Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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In terms of which leagues to avoid nothing has massively changed. Spain Laliga appears to be on the cusp of exclusion as does Group 1 of the lower leagues there. Poland Division 1 surely only a matter of time too. I'm not betting on anything Germany Bundesliga and below in my table of league stats even if they've not been excluded from filtered selections.
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No help whatsoever if anyone had any money on it but high scoring Bolivian league again came up a dud in a 2 legged playoff. However a bit more digging and it seems to be the only the first leg of these affairs or a grand final such as in Aus this weekend where this is happening so far.
I guess teams start out cagey but when they know exactly what they have to do in the 2nd leg they go balls out! Either way, for now I've removed the first leg and grand final and will remove any such games from future fixture lists.
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Added tomorrow's overs to sheet but no time to finalise them as in which ones are filtered or unfiltered. League tally's up to tomorrow freely available on the spreadsheet as always.
Unders can be added after the fact as purely at trial stage.
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Today has been a horrendous day again so far but what I've realised and what would have saved me an immense amount of grief is how many were finals or 2 leg affairs. Going forward I am going to give a lot of consideration to excluding these games.
Records so far as follows:
India: Isl 1 win, 1 loss,
Australia A League 1 win, 1 loss
Bolivia 1 loss
Mexico Liga Ascenso 1 win (but even this was 0-0 in the 85th minute) -
As for unders Mexico Primera with yet another high scoring game meaning it's 6 wins and 5 losses in that league. Polish 1 provided and under and so did Scottish Prem in first game monitored for that league.
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Malaysia started off with 2 wins on the overs and then the Polish game won in the first half. What could have seemed like a loss in France seems more like a win with 1 goal at the death making 1 win and 1 loss. Pretty much break even on the day.
Lot's on tomorrow but I've separated these out into the filtered and unfiltered leagues. Leagues running at a deficit but not yet excluded are highlighted in Amber on the filtered sheet but I will in all likelihood avoid most or all of these. Possibly only Bremen in Germany might be taken.
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Based on early results there seems to be almost no correlation between those performing poorly in the overs and the way those same leagues perform in the unders.
With that in mind I've added the 4 highest performing overs leagues to the unders to see what happens.
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Odds too low on Germany game. Less than normal on for tomorrow in terms of a Friday. 2 in Malaysia as yet untested. 1 in Poland Ekstraklasa breaking even. 1 in Swiss Challenge league which may or may not get there odds wise. 1 in Ireland which looks highly unlikely with current odds and 2 in France Ligue 2.
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Good start in J-league 2. Fingers crossed for the Germany game.
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To elaborate:
A few unders to monitor.
2 overs, 1 in Japan at 06am so placed overnight there. 1 in German lower leagues once more. -
Only 1 of them matched at 1.2 pre-kickoff and that was despite great inplay stats and a first half goal.....a loser.
1 for tomorrow in J-league 2 this time. Hopefully that can start the way J-league 1 did.
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Result in Japan. The other 3 may or may not get matched @ 1.2. At present all under the minimum odds.
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4 overs for tomorrow. Sheet updated.
Got a new league inplay as J-League in been going a while now. Traditionally good for goals but I guess we'll see.
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Odds too low today.
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Just the 1 over in Germany tomorrow
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Bundesliga 2 won, Swiss Challenge League odds too low and Israel won at a canter.
Also 1 selection on the unders trial came good while another didn't go ahead.
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3 overs for tomorrow.
1 of these in the Bundesliga 2 so best be avoided entirely. The other 2 are in Swiss Challenge League and Israel Ligat Ha'al which so far are both in profit.
Couple on the unders trial but data set very small so only monitoring those at present.
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Turkey Super Lig also removed from filtered leagues.
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And when the dust settles on another day things are just becoming clearer and clearer.
Portugal Segunda suffered it's first loss but despite this is still the biggest earner.
Mexico Primera is now another to avoid and is removed from filtered leagues until further notice. Chile Primera and Italian Serie A almost certainly heading the same way.
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I should add that for the remaining leagues there is a combined deficit of well over 200pts.
