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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.5k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2781

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Think that's it for today as KR doesn't quite fit and those inplay stats don't look great.

    Ituano is 2-1 after an early 2nd half goal and that's definitely not a scenario I like unless the goal come mega early!

    KR so close on another scenario now but just not 100% on the home odds which are slightly out of the window of opportunity.

    I've got 2 green trades today and not risking it on this last one. I would say there's a middling chance of another goal though.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2782

    Think that's it for today as KR doesn't quite fit and those inplay stats don't look great.

    Ituano is 2-1 after an early 2nd half goal and that's definitely not a scenario I like unless the goal come mega early!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2783

    I don't know if it's just the difference in summer leagues and winter leagues but the biggest thing to hamper me long term leaving it until 70 mins at the earliest, might be a lack of scenarios matching those that have come prior.

    For the first 300-400 selections it wasn't a problem. A good 15-20 matches a week. Since I've been relying on summer leagues I'm lucky if i'm getting 2 or 3 even on a day with plenty of fixtures.

    Stromsgodset almost fit but not quite so I didn't post. That said, the inplay stats looked good and I felt confident so laid under 2.5 on 70mins. Was a bit concerned after the missed pen but left the trade alive.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2784

    Here in full is everything still on the table:

    0_1626613550323_6131bf9b-5dc1-4e1b-a700-c24941744591-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2785

    Had a chinese game on there finally today but looks like it's passing by anyway. These are some more. Still not updated completely:

    0_1626609091861_2fee37de-d269-4c52-8275-08840e02c441-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2786

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Still just about up. Lay under 1.5 Tulsa

    Game saw 2 more goals in injury time
    Think I may have missed another winner but what can you do when the game is on at half 3 haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2787

    Still just about up. Lay under 1.5 Tulsa

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2788

    Will update most tomorrow but just putting these overnighters out meanwhile:

    0_1626569328298_8f3fc56b-a471-45eb-8bdb-07216721c371-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2789

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 4.5 Kemi

    1-4

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2790

    Lay under 4.5 Kemi

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2791

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 0.5 FH Sogndal. My tweet actually worked haha!

    Betfair saved me a small amount of cash there by getting on it later. Unusual but i'll take it.

    This lay was only 1.54 by the time I got in.

    Poor game. Burnt in both halves.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2792

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 0.5 FH Sogndal. My tweet actually worked haha!

    Betfair saved me a small amount of cash there by getting on it later. Unusual but i'll take it.

    This lay was only 1.54 by the time I got in.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2793

    Lay under 1.5 Sogndal

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2794

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 0.5 FH Sogndal. My tweet actually worked haha!

    Betfair saved me a small amount of cash there by getting on it later. Unusual but i'll take it.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2795

    Lay under 0.5 FH Sogndal. My tweet actually worked haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2796

    God knows why Sogndal hasn't gone inplay but it's annoying!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2797

    Loads of potential today. Not all of it in the biggest leagues. We shall see:

    0_1626514336789_def8db33-1d03-4ef8-a0ea-5f8651b6502d-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2798

    @chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer Ok fair enough - Bundesliga I dont have a problem with Bundesliga 2 however is evil, needs a good start to the season for me to consider trading again

    Bundesliga 2 is another I hated. Good odds though and with this it has been working.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2799

    @richard-latimer Ok fair enough - Bundesliga I dont have a problem with Bundesliga 2 however is evil, needs a good start to the season for me to consider trading again

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2800

    @chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    With Winter leagues starting up this weekend - Croatia etc bit of irony there on what will be the hottest weekend of the year, how many games do you give it before incorporating leagues into your model.

    Not going to comment on the strategy thats been done to death but looks like your starting to turn a corner but one thing that strikes me is that you trade some obscure leagues that no one else even looks at.

    4 games and that's purely as I see a month to get into the flow, build some match fitness, as a good thing.

    If the liquidity is there I'm trying to prove that it's the match situation and the odds which dictate what happens next rather than the league.

    I used to hate the bundesliga for example as I always found it underperformed. Since looking at it this way, I'm confident. Italy Serie A is another.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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