Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Late goal Gornik Z if stays this way until 70th. Papertrade.
Too early
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Late goal Gornik Z if stays this way until 70th. Papertrade.
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Can't really post at the moment. Wife decorating and and if I'm not busy doing something productive I'll get loads of s**t!
Today's fixtures on the main analysis tab. The FH and sh averages are there so can easily see where I'd be looking. FH goal trades require home fav (not necessarily strong).
Always looking for goals that come in the window of opportunity to spot the potential of another. No goal or not enough goals in the window of opportunity and I'll stay out.
Other than a 1-1 HT score laying that on 70 mins or laying HT 0-1 @ 70. For 1-1 I'm not looking at big home dogs and for 0-1 I'm looking at home faves.
Any questions ask but if you've been following you will have an idea of.......well.....my idea.
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Too many goals too quickly FH Sapprissa and not enough 2nd half. No trade.
Day finishes with 3 good trades and one bad.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:
Villarreal late FHG. No trade. Early 2nd half goal makes it 0-2 then nothing in the window of opportunity. No trade.
Palestino FH is no trade BUT I am still tracking everything and I have noticed from the very small amount of data that when it goes 0-1 FH, a reply tends to come if tht first goal is scored around 15-22mins in. It's not on my paper trade, just an observation.
There was another like this yesterday in Lyon. Went behind 20th and equalised 45th. Slightest hint of a pattern. I know such small amounts of data are meaningless but surely if you follow them where they lead then as you keep collecting data your system/strategy should in theory improve with age.
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Palestino with a late goal from 1-1. Green trade.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:
Villarreal late FHG. No trade. Early 2nd half goal makes it 0-2 then nothing in the window of opportunity. No trade.
Palestino FH is no trade BUT I am still tracking everything and I have noticed from the very small amount of data that when it goes 0-1 FH, a reply tends to come if tht first goal is scored around 15-22mins in. It's not on my paper trade, just an observation.
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A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Will have to post evening games later
So from what's already been and gone:
Lorient scored early to make it 0-1 and andas I've already seen a) when away scores first there seems to be less chance of another FHG and b) when the goal comes really early there also seems to be less chance for some reason. As it happens that was the only FHG. No trade.
Monaco got an early goal back and if it had stayed that way until 70mins it would have been a trade. also would have been a trade if next goal came pre 60. It didn't. Came 62nd so no trade despite a late goal.
Bochum. 2-0 @ HT, no further goals. No trade.
Pohronie. FHG in the 18th. No further goals before entry point of 30. 29mins. Goal 45+3. Green trade. 1-1 @ HT. No further goals. Red trade. 50/50 split on that game. Damn Slovakians!
Amager. Very early goal. No FH trade. Goal to make it 3-0 on 55 and no further goals pre 60. No trade.
Dynamo Dresden. Goal within FH window of opportunity but next came too early. No trade. No 2nd half goal until 59 which made it 3-0, next on 62mins, out of the window of opportunity. No trade and just as well as no further goals.
Sampdoria. 1-1@ HT and no further goals until 71. Green trade.
Beerschot. Goal in 52nd but no follow up within window of opportunity. Still 1-0 but regardless, no trade.
LASK. Still 0-0 in 25th. No FH trade.
Ultimately, could be worse, doubt odds on Pohronie that high so 2/3 is no doubt small profit.
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Will have to post evening games later
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Dortmund is a qualifier for another goal
But then odds no good.
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Dortmund is a qualifier for another goal
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@richard-latimer Only small stakes and it gives me the sense that I would put more on if proved to be a sound system. Still cant knock the hit rate, just learning the entry/exit points (not on this one)
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@mark-gorton said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer Watching the game and thought so too, they have come of the gas a bit
This is why i'm papertrdaing. My ideas all seem great but it's about time I thoroughly tested them without losing cash haha!
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@richard-latimer Watching the game and thought so too, they have come of the gas a bit
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Expecting another FHG in Leverkusen too but not long for it to happen
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
First qualifier of the day, Sparta Rotterdam v Sittard for another goal.
And the first is a bust
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First qualifier of the day, Sparta Rotterdam v Sittard for another goal.
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Thought I'd posted this but clearly forgot:
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Looking at today, before I put out the whole list, Esbjerg seems rife for a FHG or more. If the first comes between10-21mins and makes it 1-0, I would imagine another goal is forthcoming.
Entry point would be 30th min (29 mins on the clock).