Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

Very much a one off but tempo appears to have picked up.

Richard Latimer

I've decided to place an inlay trade at low odds on Wolves laying under 1.5

Richard Latimer

New month, new outlook and no selections on either strat today.

Wolves would be but it's literally the lowest odds by far in the Prem on my system since tracking began last April. Not risking.

Also Hiroshima tomorrow but not confident at the odds given what has come before.

No qualifiers on the away lays at all.

Richard Latimer

I just ran through my raw data again on the overs filtering things in the order I did before but also checking other combinations etc to make sure I would do everything the same.....and I would....I did. Not much has changed.

It really is just tweaking leagues and odds around those leagues now to try and improve what is overal an 87% proposition across the last 12 months.

Richard Latimer

Richard Latimer

0/1 on the overs and 2/2 on the away lays
Small loss for the month on overs and small profit on away lays.
Overall is in profit for 6/8 months. Not nearly enough but I have to be pleased about that. It is heading in the right direction.

Side bar, today has put odds of 4.3 or lower into the red as far as Denmark is concerned over the past year. Above that it's a perfect sweep.

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5 for today:

Need anywhere between 3.15 & 11.0 on this one.

Richard Latimer

Few ups and downs on the away lays but with less data over the same period of time and only the first full month I'm actually trading these that's ok. especially as I'm taking an agressive stance with these and not waiting for leagues to prove themselves so to speak.

Richard Latimer

Overs are back in profit for March:

Richard Latimer

Conversely I've taken the Costa Rican lay @ 5.0

Richard Latimer

On the back of the 2 early losses coming my way I'm leaving Huesca. Odds lowish and after Gijon the data for low odds in this league is minimal and not great.

Richard Latimer

Yesterday I started with one loss on the away lays, today unless something changes it's going to be 2.

But I'm not being cautious on this one so any profit at all is good.

Ukraine may be about to remove themselves from the pool quite early and head to the tracking room.

Austria, while this loss is annoying it gives reason to rule out the Hartberg loss yesterday as well given that would be 3 wins, 2 losses up to odds of 4.5 and a clean sweep on anything over that.

These up and down periods are still telling me so much.

Richard Latimer

Away lays:

COS 5.2-11.0

Min price 2.62 - Max price 11.0 unless otherwise stated.

Richard Latimer

Todays overs. AUS already in play. Was in a rush and only posted in competition thread. Still 1-0 in 2H.

Required pricing:

AUS I got @ 4.2
NET 5.3-7.4
GRE 4.4-11.0
DEN 3.15-7.4
ITA 4.1-7.4
FRA 5.8-7.4

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Away:

ITA Max 6.0
MEX Liga de Expansion Min 3.8
MEX Liga Mx Min 5.0
ARG Min 3.55
COL Min 5.1

Nothing under 2.62 and nothing over 11.0

After Hartberg threw it away at the death everything else went to plan so 8/9

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Under 1.5:

NE v NY 5.0-7.4
NET 5.2-11.0
FRA 5.9-7.4
URU 3.5-7.4
MEX 4.0-11.0
DC v CC 5.0-11.0

2/2 on the last couple. All the others didn't qualify on the day.

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

ITA Max 6.0
MEX Liga de Expansion Min 3.8
MEX Liga Mx Min 5.0
ARG Min 3.55
COL Min 5.1

Nothing under 2.62 and nothing over 11.0

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Away:

ITA Max odds 5.7
Min odds on all 2.62

Not Ireland which is in negative hence red.

I've taken Spezia @ 6.2 and of course they've fallen behind in the first few minutes!

2/3 for around £90 loss. Full update at some point over the weekend.

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5:

NE v NY 5.0-7.4
NET 5.2-11.0
FRA 5.9-7.4
URU 3.5-7.4
MEX 4.0-11.0
DC v CC 5.0-11.0

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Under 1.5.

FRA 5.9 - 11.0
PER (Alianza) 3.15-11.0
PER (U. de Deportes) 3.15-7.4
AUS 3.15-6.6

So Fra didn't qualify and the odds of first Peruvian game coupled with lack of data on that league over the course of a year led to me leaving it.

At that point it was likely AUS wouldn't qualify for me at present as well and I decided to leave them all. 2/2 on the system though.