Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

I'm going to stay away from the BOGOF just for now. Not abandoning but it's a set and forget and not what I need at present. Ratings can be collected later so will do that.

These are the games I'm looking at today:

FH goals need to be ave odds for over 2.5 1.5+ on oddsportal.com and home with odds of 2.1 or less on same website.

Avoiding Ger Bundesliga and Swiss Super.

Also Chile Prim

[Richard Latimer]

I'm going to stay away from the BOGOF just for now. Not abandoning but it's a set and forget and not what I need at present. Ratings can be collected later so will do that.

These are the games I'm looking at today:

FH goals need to be ave odds for over 2.5 1.5+ on oddsportal.com and home with odds of 2.1 or less on same website.

Avoiding Ger Bundesliga and Swiss Super.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

These are potentials I'm looking at tomorrow either as JOFFS (LTD) or backing over 1.5 goals @ HT:

Scotland BOGOF a letdown yesterday and that's a 2/3 in that league. Just posted up 'The Strongest' in Bolivia for tonight which should be a good one for 2 SH goals. In terms of the JOFFS yesterday has given me a little more data to go on.

Fenerbahce scored in the 6oth minute for a good LCS/LTD but also ended up winning 4-1 so more than that, it was a good over 1.5 SH goals trade too.
Meppen I left due to the HT score but again it was good for 2 SH goals with first coming on 69mins.
Bologna 0-2 @ HT and again good for 2 SH goals with first coming 70mins+.
First goal in Roma came way to early FH and I'm wary of the 1-0 HT scoreline at present so left that. Another 3 SH goals though.
No FH goals in Feyenoord despite it looking probable. Red out and a goal 3 mins into the SH. Typically ended 3-0. Oh well.
FH goals in Monaco way too early and then a red card. No trade.

Finally Chile. A 0-0 FT after one big chance missed after I got in with LTD. Very unpredictable league where the first 4 selections have gone 50/50. It only confirms every other like for like strat I've tried in this league. Will continue to track but I won't include Chile in my optimised results unless it improves.

[Richard Latimer]

These are potentials I'm looking at tomorrow either as JOFFS (LTD) or backing over 1.5 goals @ HT:

[Richard Latimer]

BOGOF's for tomorrow but I'll only be laying under 1.5 SHG in Scotland. PSG can do one at the moment haha!

.

[Ryan]

@richard-latimer there is that lol

[Richard Latimer]

@ryan-carruthers said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer enjoy your break bud

I'm not going anywhere. I mean who can haha!!

[Ryan]

@richard-latimer enjoy your break bud

[Richard Latimer]

Monday just about gathering data. Taking a break until after Christmas as posted on football forum. All potentials on my sheet.

[Richard Latimer]

No BOGOF's tomorrow

[Richard Latimer]

JOFFS average but in a world where nothing else was I guess that's some kind of a bonus. Jury out on France but then jury out on all of them at the moment haha!

[Richard Latimer]

I decided to give the BOGOF a miss today to concentrate on other stuff. Would have been small green and again just sums up the weekend. Think there's legs here. Just need to keep collecting data for leagues.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Playing it safe with the BOGOFS:

Only going to take the Norwegian and Bolivian games on as this is the first in India and NI. May take all 3 entries though.

After all that I didn't even do Bodo which will probably coast to a win haha! Leaving the last game tonight now as well. Sods law it will lose.

[Richard Latimer]

Potentially Leipzig, Gladbach & Basel if odds come down. Think I'll stay away from Odd in this one as they have nothing to play for.

[Richard Latimer]

the same filter, as I'm looking at different way to exploit it. May back over 2.5 on home faves under evens, odds dependent, 22 minutes in with the idea to remove red after first goal:

[Richard Latimer]

JOFFS:

Had Basel on the list but I think it's the weakest of the lot and already had a recent loss in that league so just tracking that one. Had a quick look at over 1.5% for H2 and it's only at 45%.

[Richard Latimer]

Playing it safe with the BOGOFS:

Only going to take the Norwegian and Bolivian games on as this is the first in India and NI. May take all 3 entries though.

[Richard Latimer]

@finn-kristensen said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Potential LTD's/LCS:

I've got 50 selections post 70 for a decent strike rate of 86% so far and 74 selections for a strike rate of just under 91% 67/74 when entering in the 60th minute.

Playing it cautious at present taking LTD and waiting until later. If that strike rate continues (and it means excluding certain leagues, lower prices,certain score lines and match situations) I will almost certainly start doing LCS @ 60 in the future.

That's some incredible stats and should be very profitable if sustainable.

fingers crossed. It's normally when I start talking about something it crashes and burns haha! What I'm doing at the moment is using one filter and looking at all the different directions it could take me in rather than trying to spread myself too thin.

Concentrating on overall goal averages, home team averages across both halves and home odds mainly. Figure the home team is meant to be the team to come out and dictate the play so their averages are more likely to remain stable than the away team which could go up and down. It's a theory.

[Finn Kristensen]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Potential LTD's/LCS:

I've got 50 selections post 70 for a decent strike rate of 86% so far and 74 selections for a strike rate of just under 91% 67/74 when entering in the 60th minute.

Playing it cautious at present taking LTD and waiting until later. If that strike rate continues (and it means excluding certain leagues, lower prices,certain score lines and match situations) I will almost certainly start doing LCS @ 60 in the future.

That's some incredible stats and should be very profitable if sustainable.

[Richard Latimer]

Potential LTD's/LCS:

I've got 50 selections post 70 for a decent strike rate of 86% so far and 74 selections for a strike rate of just under 91% 67/74 when entering in the 60th minute.

Playing it cautious at present taking LTD and waiting until later. If that strike rate continues (and it means excluding certain leagues, lower prices,certain score lines and match situations) I will almost certainly start doing LCS @ 60 in the future.