Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Typical. Whenever you spend all day looking at something and feel really psyched about it you should immediately write off that day and every day until it has a stinker and then start haha!!

No, hardly a stinker and both odds taken under evens at less than minimum. Plus the first game had a missed pen.

Why when you're looking to replicate what has come before does the world throw you a scenario not taken into account yet. Sure Glenavon should be a goal 70+ if it stays this way BUT.......red card for the home kind of throws a not quite sure spanner into the works!

[Richard Latimer]

Typical. Whenever you spend all day looking at something and feel really psyched about it you should immediately write off that day and every day until it has a stinker and then start haha!!

No, hardly a stinker and both odds taken under evens at less than minimum. Plus the first game had a missed pen.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Glenavon starting to look like a 2nd FHG. Would look to enter on 29 mins. (30th)

I am giving this a small live test today on lower than minimum stakes. Price laid was 1.81. Could have been a little better but liquidity not great.

[Richard Latimer]

Glenavon starting to look like a 2nd FHG. Would look to enter on 29 mins. (30th)

[Richard Latimer]

Can't legislate for missing 90th minute penalties ffs!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

I believe there is now a high likelihood of another goal in Grasshoppers and would look to enter 75th minute.

Going agaist this however is the fact I don't have much data for a 2-1 scoreline after 2H2 goals and the only 2 games I do have were losers haha! Is it going to be 3?!

[Richard Latimer]

I believe there is now a high likelihood of another goal in Grasshoppers and would look to enter 75th minute.

[Richard Latimer]

Long way to go but spent the day analysing where I'm at now. One of the main things is without much filtering of this or that how easy it is to predict a likely goal when you get 2 before the 64minute mark.

I'm not signposting what I'm doing each day anymore. For one reason it gets too confusing. For another it's longwinded. I've spelt out as well as I can what I'm looking for and will post this each day along with fixtures of interest. Here's todays:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

No time to post again right now but fixtures and averages listed on analysis page of sheet. Helmond in play now for a H2 goal as long as inplay match scenarios met.

Hopefully everyone would have worked it out but criteria not met for a goal in 2nd half goal or more in Helmond

[Richard Latimer]

No time to post again right now but fixtures and averages listed on analysis page of sheet. Helmond in play now for a H2 goal as long as inplay match scenarios met.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Late goal Gornik Z if stays this way until 70th. Papertrade.

Too early

[Richard Latimer]

Late goal Gornik Z if stays this way until 70th. Papertrade.

[Richard Latimer]

Can't really post at the moment. Wife decorating and and if I'm not busy doing something productive I'll get loads of s**t!

Today's fixtures on the main analysis tab. The FH and sh averages are there so can easily see where I'd be looking. FH goal trades require home fav (not necessarily strong).

Always looking for goals that come in the window of opportunity to spot the potential of another. No goal or not enough goals in the window of opportunity and I'll stay out.

Other than a 1-1 HT score laying that on 70 mins or laying HT 0-1 @ 70. For 1-1 I'm not looking at big home dogs and for 0-1 I'm looking at home faves.

Any questions ask but if you've been following you will have an idea of.......well.....my idea.

[Richard Latimer]

Too many goals too quickly FH Sapprissa and not enough 2nd half. No trade.

Day finishes with 3 good trades and one bad.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:

Villarreal late FHG. No trade. Early 2nd half goal makes it 0-2 then nothing in the window of opportunity. No trade.

Palestino FH is no trade BUT I am still tracking everything and I have noticed from the very small amount of data that when it goes 0-1 FH, a reply tends to come if tht first goal is scored around 15-22mins in. It's not on my paper trade, just an observation.

There was another like this yesterday in Lyon. Went behind 20th and equalised 45th. Slightest hint of a pattern. I know such small amounts of data are meaningless but surely if you follow them where they lead then as you keep collecting data your system/strategy should in theory improve with age.

[Richard Latimer]

Palestino with a late goal from 1-1. Green trade.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:

Villarreal late FHG. No trade. Early 2nd half goal makes it 0-2 then nothing in the window of opportunity. No trade.

Palestino FH is no trade BUT I am still tracking everything and I have noticed from the very small amount of data that when it goes 0-1 FH, a reply tends to come if tht first goal is scored around 15-22mins in. It's not on my paper trade, just an observation.

[Richard Latimer]

A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Will have to post evening games later

So from what's already been and gone:

Lorient scored early to make it 0-1 and andas I've already seen a) when away scores first there seems to be less chance of another FHG and b) when the goal comes really early there also seems to be less chance for some reason. As it happens that was the only FHG. No trade.

Monaco got an early goal back and if it had stayed that way until 70mins it would have been a trade. also would have been a trade if next goal came pre 60. It didn't. Came 62nd so no trade despite a late goal.

Bochum. 2-0 @ HT, no further goals. No trade.

Pohronie. FHG in the 18th. No further goals before entry point of 30. 29mins. Goal 45+3. Green trade. 1-1 @ HT. No further goals. Red trade. 50/50 split on that game. Damn Slovakians!

Amager. Very early goal. No FH trade. Goal to make it 3-0 on 55 and no further goals pre 60. No trade.

Dynamo Dresden. Goal within FH window of opportunity but next came too early. No trade. No 2nd half goal until 59 which made it 3-0, next on 62mins, out of the window of opportunity. No trade and just as well as no further goals.

Sampdoria. 1-1@ HT and no further goals until 71. Green trade.

Beerschot. Goal in 52nd but no follow up within window of opportunity. Still 1-0 but regardless, no trade.

LASK. Still 0-0 in 25th. No FH trade.

Ultimately, could be worse, doubt odds on Pohronie that high so 2/3 is no doubt small profit.

[Richard Latimer]

Will have to post evening games later