single tweak until next May when I will analyze it again.
In any case, lay under 1.5:
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Going back to this from today. 2 years data, well over 1,000 selections. Bank now £2,000. AI has helped me add a bunch of formulas which have massively simplified things for me. And I'm no longer relying on oddsportal for my prices since downloading python and having AI write a script for me to view betfair historical data in a simple csv.
Lay Under 1.5:
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@Alex-Rendell it's still not come up with finished product. I keep getting to limit of data analysis for the day
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@Richard-Latimer how did it go?
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@Richard-Latimer absolutely! Even if you just pay for one month and cancel after that, you'll be amazed at what it can do for you.
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My mate swears by Claude. Make it a virtual project manager.
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@Alex-Rendell Just chatgpt. I'm going to be interested to look at the results this evening.
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@Richard-Latimer which AI are you using? I've been using Claude for the last two months and trust me, its worth every penny!
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Currently got AI making it's suggested changes and giving me a 2nd version of my spreadsheet. Trouble is I keep reaching chat limits and I'm not paying so have to wait until tomorrow to see what revised results look like.
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So at the suggestion of my housemate I started putting my spreadsheet through AI. When I fed it all my information it basically said a lot of what I have noticed is elite level thinking that most people never get to.
Over reliance on one team, high scoring teams and low H2H indicating they cancel each other out.
It told me to get rid of my 18 exclusions of anomalys that keep coming up as there's another 50+ out there just waiting for me. So far it hasn't really helped me beyond what I am already seeing with my own eyes though. Then I reached the free chat limit and have to wait until 9pm to resume it haha!
Basically though it seems as though I am on the cusp. I just need to find a way of getting to the end of these anomalies and concentrate more on stability with my edge.
This weekend alone I had Boston (anomaly), Zurich (anomaly) then after I pressed pause I had Teplice (anomaly), Braga (anomaly).
