Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Onwards and upwards. Next game starts in 20 mins. Celaya at home.
Sheet updated.
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Stalemate in Argentina overnight followed by a nice and easy 2-0 cashout in Coventry. Staring down the barrel of a second loss for the day with another 0-0 but up pops a goal with virtually last kick of the game......or does it!!?
Abject misery and another bastard 0-0!!
After what I just sat through on the telly I was having a bad enough night as it was ffs!!!
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Another 3 backs for tomorrow. If anyone is tempted to straight bet these all the way I've looked into it and there is profit although much less than if trading on any green at ht.
Results are in the sheet.
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Disappointing in the backs but the overs both won at skinny odds.
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Busy for a Monday. 3 backs and an over to track. Sheet updated.
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Overs ends badly with another 0-0. Was a 280 combined which again....not performing great.
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Very small profit on backs today after Akhisar could only draw. Overs going well but still 1 game to go.
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Broken down the backs had a bit of a poor day losing around 1.7pts but then I ran into 2 0-0 scorelines and a further game with no second half goals at all. There was only 1 outright loss with Clyde beating Peterhead.
Overs was a similar story 1.6pts down. Combined number of 260 across criteria's 5 through 8 not performing well at all but then unlike normal I'm not going to rush to throw the baby out with the bath water when the whole thing is nicely in profit.
As of tomorrow however I'll stick to putting money on the backs and continue tracking the overs.
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Day ended in around a 2pt loss which isn't so bad. But here's the thing. As good as the numbers are for BTTS there are really only a few leagues where you can use it properly.
Liquidity on many leagues is dreadful. So I think I'm going to knock that on the head and concentrate on the rest.
If liquidity ever picks up massively I can re-visit the idea.
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A small blip but finished off strong. Backs profited, Overs and BTTS small loss. Overs with long term data scratched.
Overall for the first real trades with real money it was a small profit.
Todays games start at 10:00 and I've just updated the sheet.
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Nice. Bengalaru didn't let me down either.
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Paradou in Algeria already in with a 1-0 lead @ HT.
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Expect it to go tits up today. I'm re-loading my account haha!!
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I hadn't no but that's a great idea. Thanks.
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Sheet updated for tomorrow. Now that I'm checking BTTS as well it seems like I have quite a few juggling balls in the air. Here's hoping I don't drop them.
4 Backs
2 Overs (short term data)
2 BTTS (short term data)
3 Overs (season long data)Season long data will probably work for BTTS too but not collecting odds for these yet.
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Chart added for BFBS (BTTS)
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Another win for the backs coming from a goal down at ht.
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Slight correction on today's back. El Raja are the home team and this is backing away. Al Ahli.
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Haha no
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It's difficult to know what the liquidity would have been or prices on betfair but using top odds on oddsportal against all overs selections thus far (57 of them) the BTTS or BFBS as I'm calling it has.....so far......blown everything else out of the water!
Even more impressive is that when applying a 10% commission against each winning selection to make up for using top prices on all.............it's still the most successful strategy by a country mile!
And this would be 100% set and forget!
S/r is 75%,with ROI well over 30%.
I'll create a chart for this later and add a few more bells and whistles.
Thanks for alerting me to this once again @Aderemi-Adesote
