Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Couldn't resist!
Essentially it's what I've been doing over on the facebook page so if you've been following you'll know the deal by now.
There's official and monitored and the whole damn thing is fluid right now although I'm getting closer to what I feel will be the final product.
In any case it's all detailed on the attached sheet:
Will update for tomorrow asap
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Afternoon Richard , i hope you are well?
Do you not stop trading leagues that are coming to an end or have you found that makes no difference with your results ?I definitely haven't found enough correlation in that.
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Afternoon Richard , i hope you are well?
Do you not stop trading leagues that are coming to an end or have you found that makes no difference with your results ? -
And Lay Away:
Nothing under 2.62 and nothing over 11.0
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Going to post a proper update for the weekend as soon as I get chance. Here's Mondays anyway. Lay Under 1.5:
SWI 5.1-6.4
SAU 7.2-11.0 -
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Full list:
Man City Women's unlikely based on odds.
AUS 4.6+
COL PostponedAnd I don't care, I'm going to jump the gun. As things stand Friday was an aberration. Today looking good again from the 2 selections which made it.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5:
GER 5.9-8.4
ITA 4.1-7.4
BEL 4.6-11.0
FRA 5.8-7.4
SPA 4.7-7.4Another losing day on these thanks to Real Madrid but managed to avoid Bologna as a low odds loser. It's almost comical how much of an impact the odds are having on my days right now.
Pushed up the barometer around odds in Spain higher than it was. Basically got 2 selections at those odds over a year and now one of those is a loss.
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Lay Under 1.5:
GER 5.9-8.4
ITA 4.1-7.4
BEL 4.6-11.0
FRA 5.8-7.4
SPA 4.7-7.4Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Full list:
Man City Women's unlikely based on odds.
AUS 4.6+
COL PostponedTrading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Laying Antwerp in Belgium. More to follow but this starts in a min.
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3/3 on away lays yesterday. Removing Esiliiga as no liquidity.
Less said about the overs the better.
Certain leagues need to do one. Also going to need to find a way of dealing with these 6am kickoffs that keep Shrinking in price.
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I'm fed up with France. It's still kinda hanging in there but less than 4pts profit in 1 year now is pretty crap.
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After a pisspoor day in the away lays yesterday and this morning I need to be sensible. Using mid stake for Kazak game even though odds in low bracket.
In fact strike that. When I first started to trade these in reality my thought was aggressive aggressive aggressive. Would go up and down while overs went up slower and more consistently.
They have actually exceeded my expectations and I think I need to be just a tiny bit more sensible.
If I had done that yesterday then the low odds point of Argentina and high odds point of South Korea would have been avoided very simply.
In short it's a low odds point in Kazakhstan and I'm leaving it completely.
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All league appear to have their ideal pricepoint. Certainly for the stats I am using at any rate.
I actually feel far more comfortable when I've found that pricepoint than when they all seem to be doing ok. Only takes one night to find a couple on the bounce.
Argentina I had that price point but a quick delve showed that actually anything under 4.0 had lost prior to yesterday. And so the trend continued.
Then it was Ulsan's turn. Bad enough as almost invariably any lay I put on overnight suffers a price reduction in just 5-6 hours or less. It is hard to get value. At any rate Ulsan lost 1-2 at odds that should have been attainable @5.3 and low and behold. Yes, this is the highest qualifying price I've seen since tracking began in that league.
The K League appears to operate better at lower odds.
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After another pisspoor start on the overs in April I've just about made it back in to profit. Let's see what today brings:
The away lays on the other hand took a massive hit yesterday so while both are technically in profit for April that profit is down substantially there.
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Lay Away:
ITA 4.7+
COS 5+
COL 5.1+
MEX 5+Nothing under 2.62 and nothing over 11.0
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Lay Under 1.5:
GER 7.2-8.4
SPA 7.2-11.0
ENG 4.4-11.0
FRA 5.8-7.4
BRA 3.65 Max
MEX 7.2-11.0
USA 5.5-11.0Nothing under 3.15 and nothing over 11.0
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Lay Away:
ARG must be 3.5 or more
Remainder 2.62+ -
Lay Under 1.5:
Need 3.15-11.0 price other than NET which is 5.1-6.0.
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One over in the Saudi league this evening posted in the competition thread. Ended 2-0.
