Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Both Norway Obos-ligaen games are in my potential ltd today.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Got a BOGOF selection tomorrow as Adana Demirspor play @ 13:00
Going to take heed of the analysis I've done recently. If 1-0 or 0-1 @ HT I will red on the under 3.5 lay and still place the under 2.5 (1.5 SHG) lay.
It was all looking good at HT. Unfortunately no more goals so 2pts lost.
3 selections in Turkey 1 Liga now and only 1 which was a winner. That's 2 full losses and 1 full win. That said, the odds today were pretty low to lay.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer did it but still unable to get the turkish match...
Actually I think that game is 0.6 for H2 goals. I've not got any with that number yet so caution advised.
The inplay stats looked excellent so I placed the trade. Goal seconds later. Doesn't quite make up for the earlier game but a nice but of green all the same.
By the way @Konstantinos-Koulamas I have Goztepe down as 2.3 ave home and 1.4 ave home in H2 so no idea why it didn't hit your filter.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer did it but still unable to get the turkish match...
Actually I think that game is 0.6 for H2 goals. I've not got any with that number yet so caution advised.
The inplay stats looked excellent so I placed the trade. Goal seconds later. Doesn't quite make up for the earlier game but a nice but of green all the same.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Got a BOGOF selection tomorrow as Adana Demirspor play @ 13:00
Going to take heed of the analysis I've done recently. If 1-0 or 0-1 @ HT I will red on the under 3.5 lay and still place the under 2.5 (1.5 SHG) lay.
It was all looking good at HT. Unfortunately no more goals so 2pts lost.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer did it but still unable to get the turkish match...
Actually I think that game is 0.6 for H2 goals. I've not got any with that number yet so caution advised.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer did it but still unable to get the turkish match...
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@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer @richard-latimer turkish game Goztepe-Alanyaspor from today list is not displayed in my JOFFS filter, am i missing something with criteria?
Yeah. You are restricting to current season.
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@richard-latimer @richard-latimer turkish game Goztepe-Alanyaspor from today list is not displayed in my JOFFS filter, am i missing something with criteria?
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This post is deleted!
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@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer meaningful tactics to rule out early games from interrupted leagues. For normal leagues i believe you look 10 match back for each team regardless if home or away, am i right?Personally i tend to look for the behaviour of a team separately when play at home and for the other team when play away, also i like to look for their recent goal performance, so 5 last h for the home and 5 last a for the away is closer to my likings.
No, it's all home/away specific. Just that I'm happy after 4 games for each team regardless of where they were played.
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@richard-latimer meaningful tactics to rule out early games from interrupted leagues. For normal leagues i believe you look 10 match back for each team regardless if home or away, am i right?Personally i tend to look for the behaviour of a team separately when play at home and for the other team when play away, also i like to look for their recent goal performance, so 5 last h for the home and 5 last a for the away is closer to my likings.
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Speaking of JOFFS, here's what the data is pulling up for tomorrow:
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@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer thank you for the explanation, i know already the rules, hence i didnt get in as well. May i ask for the scope pre-research (10 match overall, 5 last home matches for the home team and 5 last away for the away team or something else?)
I'm just using the scope of last 10 for each but I do use last season data. Only thing I've started doing is ruling out very early season games or in the case of this year, immediately after the covid breaks like Bolivia. Bolivia have been back for 4 games now which is good enough for me.
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@richard-latimer thank you for the explanation, i know already the rules, hence i didnt get in as well. May i ask for the scope pre-research (10 match overall, 5 last home matches for the home team and 5 last away for the away team or something else?)
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@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer
its remarkable the success of JOFFS. Just a goal at Wakra Al Sadd arrived! i really would like to know more from your filters for this one!It didn't qualify for me as I'm only looking at late draws and getting in 70mins +
Really simple process. At present it's overall average goals 3+, ave home goals between 1.6-2.3 and ave home H2 goals 0.7+
Other than that I'm looking for 1.12+ on the averge bookie odds for at least one second half goal. oddsportal.com shows this under over/under, second half and then over 0.5.
There is literally nothing more to it at present. I get a shed load of potentials but only a few that make the final cut so to speak.
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@richard-latimer
its remarkable the success of JOFFS. Just a goal at Wakra Al Sadd arrived! i really would like to know more from your filters for this one! -
Got a BOGOF selection tomorrow as Adana Demirspor play @ 13:00
Going to take heed of the analysis I've done recently. If 1-0 or 0-1 @ HT I will red on the under 3.5 lay and still place the under 2.5 (1.5 SHG) lay.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
The game in Qatar was one I was looking at for a potential H2 goal but 0-2 score in the first at present rules it out for me already.
Only Bolivia left although I can see that's now a midnight game so I won't be up for 2nd half anyway.
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@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer
at BOGOF strategy when you lay u3.5 g at kickoff and u1.5 g at HT what is your exit points respectively? right after first goal scored in both cases? or something else?This is set and forget. No specific exit points although as I touched on yesterday there may be certain HT scores to cut your losses on the initial trade and the leave the over 2.5 SHG alone.
