Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[A Former User]

Oh well, at least we have the mighty Belarus this afternoon!

[Richard Latimer]

Not a very successful evening/night

[Richard Latimer]

That's that then.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@pete-smith said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer Not much quality in these games, maybe laying over 1.5 is the way forward?

You could be right but it was cheap like I say.

I think laying an inferior team is a waste of time in this league haha

[Richard Latimer]

@pete-smith said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer Not much quality in these games, maybe laying over 1.5 is the way forward?

You could be right but it was cheap like I say.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Not much quality in these games, maybe laying over 1.5 is the way forward?

[Richard Latimer]

@pete-smith said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer Same here, had a feeling there would be a late goal but that’s why we have an exit plan. Hopefully the 2am game will go better!

I just laid away cheaply. Seems an unlikely scoreline.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Same here, had a feeling there would be a late goal but that’s why we have an exit plan. Hopefully the 2am game will go better!

[Richard Latimer]

Aint that typical. 3 mins after I get out.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Same again with juventus managua

All 8 drips matched which was a surprise. Loss of just a little more than a point.

[Richard Latimer]

Same again with juventus managua

[Richard Latimer]

Guess there was a goal

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Coming up tonight/overnight are:

Ferretti
Juventus Managua
Managua FC

First drip of 1.4 in for Ferretti

Will follow up with

1.64
1.93
2.2
2.44
2.72
3.05
3.45

Cash as soon as there's a goal and out by 70 if no goal.

[Richard Latimer]

Coming up tonight/overnight are:

Ferretti
Juventus Managua
Managua FC

[Richard Latimer]

I'm revising this thread for my new over 1.5 filter. Don't want to be trying to shoehorn every single game into a potential trade but by the same token I clearly needed to loosen things up a bit as otherwise nothing will qualify at the moment.

Thanks to @Alan-Steward for giving me the idea. I drip pretty much continuously from the moment I get in until around 5-10 mins before:

First drip 1/4pt - No earlier than 15 mins and no lower than 1.4
Minimum 1 sot, 1 hit woodwork, 3 shots off, 3 corners, 2 shots off/2 corners

Second drip 1/4pt + 60% higher odds (1.4 means next drip is 1.64)

Third drip 1/4pt + 45% higher odds (last drip being 1.64 means this one is 1.93)

Fourth drip 1/4pt + 30% higher odds (last drip being 1.93 means this one is 2.2)

Fifth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.2 means this one is 2.44)

Sixth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.44 means this one is 2.72)

Seventh drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 2.72 means this one is 3.05)

Eighth drip 1/4pt + 20% higher odds (last drip being 3.05 means this one is 3.45)

If no goal by 70th minute I'll red out so getting up to an 8th drip is highly unlikely but I've kept it there just in case.

By continuing to drip so frequently through the 2nd half for every the potential gain should just keep going up to a point. Liability stays well within control and barring an uncontrollable betfair suspension I should be able to pull a good chunk back on 70 mins if the worst happens and it remains goalless.

So in short, in the above example it's:

Entry point 15 mins 1.4
1.64
1.93
2.2
2.44
2.72
3.05
3.45

Goal at any point before 70, cash
No goal by 70, red

[Richard Latimer]

Small green would have been made slightly larger if I'd managed to get on LTD before Torquay went 2-1 ahead in the 2H. For that they deserved to lose and lose they did haha!

Tomorrow could be busy...hope for a good start in the morning in Korea:

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing qualified yesterday and some posted were for today.

Here's an updated list:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Doing things a bit differently today and from now on with the red selections:

If FH ends 1 goal advantage to either team I will only LTD should the losing team find an equaliser.
If FH ends in any draw which sees dog ultimately take the lead (under 70 minutes gone) from an odds on fave of 1.95 or less (ave found on oddsportal) I will lay the dog.

For scenario 1 I will cash out on 75 minutes or with 2 goal cushion provided odds on fave of 1.95 or less takes the lead. Otherwise it will be an immediate cash out.
For scenario 2 I will cash out on 75 minutes or once fave takes the lead whichever come first.

If still red in either scenario after 75 minutes it will be a case of waiting for the goal to come or losing trade. No redding out.

I have detailed all this in my sheet.

Rules for everything else can be found in there too under rules tab.

[Richard Latimer]

Doing things a bit differently today and from now on with the red selections:

If FH ends 1 goal advantage to either team I will only LTD should the losing team find an equaliser.
If FH ends in any draw which sees dog ultimately take the lead (under 70 minutes gone) from an odds on fave of 1.95 or less (ave found on oddsportal) I will lay the dog.

For scenario 1 I will cash out on 75 minutes or with 2 goal cushion provided odds on fave of 1.95 or less takes the lead. Otherwise it will be an immediate cash out.
For scenario 2 I will cash out on 75 minutes or once fave takes the lead whichever come first.

If still red in either scenario after 75 minutes it will be a case of waiting for the goal to come or losing trade. No redding out.

I have detailed all this in my sheet.

Rules for everything else can be found in there too under rules tab.

[Richard Latimer]

Colour coded for ease of access (and aavoiding stupid mistakes)

Red - LTD @ HT
Amber - Lay winning team (bold = lay home)
Green - Back home if 0-0 @ HT