Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Busy day. Up and down but all tracked methods yielded at least some reward.
The xG method of backing caught up slightly with the more gung ho approach.
Overs took around a point of profit and then overs looking at same stats but over the course of season took a 0.10pt profit.
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Sheet update for Sat. The fun begins at 10:00.
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Yesterday a damn fine day all around. The back won in Bahrain. I was looking at Emmen also which won as well.
Both Bahrain and Turkish games went over in the first half and other than Hertha - Dortmund the rest followed suit.
For the overs I'm looking at 5 game history as well as 20 game (full season) from now to see what difference this makes.
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Kasimpasa already over at the half too.
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Game in Bahrain came back from 0-2 down @ HT to win 3-2 at odds over evens. Good result for both back and over there.
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Just the one back in Bahrain tomorrow.
A number of overs although both Kasimpasa and Najma in Bahrain have stats in favour of over longer term than the rest.
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Nothing for tomorrow
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Only PSG as a potential for anything tomorrow. Both on the backs and the overs but odds truly skeletal!
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Reims 1-0 @ HT so 1.38 into 1.17. Another green.
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For tomorrow it's all about Reims at home to Tours. Stats very high in favour of Reims.
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Porto game abandoned so that will be a scratch as can't see them re-arranging within 3 days.
Man Utd were 2-0 up @ HT so almost a full win there and the over lost.
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1 over and 3 backs for tomorrow. Sheet updated. Link below as I've noticed getting to the top of post can be a little time consuming.
https://www.dropbox.com/s/ge2te81stl610l2/Trading Summary.xlsx?dl=0
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2/4 from 4 on the backs as trading out HT finally outdid leaving well to run for the 2H.
2/2 on overs as both reached 0-0@ HT but ended 2-1. More data to show trading out of the overs is a pointless exercise/bad move.
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Another 4 more backs for tomorrow and 2 overs. Sheet updated.
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When I looked through to see what selections would come up for the Saturday I was surprised to see only 4 on the back side of things. However, rather 4 wins and no losses than a few more greens coupled with a whole load of red.
Lorient were 2-0 up @ HT and so almost a full win.
Yehuda were 0-1 down @ the half but pulled it around to win 2-1. Full win.
Hannover were 0-2 down before coming back to 2-2 @ HT. They then went on to win 3-2. Full win at decent odds.
Tottenham 1-0 @ HT for another green.SMALL profit on the overs but certainly nothing amazing there as yet. Trading aspect on these dropped as feel no benefit to trading out HT
Backs are looking good when greening @ HT or leaving a red to run.
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Backs did excellent again going 3-0. Overs took a step back. On to tomorrow.
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Saudi game didn't go inplay but thanks to a late pen Malkiya game went over.
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Couple of overs tomorrow but no backs. Sheet updated.
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The over in Wellington Phoenix was a winner but because I am initially looking at comparison between trading the overs and letting them run regardless I won't record it. Just good to see.
Game was at half 6 this morning when I was asleep haha!
