Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Really really poor day today. Trial went to s**t and ELO's turned bad halfway through the day. Had to stop the doubts creeping in again and it's always harder when you're tired. Here they are for Sunday although I've not taken out duff leagues yet. To be fair you can find this easily enough by looking what has performed on the spreadsheet and what hasn't. Belgium, Russia, Belarus, Slovenia all definitely there though. Stay away regardless of decent Belgian form of recent.

[Richard Latimer]

Really really poor day today. Trial went to s**t and ELO's turned bad halfway through the day. Had to stop the doubts creeping in again and it's always harder when you're tired. Here they are for Sunday although I've not taken out duff leagues yet. To be fair you can find this easily enough by looking what has performed on the spreadsheet and what hasn't. Belgium, Russia, Belarus, Slovenia all definitely there though. Stay away regardless of decent Belgian form of recent.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

4 good ELO trades tonight. Quite the potential feast tomorrow!

Strike N.I. for now. Need 7 combined matches played first.

Also Qatar

And the Greeek game. Smyrnis only played once.

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

4 good ELO trades tonight. Quite the potential feast tomorrow!

Strike N.I. for now. Need 7 combined matches played first.

Also Qatar

And the Greeek game. Smyrnis only played once.

Finally, looks like Uruguay re-starting so no games played yet.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

4 good ELO trades tonight. Quite the potential feast tomorrow!

Strike N.I. for now. Need 7 combined matches played first.

Also Qatar

And the Greeek game. Smyrnis only played once.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

4 good ELO trades tonight. Quite the potential feast tomorrow!

Strike N.I. for now. Need 7 combined matches played first.

Also Qatar

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

4 good ELO trades tonight. Quite the potential feast tomorrow!

Strike N.I. for now. Need 7 combined matches played first.

[Richard Latimer]

4 good ELO trades tonight. Quite the potential feast tomorrow!

[Richard Latimer]

Ok let me try and lay these out a little so that if I do decide to get involved I've done all the homework:

Cluj have now been behind 8 times in 10 games. This is too much. I'll track the result for the time being.

Vojvodina is an ELO anyway but it works for this. 100% comeback from home and 100% choke by the away.

Belupo behind 3 times and come back twice. Istra have taken the lead twice and only secured the win one. This looks good to me. Also not strictly relevant but seems to be playing a part at the moment. When home team go ahead they don't look back and when away team go behind they can never get back.

Hapoel Katamon behind 5 times, came back in 4. Beitar Tel Aviv have taken the lead 7 times and managed to lose it 5 times. That seems a little high. Prob one to watch.

Graafschap have been behind 5 times and come back 4. Helmond have taken the lead twice and choked on both occasions. Again when away team go ahead they don't look back and when home team fall behind they can never get back.

Clermont have been behind 4 times and come back 3. Chambly have taken the lead 5 times and chocked on 2 of those.

Wil have fallen behind 4 times and come back 3. Kriens have taken the lead 4 times and choked 50% of the time. Looks good to me.

Coleraine similar numbers. Behind 4 times, come back 3. Ballymena have taken the lead 3 times and choked twice.

Finally Shamrock. Behind once, come back once. Derry taken the lead 6 times and choked.

I really cannot see any reason for these teams not to be able to force a comeback. After just swearing off the trial tonight I will see how the ground lies before rushing in.

[Richard Latimer]

Fri ELO's:

[Richard Latimer]

ELO's other than Kuwait getting picked up on the other filter as well so duplication. Regardless, I will only trade each match once:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Speaking of the trial, here's Thurs selections:

All appear to be fine but there's those famous last words again haha!

Couple of postponed/cancelled games in that lot. Iceland and USA the culprits.

[Richard Latimer]

Speaking of the trial, here's Thurs selections:

All appear to be fine but there's those famous last words again haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Not a kind day in the end. Started off following Gary's 2nd half trades on the H2 over 1.5 and they both came in. All morning team lays didn't qualify as favourites won all without going behind.

On to the evening and first Palmeiras go 0-1 down quickly followed by Once Caldas. No hesitation in these leagues as normally great value.

Once Caldas duly equalised but Coritiba all over Palmeiras and make it 0-2. A quick re-lay followed by an upturn in form and a goal back allows me to reduce liability while keeping green nice and big.

All appears to be going ok with no real chance of another goal until suddenly Coritiba start peppering the Palmeiras goal. Soon eough it's 1-3 and time for another even cheaper re-lay. Thought it may turn around but VAR struck so in the end it's the first loss over a point on these since Malmo in Sept.

Also, Chile looks to be going down the same path as Slovenia and Russia on my trial and the same path it followed on ELO. One of extreme inconsistency. Shitcanned for now on the firing blanks page where I'm continuing to track the poor leagues haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Nice late winner on Flamengo although I almost paid the price for trying to get a better cashout price at 1-1 when Goias had a goal ruled out for offside luckily. Quite often the betfair price will be lower than the bookie price after an equaliser and it really hacks me off haha!

[Richard Latimer]

The trial:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

3 decent potentials on the trial:

Still a potential on Flamengo to go but trying to get organised earlier. Here's tomorrows potential ELO's:

[Richard Latimer]

3 decent potentials on the trial:

[Richard Latimer]

No ELO's tomorrow unless anyone is burning the midnight oil going into 2am:

[Richard Latimer]

And my trial, now on 87 selections:

Won't be taking the last one as numbers not good enough. Still tracking that for now.

Of course that means the only one I may be able to take is America De Cali as the rest all way too late.

[Richard Latimer]

Mon ELO's: